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Explore WARC's science publications.

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Modeling mangrove forest migration along the southwest coast of Florida under climate change Modeling mangrove forest migration along the southwest coast of Florida under climate change

Mangrove forests dominate in the intertidal zones of the tropical extent of the coast about the Gulf of Mexico, USA. Global climate change forecasts suggest that these coastal forests will be among those ecosystems most immediately threatened by projected increases in sea level and hurricanes. The interactive effects of environmental conditions that prevail in these forests and the...
Authors
Thomas W. Doyle, Garrett F. Girod, Mark A. Books

Predicting coastal retreat in the Florida Big Bend region of the Gulf Coast under climate change induced sea-level rise Predicting coastal retreat in the Florida Big Bend region of the Gulf Coast under climate change induced sea-level rise

Many wildlife preserves and refuges in coastal areas of our nation are slowly being inundated by rising sea-level. Land elevation and tidal flooding are key factors controlling the extent and zonation of coastal habitats. Warming of our global environment threatens to speed the rate of sea-level rise and perhaps further amplify the detrimental effects of tropical storms, droughts, and...
Authors
Thomas W. Doyle, Richard H. Day, Janelda M. Biagas

Uncertainty in spatially explicit animal dispersal models Uncertainty in spatially explicit animal dispersal models

Uncertainty in estimates of survival of dispersing animals is a vexing difficulty in conservation biology. The current notion is that this uncertainty decreases the usefulness of spatially explicit population models in particular. We examined this problem by comparing dispersal models of three levels of complexity: (1) an event-based binomial model that considers only the occurrence of...
Authors
Wolf M. Mooij, Donald L. DeAngelis

A gentic survey of Salvinia minima in the southern United States A gentic survey of Salvinia minima in the southern United States

The genetic relationships among 68 samples of Salvinia minima (Salviniaceae) were investigated using RAPD analysis. Neighbor joining, principle components, and AMOVA analyses were used to detect differences among geographically referenced samples within and outside of Florida. Genetic distances (Nei and Li) range up to 0.48, although most are under 0.30, still relatively high levels for...
Authors
Paul T. Madeira, Colette C. Jacono, Phil Tipping, Thai K. Van, Ted D. Center

Archive of Boomer and Chirp Seismic Reflection Data Collected During USGS Cruise 01RCE02, Southern Louisiana, April and May 2001 Archive of Boomer and Chirp Seismic Reflection Data Collected During USGS Cruise 01RCE02, Southern Louisiana, April and May 2001

In April and May of 2001, the U.S. Geological Survey conducted a geophysical study of the Mississippi River Delta, Atchafalaya River Delta, and Shell Island Pass in southern Louisiana. This study was part of a larger USGS River Contaminant Evaluation (RCE) Project. This disc serves as an archive of unprocessed digital seismic reflection data, trackline navigation files, shotpoint...
Authors
Karynna Calderon, Shawn V. Dadisman, James G. Flocks, Dana S. Wiese

Structural Equation Modeling: Applications in ecological and evolutionary biology Structural Equation Modeling: Applications in ecological and evolutionary biology

This book presents an introduction to the methodology of structural equation modeling, illustrates its use, and goes on to argue that it has revolutionary implications for the study of natural systems. A major theme of this book is that we have, up to this point, attempted to study systems primarily using methods (such as the univariate model) that were designed only for considering...
Authors
Bruce H. Pugesek, Adrian Tomer, Alexander von Eye

Interactive effects of redox intensity and phosphate availability on growth and nutrient relations of Cladium jamaicense (Cyperaceae) Interactive effects of redox intensity and phosphate availability on growth and nutrient relations of Cladium jamaicense (Cyperaceae)

Expansion of Typha domingensis into areas previously dominated by Cladium jamaicensein the Florida Everglades has been linked to anthropogenic phosphorus (P) enrichment and increased hydroperiod. The principal stress factor for plants in flooded soils is biochemical reduction, the intensity of which is measured as redox potential (Eh). The objective of this study was to assess the growth...
Authors
J. Lissner, I.A. Mendelssohn, B. Lorenzen, H. Brix, K.L. McKee, S.L. Miao

Bayesian inference and decision theory - A framework for decision making in natural resource management Bayesian inference and decision theory - A framework for decision making in natural resource management

Bayesian inference and decision theory may be used in the solution of relatively complex problems of natural resource management, owing to recent advances in statistical theory and computing. In particular, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms provide a computational framework for fitting models of adequate complexity and for evaluating the expected consequences of alternative management...
Authors
R.M. Dorazio, Fred A. Johnson

Bird communities, roads and development: Prospects and constraints of applying empirical models Bird communities, roads and development: Prospects and constraints of applying empirical models

Our objectives were to explain the prospects and constraints of applying empirical models that relate bird community metrics to broad-scale characteristics of roads and development. We explored the practical value of regression models that were derived for a large protected area in the Chihuahuan Desert. These models related bird species richness, relative abundance, or probability of...
Authors
K.J. Gutzwiller, W.C. Barrow

Monitoring the coral disease, plague type II, on coral reefs in St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands Monitoring the coral disease, plague type II, on coral reefs in St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands

In July 1997, conspicuous white patches of necrotic tissue and bare skeleton began to appear on scleractinian corals in several bays around St. John, US Virgin Islands. Analysis of diseased coral tissue from five different species confirmed the presence of a Sphingomonas-like bacterium, the pathogen for plague type II. To date, 14 species of hard corals have been affected by plague type...
Authors
J. Miller, C. Rogers, R. Waara
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