I am a Research Geophysicist in the Geomagnetism Program of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). My research has encompassed a variety of subjects related to the Earth’s magnetic field.
These days, I work in collaboration with colleagues on three subjects: 1. Using geomagnetic monitoring data and magnetotelluric survey data to evaluate geoelectric hazards of concern to the electric-power grid industry. 2. Statistical analysis of the rare occurrences of extremely intense magnetic storms. 3. Analysis of historical records of past space-weather events and their impacts.
Research theme: Geomagnetic Hazards
Magnetic storms; Solar-terrestrial interaction; Magnetotellurics; Induced geoelectric fields; Space climatology; Geophysical monitoring; Rare, extreme, historical geophysical events; Earthquake prediction; Hypothesis testing; Time series analysis; Statistical analysis
Professional Experience
USGS, Golden, CO, Research Geophysicist, Advisor for Geomagnetic Research, 2006 - Present
Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Universite Paris Diderot, France, Visiting Professor, September 2015
Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Universite Paris Diderot, France, Visiting Research Scientist, October 2012
USGS, Golden, CO, Supervisory Research Geophysicist, Geomagnetism Group Leader, 20
Education and Certifications
Harvard University, Geophysics, Ph.D. 1993
University of California, Berkeley, Physics and Applied Mathematics, A.B. 1985
Affiliations and Memberships*
Space Weather Operations Response and Mitigation (SWORM) of the National Science and Technology Council, 2015 - Present
Electromagnetic Pulse Research and Development (EMPRAD) of the National Science
Science and Products
March 17, 2015 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -195 nT
June 23, 2015 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -195 nT
August 25, 2018 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst 174 nT
February 19, 2014 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -95 nT
September 12, 2014 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst 0 nT
October 1, 2012 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -119nT
June 1, 2013 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -120nT
January 23, 2012 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -66 nT
February 14, 2011 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst 30 nT
September 26, 2011 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -93 nT
April 5, 2010 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst 0 nT
Overview
Voltages measured on long grounded electrically conducting lines in North American during several magnetic storms, 1891-1940
North American electricity power-grid and communication-network anomalies for several magnetic storms
The International Geomagnetic Reference Field, 2005
The March 1940 superstorm: Geoelectromagnetic hazards and impacts on American communication and power systems
Mapping a magnetic superstorm: March 1989 geoelectric hazards and impacts on United States power systems
Down to Earth with nuclear electromagnetic pulse: Realistic surface impedance affects mapping of the E3 geoelectric hazard
Magnetotelluric sampling and geoelectric hazard estimation: Are national-scale surveys sufficient?
Extreme-event magnetic storm probabilities derived from rank statistics of historical Dst intensities for solar cycles 14-24
Geomagnetic monitoring in the mid-Atlantic United States
Numerical simulations of the geospace response to the arrival of an idealized perfect interplanetary coronal mass ejection
On the size of the flare associated with the solar proton event in 774 AD
Geomagnetism Program research plan, 2020–2024
A 100-year geoelectric hazard analysis for the U.S. high-voltage power grid
Some experiments in extreme-value statistical modeling of magnetic superstorm intensities
Empirical estimation of natural geoelectric hazards
Science and Products
- Science
Filter Total Items: 18
March 17, 2015 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -195 nT
Space Weather Events of March 17, 2015June 23, 2015 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -195 nT
Space Weather Events of June 23, 2015August 25, 2018 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst 174 nT
Space Weather Events of August 25, 2018February 19, 2014 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -95 nT
Space Weather Events of February 19, 2014September 12, 2014 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst 0 nT
Space Weather Events of September 12, 2014October 1, 2012 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -119nT
Space Weather Events of October 1, 2012June 1, 2013 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -120nT
Space Weather Events of June 1, 2013January 23, 2012 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -66 nT
Space Weather Events of January 23, 2012February 14, 2011 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst 30 nT
Space Weather Events of February 14, 2011September 26, 2011 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst -93 nT
Space Weather Events of September 26, 2011April 5, 2010 Magnetic Disturbance - Peak Dst 0 nT
Space Weather Events of April 5, 2010 and the Galaxy 15 satelliteOverview
Space climatology is concerned with longer-term changes in the space environment that are driven almost entirely by changes in solar output. - Data
Voltages measured on long grounded electrically conducting lines in North American during several magnetic storms, 1891-1940
Presented is a list of voltages (electric potential differences) measured during magnetic storms on grounded long lines in the United States and Canada between 1891 and 1940. The sources for the list are published papers, technical documents, and newspapers. Each entry consists of the maximum voltage measured for each storm on a specified line connecting two ground points, nominally, between A "anNorth American electricity power-grid and communication-network anomalies for several magnetic storms
Anomaly lists are presented documenting operational interference to electricity power grids and communication networks in the United States and Canada during magnetic storms. Four of the anomaly lists apply for magnetic storms that occurred in March 1989, August 1972, March 1940, and for various storms 1946-2000; yet another list consists of statistical values summarizing geomagnetically induced c - Maps
The International Geomagnetic Reference Field, 2005
This is a set of five world charts showing the declination, inclination, horizontal intensity, vertical component, and total intensity of the Earth's magnetic field at mean sea level at the beginning of 2005. The charts are based on the International Geomagnetic Reference Field (IGRF) main model for 2005 and secular change model for 2005-2010. The IGRF is referenced to the World Geodetic System 19 - Multimedia
- Publications
Filter Total Items: 86
The March 1940 superstorm: Geoelectromagnetic hazards and impacts on American communication and power systems
An analysis is made of geophysical records of the 24 March 1940, magnetic storm and related reports of interference on long-line communication and power systems across the contiguous United States and, to a lesser extent, Canada. Most long-line system interference occurred during local daytime, after the second of two storm sudden commencements and during the early part of the storm's main phase.AuthorsJeffrey J. Love, E. Joshua Rigler, Michael D Hartinger, Greg M. Lucas, Anna Kelbert, Paul A. BedrosianMapping a magnetic superstorm: March 1989 geoelectric hazards and impacts on United States power systems
A study is made of the relationships between geomagnetic and geoelectric field variation, Earth-surface impedance, and operational interference (anomalies) experienced on electric-power systems across the contiguous United States during the March 13-14, 1989 magnetic storm. For this, a 1-minute-resolution sequence of geomagnetic field maps is constructed from magnetometer time series acquired at gAuthorsJeffrey J. Love, Greg M. Lucas, E. Joshua Rigler, Benjamin Scott Murphy, Anna Kelbert, Paul A. BedrosianDown to Earth with nuclear electromagnetic pulse: Realistic surface impedance affects mapping of the E3 geoelectric hazard
An analysis is made of Earth-surface geoelectric fields and voltages on electricity transmission power-grids induced by a late-phase E3 nuclear electromagnetic pulse (EMP). A hypothetical scenario is considered of an explosion of several hundred kilotons set several hundred kilometers above the eastern-midcontinental United States. Ground-level E3 geoelectric fields are estimated by convolving a sAuthorsJeffrey J. Love, Greg M. Lucas, Benjamin Scott Murphy, Paul A. Bedrosian, E. Joshua Rigler, Anna KelbertMagnetotelluric sampling and geoelectric hazard estimation: Are national-scale surveys sufficient?
At present, the most reliable information for inferring storm-time ground electric fields along electrical transmission lines comes from coarsely sampled, national-scale magnetotelluric (MT) data sets, such as that provided by the EarthScope USArray program. An underlying assumption in the use of such data is that they adequately sample the spatial heterogeneity of the surface relationship betweenAuthorsBenjamin Scott Murphy, Greg M. Lucas, Jeffrey J. Love, Anna Kelbert, Paul A. Bedrosian, E. Joshua RiglerExtreme-event magnetic storm probabilities derived from rank statistics of historical Dst intensities for solar cycles 14-24
A compilation is made of the largest and second-largest magnetic-storm-maximum intensities, −Dst1 and −Dst2, for solar cycles 14–24 (1902–2016) by sampling Oulu Dcx for cycles 19–24, using published −Dstm values for 4 intense storms in cycles 14, 15, and 18 (1903, 1909, 1921, 1946), and calculating 15 new storm-maximum −Dstm values (reported here) for cycles 14–18. Three different models are fitteAuthorsJeffrey J. LoveGeomagnetic monitoring in the mid-Atlantic United States
Near historic battlegrounds of the American Civil War, southeast of Fredericksburg, Virginia, on a secluded grassy glade surrounded by forest, a specially designed observatory records the Earth’s changing magnetic field. This facility, the Fredericksburg Magnetic Observatory, is 1 of 14 observatories the U.S. Geological Survey Geomagnetism Program operates at various locations across the United StAuthorsJeffrey J. Love, Kristen A. LewisNumerical simulations of the geospace response to the arrival of an idealized perfect interplanetary coronal mass ejection
Previously, Tsurutani and Lakhina (2014, https://doi.org/10.1002/2013GL058825) created estimates for a “perfect” interplanetary coronal mass ejection and performed simple calculations for the response of geospace, including . In this study, these estimates are used to drive a coupled magnetohydrodynamic-ring current-ionosphere model of geospace to obtain more physically accurate estimates of the gAuthorsDaniel T. Welling, Jeffrey J. Love, E. Joshua Rigler, Denny M. Oliveira, Colin M. Komar, Steven MorleyOn the size of the flare associated with the solar proton event in 774 AD
The 774 AD solar proton event (SPE) detected in cosmogenic nuclides had an inferred >1 GV (>430 MeV) fluence estimated to have been ~30–70 times larger than that of the 1956 February 23 ground level event (GLE). The 1956 GLE was itself ~2.5 times larger at >430 MeV than the episode of strong GLE activity from 1989 August–October. We use an inferred soft X-ray (SXR) class of X20 ± 10 for the 1956 FAuthorsE. W. Cliver, H. Hayakawa, Jeffrey J. Love, D. F. NeidigGeomagnetism Program research plan, 2020–2024
The Geomagnetism Program of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) monitors geomagnetic field variation through operation of a network of observatories across the United States and its territories, and it pursues scientific research needed to estimate and assess geomagnetic and geoelectric hazards. Over the next five years (2020–2024 inclusive) and in support of national and agency priorities, GeomagneAuthorsJeffrey J. Love, Anna Kelbert, Benjamin S. Murphy, E. Joshua Rigler, Kristen A. LewisA 100-year geoelectric hazard analysis for the U.S. high-voltage power grid
A once-per-century geoelectric hazard map is created for the United States high-voltage power grid. A statistical extrapolation from 31 years of magnetic field measurements is made by identifying 84 geomagnetic storms with the Kp and Dst indices. Data from 24 geomagnetic observatories, 1079 magnetotelluric survey sites, and 17,258 transmission lines are utilized to perform a geoelectric hazardAuthorsGreg M. Lucas, Jeffrey J. Love, Anna Kelbert, Paul A. Bedrosian, E. Joshua RiglerSome experiments in extreme-value statistical modeling of magnetic superstorm intensities
In support of projects for forecasting and mitigating the deleterious effects of extreme space-weather storms, an examination is made of the intensities of magnetic superstorms recorded in the Dst index time series (1957-2016). Modified peak-over-threshold and solar-cycle, block-maximum sampling of the Dst time series are performed to obtain compi-lations of storm-maximum −Dstm intensity values. LogAuthorsJeffrey J. LoveEmpirical estimation of natural geoelectric hazards
Geoelectric field time series can be estimated by convolving estimates of Earth‐surface impedance, such as those obtained from magnetotelluric survey measurements, with historical records of geomagnetic variation obtained at magnetic observatories. This straightforward procedure permits the mapping of geoelectric field variation during magnetic storms. Statistical analysis of the time series allowAuthorsJeffrey J. Love, Paul A. Bedrosian, Anna Kelbert, Greg M. Lucas - News
*Disclaimer: Listing outside positions with professional scientific organizations on this Staff Profile are for informational purposes only and do not constitute an endorsement of those professional scientific organizations or their activities by the USGS, Department of the Interior, or U.S. Government