Allison M Shumway
Allison Shumway is a research geophysicist with the Earthquake Hazards Program.
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 23
Data Release for the 2007 Alaska Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for the 2007 Alaska Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2007 Alaska Seismic Hazard Model. Time-independent probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of Alaska and the Aleutians for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.5, 1.0 and 2.0 second spectral acceleration at probability levels of 2 percent in 50...
Data Release for the 2012 Guam and Northern Mariana Islands Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for the 2012 Guam and Northern Mariana Islands Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2012 Guam and Northern Mariana Islands Seismic Hazard Model. Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2 and 1.0 second spectral acceleration at probability levels of 2 percent in 50...
Data Release for the 2008 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Data Release for the 2008 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S.
Seismicity catalogs, gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2008 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. (1) Seismicity catalogs are available for the western U.S. (in Mw) and central and eastern U.S. (in mb). (2) Gridded (0.05 degree by 0.05 degree) ground motion values and hazard maps...
Data Release for the 2012 American Samoa and Neighboring South Pacific Islands Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for the 2012 American Samoa and Neighboring South Pacific Islands Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2012 American Samoa and Neighboring South Pacific Islands Seismic Hazard Model. Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of American Samoa and Neighboring South Pacific Islands for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2 and 1.0 second spectral acceleration at...
Data Release for the 1996 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Data Release for the 1996 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S.
Seismicity catalogs, gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 1996 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Seismicity catalogs are available for the western U.S. (in Mw) and central and eastern U.S. (in mb). Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of the conterminous U.S. for peak...
Data Release for the 2003 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for the 2003 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2003 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands Seismic Hazard Model. Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps are available for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2, 0.3, and 1.0 second spectral acceleration at probability levels of 2 percent in 50 years and 10...
Data Release for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Data Release for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S.
Seismicity catalogs, GIS shapefiles, gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of the conterminous U.S. for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2 and 1.0 second spectral acceleration at probability...
Data Release for 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model
The 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model defines the potential for earthquake ground shaking for various probability levels across the conterminous United States and is applied in seismic provisions of building codes, insurance rate structures, risk assessments, and other public policy. The updated model represents an assessment of the best available science in...
Data Release for Additional Period and Site Class Maps for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous United States Data Release for Additional Period and Site Class Maps for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous United States
The 2014 update of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the conterminous United States (2014 NSHM; Petersen and others, 2014; https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2008/1128/) included probabilistic ground motion maps for 2 percent and 10 percent probabilities of exceedance in 50 years, derived from seismic hazard curves for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2...
Seismic Hazard, Risk, and Design for South America Seismic Hazard, Risk, and Design for South America
These data were calculated to estimate seismic hazard, risk, and design across South America using the latest data, models, and methods. The input data to the model, as well as the output data are available here. The input data includes a seismicity catalog, seismicity rate models, evaluation of earthquake sizes, fault geometry and rate parameters, and ground-motion models. Output data...
2017 One-Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes 2017 One-Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes
We produced a one-year 2017 seismic hazard forecast for the central and eastern United States from induced and natural earthquakes that replaces the one-year 2016 forecast, and evaluated the 2016 seismic hazard forecast to improve future assessments. The 2016 forecast indicated high seismic hazard (greater than 1% probability of damaging ground shaking in 1 year) in portions of Oklahoma...
Filter Total Items: 35
The 2023 US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground-motion characterization for the conterminous United States The 2023 US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground-motion characterization for the conterminous United States
We update the ground-motion characterization for the 2023 National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the conterminous United States. The update includes the use of new ground-motion models (GMMs) in the Cascadia subduction zone; an adjustment to the central and eastern United States (CEUS) GMMs to reduce misfits with observed data; an updated boundary for the application of GMMs for...
Authors
Morgan P. Moschetti, Brad T. Aagaard, Sean Kamran Ahdi, Jason M. Altekruse, Oliver S. Boyd, Arthur D. Frankel, Julie A. Herrick, Mark D. Petersen, Peter M. Powers, Sanaz Rezaeian, Allison M. Shumway, James Andrew Smith, William J. Stephenson, Eric M. Thompson, Kyle B. Withers
Earthquake rupture forecast model construction for the 2023 U.S. 50‐State National Seismic Hazard Model Update: Central and eastern U.S. fault‐based source model Earthquake rupture forecast model construction for the 2023 U.S. 50‐State National Seismic Hazard Model Update: Central and eastern U.S. fault‐based source model
As part of the U.S. Geological Survey’s 2023 50‐State National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM), we make modest revisions and additions to the central and eastern U.S. (CEUS) fault‐based seismic source model that result in locally substantial hazard changes. The CEUS fault‐based source model was last updated as part of the 2014 NSHM and considered new information from the Seismic Source
Authors
Allison M. Shumway, Mark D. Petersen, Gabriel Toro, Peter M. Powers, Jason M. Altekruse, Julie A. Herrick, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Jessica A. Thompson Jobe, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Demi Leafar Girot
The 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and implications The 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and implications
The US National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) was updated in 2023 for all 50 states using new science on seismicity, fault ruptures, ground motions, and probabilistic techniques to produce a standard of practice for public policy and other engineering applications (defined for return periods greater than ∼475 or less than ∼10,000 years). Changes in 2023 time-independent seismic hazard...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Edward H. Field, Morgan P. Moschetti, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Kevin R. Milner, Sanaz Rezaeian, Arthur D. Frankel, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Jason M. Altekruse, Sean Kamran Ahdi, Kyle B. Withers, Charles Mueller, Yuehua Zeng, Robert E. Chase, Leah M. Salditch, Nico Luco, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Julie A. Herrick, Demi Leafar Girot, Brad T. Aagaard, Adrian Bender, Michael L. Blanpied, Richard W. Briggs, Oliver S. Boyd, Brandon S. Clayton, Christopher B. DuRoss, Eileen L. Evans, Peter J. Haeussler, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Kirstie Lafon Haynie, Elizabeth H. Hearn, Kaj M. Johnson, Zachary Alan Kortum, N. Simon Kwong, Andrew James Makdisi, Henry Mason, Daniel McNamara, Devin McPhillips, P. Okubo, Morgan T. Page, Frederick Pollitz, Justin L. Rubinstein, Bruce E. Shaw, Zheng-Kang Shen, Brian Shiro, James Andrew Smith, William J. Stephenson, Eric M. Thompson, Jessica A. Thompson Jobe, Erin A. Wirth, Robert C. Witter
The USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast The USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast
We present the 2023 U.S. Geological Survey time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast for the conterminous United States, which gives authoritative estimates of the magnitude, location, and time‐averaged frequency of potentially damaging earthquakes throughout the region. In addition to updating virtually all model components, a major focus has been to provide a better representation...
Authors
Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Peter M. Powers, Frederick Pollitz, Andrea L. Llenos, Yuehua Zeng, Kaj M. Johnson, Bruce E. Shaw, Devin McPhillips, Jessica A. Thompson Jobe, Allison M. Shumway, Andrew J. Michael, Zheng-Kang Shen, Eileen L. Evans, Elizabeth H. Hearn, Charles Mueller, Arthur D. Frankel, Mark D. Petersen, Christopher B. DuRoss, Richard W. Briggs, Morgan T. Page, Justin L. Rubinstein, Julie A. Herrick
Induced seismicity and its impact on existing seismic hazard analysis Induced seismicity and its impact on existing seismic hazard analysis
We develop a scheme for mapping changes in earthquake rates within a region in near-real-time. A specific goal of the work is to track recent changes in the rates of induced earthquakes in the central and eastern United States. We map rates in a time window of interest, map rates in a preceding time window, and then ratio the two maps to show changes. A proof-of-concept map is first...
Authors
Charles Mueller, Allison M. Shumway
U.S. Geological Survey coastal plain amplification virtual workshop U.S. Geological Survey coastal plain amplification virtual workshop
In early October of 2020, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) held a virtual workshop to discuss Gulf and Atlantic Coastal Plains site-response models. Earthquake researchers came together to assess (1) research related to proposed Coastal Plains amplification models and (2) USGS plans for implementing these models. Presentations spanned a broad range of topics from Atlantic and Gulf...
Authors
Oliver S. Boyd, Thomas L. Pratt, Martin C. Chapman, Allison M. Shumway, Sanaz Rezaeian, Morgan P. Moschetti, Mark D. Petersen
2021 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for the State of Hawaii 2021 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for the State of Hawaii
The 2021 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the State of Hawaii updates the two-decades-old former model by incorporating new data and modeling techniques to improve the underlying ground shaking forecasts of tectonic-fault, tectonic-flexure, volcanic, and caldera collapse earthquakes. Two earthquake ground shaking hazard models (public policy and research) are produced that...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Morgan P. Moschetti, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Charles Mueller, Arthur D. Frankel, Sanaz Rezaeian, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Daniel E. McNamara, P. Okubo, Yuehua Zeng, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Sean Kamran Ahdi, Jason M. Altekruse, Brian Shiro
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground motion models in the western US The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground motion models in the western US
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) is the scientific foundation of seismic design regulations in the United States and is regularly updated to consider the best available science and data. The 2018 update of the conterminous U.S. NSHM includes significant changes to the underlying ground motion models (GMMs), most of which are necessary to enable the...
Authors
Peter M. Powers, Sanaz Rezaeian, Allison M. Shumway, Mark D. Petersen, Nico Luco, Oliver S. Boyd, Morgan P. Moschetti, Arthur D. Frankel, Eric M. Thompson
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground motion models in the central and eastern US The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground motion models in the central and eastern US
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) is the scientific foundation of seismic design regulations in the United States and is regularly updated to consider the best available science and data. The 2018 update of the conterminous US NSHM includes major changes to the underlying ground motion models (GMMs). Most of the changes are motivated by the...
Authors
Sanaz Rezaeian, Peter M. Powers, Allison M. Shumway, Mark D. Petersen, Nico Luco, Arthur D. Frankel, Morgan P. Moschetti, Eric M. Thompson, Daniel McNamara
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Where, why, and how much probabilistic ground motion maps changed The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Where, why, and how much probabilistic ground motion maps changed
The 2018 US Geological Survey National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) incorporates new data and updated science to improve the underlying earthquake and ground motion forecasts for the conterminous United States. The NSHM considers many new data and component input models: (1) new earthquakes between 2013 and 2017 and updated earthquake magnitudes for some earlier earthquakes; (2) two...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Charles S Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Arthur D. Frankel, Sanaz Rezaeian, Daniel McNamara, Nico Luco, Oliver S. Boyd, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Eric M. Thompson, Susan M. Hoover, Brandon S. Clayton, Edward H. Field, Yuehua Zeng
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Additional period and site class data The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Additional period and site class data
As part of the update of the 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the conterminous United States (CONUS), new ground motion and site effect models for the central and eastern United States were incorporated, as well as basin depths from local seismic velocity models in four western US (WUS) urban areas. These additions allow us, for the first time, to calculate probabilistic...
Authors
Allison M. Shumway, Mark D. Petersen, Peter M. Powers, Sanaz Rezaeian, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Brandon S. Clayton
2018 and 2023 U. S. National Seismic Hazard Models 2018 and 2023 U. S. National Seismic Hazard Models
During 2017-2018, the National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) was updated by incorporating (1) new median ground motion models, new estimates of their epistemic uncertainties and aleatory variabilities, and new soil amplification factors for the central and eastern U.S., (2) amplification of long-period ground motions in deep sedimentary basins in the Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Charles Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Arthur D. Frankel, Sanaz Rezaeian, Daniel McNamara, Nico Luco, Oliver S. Boyd, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Eric M. Thompson, Susan M. Hoover, Brandon S. Clayton, Edward H. Field, Yuehua Zeng
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 23
Data Release for the 2007 Alaska Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for the 2007 Alaska Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2007 Alaska Seismic Hazard Model. Time-independent probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of Alaska and the Aleutians for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.5, 1.0 and 2.0 second spectral acceleration at probability levels of 2 percent in 50...
Data Release for the 2012 Guam and Northern Mariana Islands Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for the 2012 Guam and Northern Mariana Islands Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2012 Guam and Northern Mariana Islands Seismic Hazard Model. Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2 and 1.0 second spectral acceleration at probability levels of 2 percent in 50...
Data Release for the 2008 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Data Release for the 2008 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S.
Seismicity catalogs, gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2008 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. (1) Seismicity catalogs are available for the western U.S. (in Mw) and central and eastern U.S. (in mb). (2) Gridded (0.05 degree by 0.05 degree) ground motion values and hazard maps...
Data Release for the 2012 American Samoa and Neighboring South Pacific Islands Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for the 2012 American Samoa and Neighboring South Pacific Islands Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2012 American Samoa and Neighboring South Pacific Islands Seismic Hazard Model. Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of American Samoa and Neighboring South Pacific Islands for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2 and 1.0 second spectral acceleration at...
Data Release for the 1996 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Data Release for the 1996 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S.
Seismicity catalogs, gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 1996 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Seismicity catalogs are available for the western U.S. (in Mw) and central and eastern U.S. (in mb). Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of the conterminous U.S. for peak...
Data Release for the 2003 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for the 2003 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands Seismic Hazard Model
Gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2003 Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands Seismic Hazard Model. Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps are available for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2, 0.3, and 1.0 second spectral acceleration at probability levels of 2 percent in 50 years and 10...
Data Release for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Data Release for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S.
Seismicity catalogs, GIS shapefiles, gridded seismic hazard curve data, gridded ground motion data, and mapped gridded ground motion values are available for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous U.S. Probabilistic seismic hazard data and maps of the conterminous U.S. for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2 and 1.0 second spectral acceleration at probability...
Data Release for 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model Data Release for 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model
The 2018 Update of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model defines the potential for earthquake ground shaking for various probability levels across the conterminous United States and is applied in seismic provisions of building codes, insurance rate structures, risk assessments, and other public policy. The updated model represents an assessment of the best available science in...
Data Release for Additional Period and Site Class Maps for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous United States Data Release for Additional Period and Site Class Maps for the 2014 National Seismic Hazard Model for the Conterminous United States
The 2014 update of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the conterminous United States (2014 NSHM; Petersen and others, 2014; https://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2008/1128/) included probabilistic ground motion maps for 2 percent and 10 percent probabilities of exceedance in 50 years, derived from seismic hazard curves for peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 0.2...
Seismic Hazard, Risk, and Design for South America Seismic Hazard, Risk, and Design for South America
These data were calculated to estimate seismic hazard, risk, and design across South America using the latest data, models, and methods. The input data to the model, as well as the output data are available here. The input data includes a seismicity catalog, seismicity rate models, evaluation of earthquake sizes, fault geometry and rate parameters, and ground-motion models. Output data...
2017 One-Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes 2017 One-Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes
We produced a one-year 2017 seismic hazard forecast for the central and eastern United States from induced and natural earthquakes that replaces the one-year 2016 forecast, and evaluated the 2016 seismic hazard forecast to improve future assessments. The 2016 forecast indicated high seismic hazard (greater than 1% probability of damaging ground shaking in 1 year) in portions of Oklahoma...
Filter Total Items: 35
The 2023 US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground-motion characterization for the conterminous United States The 2023 US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground-motion characterization for the conterminous United States
We update the ground-motion characterization for the 2023 National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the conterminous United States. The update includes the use of new ground-motion models (GMMs) in the Cascadia subduction zone; an adjustment to the central and eastern United States (CEUS) GMMs to reduce misfits with observed data; an updated boundary for the application of GMMs for...
Authors
Morgan P. Moschetti, Brad T. Aagaard, Sean Kamran Ahdi, Jason M. Altekruse, Oliver S. Boyd, Arthur D. Frankel, Julie A. Herrick, Mark D. Petersen, Peter M. Powers, Sanaz Rezaeian, Allison M. Shumway, James Andrew Smith, William J. Stephenson, Eric M. Thompson, Kyle B. Withers
Earthquake rupture forecast model construction for the 2023 U.S. 50‐State National Seismic Hazard Model Update: Central and eastern U.S. fault‐based source model Earthquake rupture forecast model construction for the 2023 U.S. 50‐State National Seismic Hazard Model Update: Central and eastern U.S. fault‐based source model
As part of the U.S. Geological Survey’s 2023 50‐State National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM), we make modest revisions and additions to the central and eastern U.S. (CEUS) fault‐based seismic source model that result in locally substantial hazard changes. The CEUS fault‐based source model was last updated as part of the 2014 NSHM and considered new information from the Seismic Source
Authors
Allison M. Shumway, Mark D. Petersen, Gabriel Toro, Peter M. Powers, Jason M. Altekruse, Julie A. Herrick, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Jessica A. Thompson Jobe, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Demi Leafar Girot
The 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and implications The 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and implications
The US National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) was updated in 2023 for all 50 states using new science on seismicity, fault ruptures, ground motions, and probabilistic techniques to produce a standard of practice for public policy and other engineering applications (defined for return periods greater than ∼475 or less than ∼10,000 years). Changes in 2023 time-independent seismic hazard...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Edward H. Field, Morgan P. Moschetti, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Kevin R. Milner, Sanaz Rezaeian, Arthur D. Frankel, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Jason M. Altekruse, Sean Kamran Ahdi, Kyle B. Withers, Charles Mueller, Yuehua Zeng, Robert E. Chase, Leah M. Salditch, Nico Luco, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Julie A. Herrick, Demi Leafar Girot, Brad T. Aagaard, Adrian Bender, Michael L. Blanpied, Richard W. Briggs, Oliver S. Boyd, Brandon S. Clayton, Christopher B. DuRoss, Eileen L. Evans, Peter J. Haeussler, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Kirstie Lafon Haynie, Elizabeth H. Hearn, Kaj M. Johnson, Zachary Alan Kortum, N. Simon Kwong, Andrew James Makdisi, Henry Mason, Daniel McNamara, Devin McPhillips, P. Okubo, Morgan T. Page, Frederick Pollitz, Justin L. Rubinstein, Bruce E. Shaw, Zheng-Kang Shen, Brian Shiro, James Andrew Smith, William J. Stephenson, Eric M. Thompson, Jessica A. Thompson Jobe, Erin A. Wirth, Robert C. Witter
The USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast The USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast
We present the 2023 U.S. Geological Survey time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast for the conterminous United States, which gives authoritative estimates of the magnitude, location, and time‐averaged frequency of potentially damaging earthquakes throughout the region. In addition to updating virtually all model components, a major focus has been to provide a better representation...
Authors
Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Peter M. Powers, Frederick Pollitz, Andrea L. Llenos, Yuehua Zeng, Kaj M. Johnson, Bruce E. Shaw, Devin McPhillips, Jessica A. Thompson Jobe, Allison M. Shumway, Andrew J. Michael, Zheng-Kang Shen, Eileen L. Evans, Elizabeth H. Hearn, Charles Mueller, Arthur D. Frankel, Mark D. Petersen, Christopher B. DuRoss, Richard W. Briggs, Morgan T. Page, Justin L. Rubinstein, Julie A. Herrick
Induced seismicity and its impact on existing seismic hazard analysis Induced seismicity and its impact on existing seismic hazard analysis
We develop a scheme for mapping changes in earthquake rates within a region in near-real-time. A specific goal of the work is to track recent changes in the rates of induced earthquakes in the central and eastern United States. We map rates in a time window of interest, map rates in a preceding time window, and then ratio the two maps to show changes. A proof-of-concept map is first...
Authors
Charles Mueller, Allison M. Shumway
U.S. Geological Survey coastal plain amplification virtual workshop U.S. Geological Survey coastal plain amplification virtual workshop
In early October of 2020, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) held a virtual workshop to discuss Gulf and Atlantic Coastal Plains site-response models. Earthquake researchers came together to assess (1) research related to proposed Coastal Plains amplification models and (2) USGS plans for implementing these models. Presentations spanned a broad range of topics from Atlantic and Gulf...
Authors
Oliver S. Boyd, Thomas L. Pratt, Martin C. Chapman, Allison M. Shumway, Sanaz Rezaeian, Morgan P. Moschetti, Mark D. Petersen
2021 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for the State of Hawaii 2021 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model for the State of Hawaii
The 2021 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the State of Hawaii updates the two-decades-old former model by incorporating new data and modeling techniques to improve the underlying ground shaking forecasts of tectonic-fault, tectonic-flexure, volcanic, and caldera collapse earthquakes. Two earthquake ground shaking hazard models (public policy and research) are produced that...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Morgan P. Moschetti, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Charles Mueller, Arthur D. Frankel, Sanaz Rezaeian, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Daniel E. McNamara, P. Okubo, Yuehua Zeng, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Sean Kamran Ahdi, Jason M. Altekruse, Brian Shiro
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground motion models in the western US The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground motion models in the western US
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) is the scientific foundation of seismic design regulations in the United States and is regularly updated to consider the best available science and data. The 2018 update of the conterminous U.S. NSHM includes significant changes to the underlying ground motion models (GMMs), most of which are necessary to enable the...
Authors
Peter M. Powers, Sanaz Rezaeian, Allison M. Shumway, Mark D. Petersen, Nico Luco, Oliver S. Boyd, Morgan P. Moschetti, Arthur D. Frankel, Eric M. Thompson
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground motion models in the central and eastern US The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Ground motion models in the central and eastern US
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) is the scientific foundation of seismic design regulations in the United States and is regularly updated to consider the best available science and data. The 2018 update of the conterminous US NSHM includes major changes to the underlying ground motion models (GMMs). Most of the changes are motivated by the...
Authors
Sanaz Rezaeian, Peter M. Powers, Allison M. Shumway, Mark D. Petersen, Nico Luco, Arthur D. Frankel, Morgan P. Moschetti, Eric M. Thompson, Daniel McNamara
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Where, why, and how much probabilistic ground motion maps changed The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Where, why, and how much probabilistic ground motion maps changed
The 2018 US Geological Survey National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) incorporates new data and updated science to improve the underlying earthquake and ground motion forecasts for the conterminous United States. The NSHM considers many new data and component input models: (1) new earthquakes between 2013 and 2017 and updated earthquake magnitudes for some earlier earthquakes; (2) two...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Charles S Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Arthur D. Frankel, Sanaz Rezaeian, Daniel McNamara, Nico Luco, Oliver S. Boyd, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Eric M. Thompson, Susan M. Hoover, Brandon S. Clayton, Edward H. Field, Yuehua Zeng
The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Additional period and site class data The 2018 update of the US National Seismic Hazard Model: Additional period and site class data
As part of the update of the 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for the conterminous United States (CONUS), new ground motion and site effect models for the central and eastern United States were incorporated, as well as basin depths from local seismic velocity models in four western US (WUS) urban areas. These additions allow us, for the first time, to calculate probabilistic...
Authors
Allison M. Shumway, Mark D. Petersen, Peter M. Powers, Sanaz Rezaeian, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Brandon S. Clayton
2018 and 2023 U. S. National Seismic Hazard Models 2018 and 2023 U. S. National Seismic Hazard Models
During 2017-2018, the National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) was updated by incorporating (1) new median ground motion models, new estimates of their epistemic uncertainties and aleatory variabilities, and new soil amplification factors for the central and eastern U.S., (2) amplification of long-period ground motions in deep sedimentary basins in the Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Charles Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Arthur D. Frankel, Sanaz Rezaeian, Daniel McNamara, Nico Luco, Oliver S. Boyd, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Kishor S. Jaiswal, Eric M. Thompson, Susan M. Hoover, Brandon S. Clayton, Edward H. Field, Yuehua Zeng