Reliable earthquake prediction is a worthwhile goal that, if ever attained, would reduce the loss of life and property.
Unfortunately, it is not at all clear that earthquake prediction is either possible or practical, and the entire subject remains controversial. Because this subject is of societal importance, the research staff of the USGS Geomagnetism Program has investigated published claims that geomagnetic and ionospheric signals associated with the earthquake process were measured prior to earthquake occurrence. So far, we have concluded that reported precursory signals are either bad data or the reported signals are part of normal global magnetic field variation that is unrelated to earthquakes.
Below are publications associated with this project.
Insignificant solar-terrestrial triggering of earthquakes
On the reported ionospheric precursor of the 1999 Hector Mine, California earthquake
On the reported magnetic precursor of the 1993 guam earthquake
On the reported magnetic precursor of the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake
Reliable earthquake prediction is a worthwhile goal that, if ever attained, would reduce the loss of life and property.
Unfortunately, it is not at all clear that earthquake prediction is either possible or practical, and the entire subject remains controversial. Because this subject is of societal importance, the research staff of the USGS Geomagnetism Program has investigated published claims that geomagnetic and ionospheric signals associated with the earthquake process were measured prior to earthquake occurrence. So far, we have concluded that reported precursory signals are either bad data or the reported signals are part of normal global magnetic field variation that is unrelated to earthquakes.
Below are publications associated with this project.