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Developing ShakeCast statistical fragility analysis framework for rapid post-earthquake assessment Developing ShakeCast statistical fragility analysis framework for rapid post-earthquake assessment

When an earthquake occurs, the U. S. Geological Survey (USGS) ShakeMap estimates the extent of potentially damaging shaking and provides overall information regarding the affected areas. The USGS ShakeCast system is a freely-available, post-earthquake situational awareness application that automatically retrieves earthquake shaking data from ShakeMap, compares intensity measures against...
Authors
K.-W. Lin, D.J. Wald

Impact-based earthquake alerts with the U.S. Geological Survey's PAGER system: what's next? Impact-based earthquake alerts with the U.S. Geological Survey's PAGER system: what's next?

In September 2010, the USGS began publicly releasing earthquake alerts for significant earthquakes around the globe based on estimates of potential casualties and economic losses with its Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) system. These estimates significantly enhanced the utility of the USGS PAGER system which had been, since 2006, providing estimated...
Authors
D.J. Wald, K. S. Jaiswal, K. D. Marano, D. Garcia, E. So, M. Hearne

Extraordinary distance limits of landslides triggered by the 2011 Mineral, Virginia, earthquake Extraordinary distance limits of landslides triggered by the 2011 Mineral, Virginia, earthquake

The 23 August 2011 Mineral, Virginia, earthquake (Mw 5.8) was the largest to strike the eastern U.S. since 1897 and was felt over an extraordinarily large area. Although no large landslides occurred, the shaking did trigger many rock and soil falls from steep river banks and natural cliffs in the epicentral area and from steep road cuts along, and northwest of, the Blue Ridge Parkway. We...
Authors
Randall W. Jibson, Edwin L. Harp

A new perspective on the geometry of the San Andreas Fault in southern California and its relationship to lithospheric structure A new perspective on the geometry of the San Andreas Fault in southern California and its relationship to lithospheric structure

The widely held perception that the San Andreas fault (SAF) is vertical or steeply dipping in most places in southern California may not be correct. From studies of potential‐field data, active‐source imaging, and seismicity, the dip of the SAF is significantly nonvertical in many locations. The direction of dip appears to change in a systematic way through the Transverse Ranges...
Authors
Gary S. Fuis, Daniel S. Scheirer, Victoria E. Langenheim, Monica D. Kohler

Grizzly Valley fault system, Sierra Valley, CA Grizzly Valley fault system, Sierra Valley, CA

The Grizzly Valley fault system (GVFS) strikes northwestward across Sierra Valley, California and is part of a network of active, dextral strike-slip faults in the northern Walker Lane (Figure 1). To investigate Quaternary motion across the GVFS, we analyzed high-resolution (0.25 m) airborne LiDAR data (Figure 2) in combination with six, high-resolution, P-wave, seismic-reflection...
Authors
Ryan Gold, William Stephenson, Jack Odum, Rich Briggs, Anthony Crone, Steve Angster

How many records should be used in ASCE/SEI-7 ground motion scaling procedure? How many records should be used in ASCE/SEI-7 ground motion scaling procedure?

U.S. national building codes refer to the ASCE/SEI-7 provisions for selecting and scaling ground motions for use in nonlinear response history analysis of structures. Because the limiting values for the number of records in the ASCE/SEI-7 are based on engineering experience, this study examines the required number of records statistically, such that the scaled records provide accurate...
Authors
Juan C. Reyes, Erol Kalkan

Probabilistic Relationships between Ground‐Motion Parameters and Modified Mercalli Intensity in California Probabilistic Relationships between Ground‐Motion Parameters and Modified Mercalli Intensity in California

We use a database of approximately 200,000 modified Mercalli intensity (MMI) observations of California earthquakes collected from USGS "Did You Feel It?" (DYFI) reports, along with a comparable number of peak ground-motion amplitudes from California seismic networks, to develop probabilistic relationships between MMI and peak ground velocity (PGV), peak ground acceleration (PGA), and 0...
Authors
C.B. Worden, David J. Wald, D.A. Rhoades

VS30 – A site-characterization parameter for use in building Codes, simplified earthquake resistant design, GMPEs, and ShakeMaps VS30 – A site-characterization parameter for use in building Codes, simplified earthquake resistant design, GMPEs, and ShakeMaps

VS30, defined as the average seismic shear-wave velocity from the surface to a depth of 30 meters, has found wide-spread use as a parameter to characterize site response for simplified earthquake resistant design as implemented in building codes worldwide. VS30 , as initially introduced by the author for the US 1994 NEHRP Building Code, provides unambiguous definitions of site classes...
Authors
Roger D. Borcherdt

Golden Gate Bridge response: a study with low-amplitude data from three earthquakes Golden Gate Bridge response: a study with low-amplitude data from three earthquakes

The dynamic response of the Golden Gate Bridge, located north of San Francisco, CA, has been studied previously using ambient vibration data and finite element models. Since permanent seismic instrumentation was installed in 1993, only small earthquakes that originated at distances varying between ~11 to 122 km have been recorded. Nonetheless, these records prompted this study of the...
Authors
Mehmet Çelebi

Should ground-motion records be rotated to fault-normal/parallel or maximum direction for response history analysis of buildings? Should ground-motion records be rotated to fault-normal/parallel or maximum direction for response history analysis of buildings?

In the United States, regulatory seismic codes (for example, California Building Code) require at least two sets of horizontal ground-motion components for three-dimensional (3D) response history analysis (RHA) of building structures. For sites within 5 kilometers (3.1 miles) of an active fault, these records should be rotated to fault-normal and fault-parallel (FN/FP) directions, and...
Authors
Juan C. Reyes, Erol Kalkan

Earthquake recurrence models fail when earthquakes fail to reset the stress field Earthquake recurrence models fail when earthquakes fail to reset the stress field

Parkfield's regularly occurring M6 mainshocks, about every 25 years, have over two decades stoked seismologists' hopes to successfully predict an earthquake of significant size. However, with the longest known inter-event time of 38 years, the latest M6 in the series (28 Sep 2004) did not conform to any of the applied forecast models, questioning once more the predictability of...
Authors
Thessa Tormann, Stefan Wiemer, Jeanne L. Hardebeck

A terrestrial lidar-based workflow for determining three-dimensional slip vectors and associated uncertainties A terrestrial lidar-based workflow for determining three-dimensional slip vectors and associated uncertainties

Three-dimensional (3D) slip vectors recorded by displaced landforms are difficult to constrain across complex fault zones, and the uncertainties associated with such measurements become increasingly challenging to assess as landforms degrade over time. We approach this problem from a remote sensing perspective by using terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) and 3D structural analysis. We have...
Authors
Peter O. Gold, Eric Cowgill, Oliver Kreylos, Ryan D. Gold
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