Water-surface profile maps for the Mississippi River near Prairie Island, Minnesota, 2019

Digital water-surface profile maps for a 14-mile reach of the Mississippi River near Prairie Island, Minnesota, from the confluence of the St. Croix River at Prescott, Wisconsin, to upstream from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Lock and Dam No. 3 (U.S. Army Corps of Engineers National Inventory of Dams number MN00595) in Welch, Minnesota, were created by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) in cooperation with the Prairie Island Indian Community in the State of Minnesota. The water-surface profile maps depict estimates of the areal extent and depth of water inundation corresponding to selected water levels (stages) at the USGS streamgage Mississippi River at Prescott, Wisconsin (USGS station number 05344500). Current conditions for estimating near-real-time areas of inundation by use of USGS streamgage information may be obtained from the National Water Information System on the internet at https://doi.org/10.5066/F7P55KJN.

In this study, water-surface profiles were computed for the stream reach by means of a one-dimensional step-backwater model. The model was calibrated by using the most current stage-discharge relations at the USGS streamgage Mississippi River at Prescott, Wisconsin (USGS station number 05344500). The hydraulic model was then used to determine four water-surface profiles for stream stages at 37.00, 39.00, 40.00, and 41.00 feet (ft) referenced to the streamgage datum and ranging from bankfull to approximately 2 ft below the highest recorded stage at the streamgage, which is 43.11 ft. The simulated water-surface profiles were then combined with a geographic information system digital elevation model (derived from light detection and ranging data having a 0.35-ft vertical and 1.97-ft root mean square error horizontal resolution) in order to delineate the area inundated at each stage.

The combination of maps provided in this report and real-time stage data from the upstream USGS streamgage provide emergency management personnel and residents with information that is critical for flood response activities such as evacuations and road closures as well as for post flood recovery efforts.