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John Wesley Powell Center for Analysis and Synthesis

Offering the opportunity for emergent knowledge in Earth system science through collaborative analysis and synthesis.

News

Powell Center Working Groups - Class of 2026

Powell Center Working Groups - Class of 2026

Synthesis Skills for Early Career Researchers Course is Open

Synthesis Skills for Early Career Researchers Course is Open

Call for Proposals and How-To Seminar for FY 2026

Call for Proposals and How-To Seminar for FY 2026

Publications

Surface variable‐based machine learning for scalable arsenic prediction in undersampled areas Surface variable‐based machine learning for scalable arsenic prediction in undersampled areas

In the United States, private wells are not federally regulated, and many households do not test for Arsenic (As). Chronic exposure is linked with multiple health outcomes, and risk can change sharply over short distances and with well depth. Coarse maps or sparse sampling often miss exceedances. Most existing models operate at ∼1 km resolution and use groundwater chemistry or detailed...
Authors
Shams Azad, Mason O. Stahl, Melinda Erickson, Beck A. DeYoung, Craig T. Connolly, Lawrence Chillrud, Kathrin Schilling, Ana Navas-Acien, Anirban Basu, Brian Mailloux, Benjamin C. Bostick, Steven N. Chillrud

Identifying headwater streams across the conterminous United States Identifying headwater streams across the conterminous United States

Headwater streams play critical roles in hydrologic and biogeochemical processes and functions, yet their spatial distribution and land cover context remain poorly understood at continental scales, and no dedicated geospatial dataset exists. Building from a high-resolution conterminous United States (CONUS) hydrography network dataset, we quantified the spatial extent, density, and...
Authors
Charles R. Lane, Ellen D’Amico, Jay R. Christensen, Heather E. Golden, Frederick Y. Cheng, John C. Hammond, Admin Husic, Kristin L. Jaeger, C. Nathan Jones, Christa A. Kelleher, Li Li, D. Tyler Mahoney, Hilary K. McMillan, Adam N. Price, Roy Sando, Catalina Segura, Erin C. Seybold, Adam S. Ward, Margaret Zimmer

Projecting management-relevant change of undeveloped coastal barriers with the Mesoscale Explicit Ecogeomorphic Barrier model (MEEB) v1.0 Projecting management-relevant change of undeveloped coastal barriers with the Mesoscale Explicit Ecogeomorphic Barrier model (MEEB) v1.0

Models of coastal barrier geomorphic and ecologic change are valuable tools for understanding and predicting when, where, and how barriers evolve and transition between ecogeomorphic states. Few existing models of barrier systems are designed to operate over spatiotemporal scales congruous with effective management practices (i.e., decades/kilometers, referred to herein as “mesoscales”)
Authors
Ian Robert Reeves, Andrew D. Ashton, Erika E. Lentz, Christopher R. Sherwood, Davina Passeri, Sara Zeigler

Science

Operationalizing the use of millennial-scale geologic constraints for testing and improving modern seismic hazard models

This Powell Center working group will improve the National Seismic Hazard Model by developing and operationalizing the first comprehensive set of geologic data on past earthquake shaking intensity.
Operationalizing the use of millennial-scale geologic constraints for testing and improving modern seismic hazard models

Operationalizing the use of millennial-scale geologic constraints for testing and improving modern seismic hazard models

This Powell Center working group will improve the National Seismic Hazard Model by developing and operationalizing the first comprehensive set of geologic data on past earthquake shaking intensity.
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A spatially explicit framework to assess the risk of aquatic contaminants to insectivorous birds

Aquatic contamination can reduce both the quantity and quality of nutritionally important aquatic insect prey and has been implicated in global declines of insectivorous birds. Yet hotspots of risk and the relative importance of quantity (that is, prey limitation) versus quality (that is, prey toxicity) remain poorly resolved across the landscape.
A spatially explicit framework to assess the risk of aquatic contaminants to insectivorous birds

A spatially explicit framework to assess the risk of aquatic contaminants to insectivorous birds

Aquatic contamination can reduce both the quantity and quality of nutritionally important aquatic insect prey and has been implicated in global declines of insectivorous birds. Yet hotspots of risk and the relative importance of quantity (that is, prey limitation) versus quality (that is, prey toxicity) remain poorly resolved across the landscape.
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Effects of global change on alpine and subalpine ecosystems

Atmospheric nitrogen deposition, changing environmental patterns, and recreation are rapidly altering high elevation ecosystems. This project will evaluate long-term biogeochemical, hydrological, and ecological trends in Rocky Mountain National Park to understand the causes and rates of change in alpine and subalpine waters, soils, and vegetation. Resource managers of high-elevation, protected...
Effects of global change on alpine and subalpine ecosystems

Effects of global change on alpine and subalpine ecosystems

Atmospheric nitrogen deposition, changing environmental patterns, and recreation are rapidly altering high elevation ecosystems. This project will evaluate long-term biogeochemical, hydrological, and ecological trends in Rocky Mountain National Park to understand the causes and rates of change in alpine and subalpine waters, soils, and vegetation. Resource managers of high-elevation, protected...
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