Spatially explicit demographics of Mojave Desert Tortoises on a demography plot in California, USA

Obtaining reliable estimates of demographic parameters is critical to effective wildlife conservation and management. Densities of Mojave Desert Tortoises (Gopherus agassizii) were historically derived from capture–mark–recapture surveys on small, often strategically placed demography plots, or demographic study areas, that also provided information on demographic composition and vital rates. After protection was afforded to Desert Tortoises under the US Endangered Species Act in 1990, monitoring shifted mostly to line-distance sampling across broad areas for estimating densities of primarily adult tortoises to inform long-term population trends. However, that approach is incapable of providing data about other demographic characteristics important to population growth and viability. We surveyed a previously unsampled demography plot in the western Mojave Desert, California, USA, during 2022 and applied spatial capture–recapture (SCR) models to estimate spatially explicit Desert Tortoise density and sex-by-size class compositions. Directly accounting for spatiotemporally varying survey effort in SCR models via hazard-based adjustment reduced the estimated detection rate by 91% and increased the estimated density by 17%. Estimated spatial mean Desert Tortoise density across a 2.53-km² area was 18.53 tortoises/km² (95% confidence interval [CI] = 12.36–27.77). The SCR model–estimated size class ratio was skewed toward prereproductive tortoises (64% prereproductive; 36% adults), whereas the adult sex ratio was female biased (61% females; 39% males). Those ratios corresponded to densities of 11.86 prereproductive tortoises/km² (95% CI = 7.91–17.77), 4.08 adult female tortoises/km² (95% CI = 2.72–6.11), and 2.59 adult male tortoises/km² (95% CI = 1.73–3.89). Estimated tortoise density and demographic composition collectively support a high potential for population growth. Our study provides an illustrative example of using SCR models to directly estimate spatially explicit local Desert Tortoise densities and demographic composition that can be used for long-term monitoring and comparisons with other demography plots to inform conservation.