Demographic responses to experimental manipulation of an enclosed population of invasive brown treesnakes (Boiga irregularis)

Understanding how invasive species populations respond to perturbations can give insight into effective management. However, opportunities to test theoretical population responses are rare, as experimental perturbations often run counter to management goals (e.g., suppression). On the island of Guam, a 5-ha outdoor enclosure (with no immigration or emigration) constructed in 2003 serves as a unique population-scale study area for invasive brown treesnakes (Boiga irregularis). Capture-mark-recapture studies (CMR) and several experiments have taken place since 2004. Here, we analyze a subset of the CMR data collected between 2008 and 2012, a time period encompassing two experimental perturbations: (1) supplemental feeding to determine if the population is food limited and (2) targeted removal of adult and large-subadult cohorts to quantify the timing and magnitude of the population's demographic response to a simulated control effort. We used the CMR data to fit a Pradel model in a Bayesian framework to compare the population growth rate, survival probability, and recruitment rate prior to, during, and post perturbations. We found that increasing food resources increased population growth and recruitment rates, but that survival remained relatively constant. The removal perturbation resulted in a decrease in population growth rate and survival immediately after the removal, but population growth rate and recruitment began increasing 1 year after the removal perturbation. Our results suggest that brown treesnakes in the enclosed population are prey limited, likely constraining population growth, and that the suppression of population growth after removal of adults and large sub-adults is short-lived (i.e., less than a year).