Andrew Michael


Andy Michael has been a geophysicist with the U.S. Geological Survey’s Earthquake Science Center in Menlo Park since 1986 where he combines observations of earthquake processes and statistical models to determine long-term and short-term earthquake probabilities, to evaluate proposed earthquake prediction methods, and to better understand how stress and structure function as part of the seismogenic process.  A graduate of MIT (B.S., 1981) and Stanford University (M.S., 1983, Ph.D. 1986), he has authored over 100 papers and reports.  He was the Editor-in-Chief of the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America from 2004 to 2010, served on the society's Board of Directors from 2014 to 2019 and was its President from 2017 to 2018. In 2011, for that work, he received the Society's Distinguished Service award.  His outreach efforts include founding the Earthquake Science Center web site ( which became part of to facilitate the rapid dissemination of earthquake information and a lecture and performance titled “The Music of Earthquakes,” which combines music and seismology and features “Earthquake Quartet #1,” his composition for voice, cello, trombone, and seismograms.  He is one of the founders of a new online educational resource: The Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis.  For his career contributions he was given the Department of the Interior's Distinguished Service Award in 2019.

He currently works on the USGS Earthquake Probabilities and Occurrence Project, the Induced Seismicity Project, the Working Group for California Earthquake Probabilities, and is a member of the National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council.


Partial lists of my publications can be found below (click on the publications tab) and on Web of Science   Scopus  Google Scholar   and ORCID.

If you do not have access to a publication or can't find one in those lists, please email me.