Application of surrogate technology to predict real-time metallic-contaminant concentrations and loads in the Clark Fork near Grant-Kohrs Ranch National Historic Site, Montana, water years 2019–20

Grant-Kohrs Ranch National Historic Site (GRKO) in southwestern Montana commemorates the frontier cattle era and its formative role in shaping the culture and history of the Western United States. The ranch was designated a national historic landmark in 1960 and a unit of the National Park Service (NPS) by Congress in 1972. The GRKO is unique because of its proximity to large-scale extraction, milling, and smelting of gold, silver, copper, and lead ore from the 1860s to the 1980s in the Butte mining district. During this time, mining and milling wastes were discarded in the upper Clark Fork Basin, resulting in the deposition of large amounts of waste materials (tailings) enriched with metallic contaminants (including cadmium, copper, iron, lead, manganese, zinc, and the metalloid trace element arsenic) in soils and in nearby streams and floodplains. Denuded vegetation and fish kills attributed to large concentrations of heavy metals caused the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to designate a 120-mile section of the Clark Fork River (hereafter referred to as the “Clark Fork”), including GRKO, to be included on the National Priority List for Superfund cleanup in 1989. In 2018, with oversight from the Montana Department of Environmental Quality, the NPS began remediation of 2.6 miles of the Clark Fork as it flows through GRKO property.

In 2019, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in collaboration with the NPS, conducted a study using time-series data from backscatter signals from fixed-point turbidity and acoustic sensors with the intent to provide a high-resolution monitoring tool to estimate metallic-contaminant concentrations (MCCs) and loads during NPS remediation of the Clark Fork. Two monitoring sites at USGS streamgages on the Clark Fork on either side of GRKO property were instrumented with turbidity and acoustic sensors and surrogate relations were developed among time-series data and MCCs. The application of high-resolution surrogate data was used to infer contaminant source and fate and evaluate MCC values relative to aquatic-life standards. Using high-resolution surrogate data, it was determined that during spring runoff and storm-related runoff events, MCCs peaked at their highest values at streamflows markedly lower and prior to peak streamflow. Because MCCs peaked prior to streamflow peaks, it could be inferred that the source of MCCs originated from channel bed sediments in close spatial proximity to the monitoring site or from nearby streambanks and floodplains. High-resolution surrogate data revealed that copper concentrations in the Clark Fork exceeded chronic aquatic-life standards 90 percent of the time when streamflow exceeded 200 cubic feet per second (ft³/s) and exceeded acute aquatic-life standards 85 percent of the time when streamflow exceeded 260 ft³/s. These data helped support NPS management goals for evaluating variation in water quality during remediation of GRKO property, evaluating MCC values relative to aquatic-life standards, and quantifying benefits from Superfund remediation activities.