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Evaluating the importance of characterizing soil structure and horizons in parameterizing a hydrologic process model Evaluating the importance of characterizing soil structure and horizons in parameterizing a hydrologic process model

Incorporating the influence of soil structure and horizons into parameterizations of distributed surface water/groundwater models remains a challenge. Often, only a single soil unit is employed, and soil-hydraulic properties are assigned based on textural classification, without evaluating the potential impact of these simplifications. This study uses a distributed physics-based model to...
Authors
Benjamin B. Mirus

Assessment of existing and potential landslide hazards resulting from the April 25, 2015 Gorkha, Nepal earthquake sequence Assessment of existing and potential landslide hazards resulting from the April 25, 2015 Gorkha, Nepal earthquake sequence

Introduction On April 25, 2015, a large (M7.8) earthquake shook much of central Nepal and was followed by a series of M>6 aftershocks, including a M7.3 event on May 12, 2015. This earthquake and aftershocks, referred to as the “Gorkha earthquake sequence,” caused thousands of fatalities, damaged and destroyed entire villages, and displaced millions of residents. The earthquakes also...
Authors
Brian D. Collins, Randall W. Jibson

On the lognormality of historical magnetic-storm intensity statistics: Implications for extreme-event probabilities On the lognormality of historical magnetic-storm intensity statistics: Implications for extreme-event probabilities

An examination is made of the hypothesis that the statistics of magnetic storm maximum intensities are the realization of a lognormal stochastic process. Weighted least squares and maximum likelihood methods are used to fit lognormal functions to −Dst storm time maxima for years 1957–2012; bootstrap analysis is used to established confidence limits on forecasts. Both methods provide fits...
Authors
Jeffrey J. Love, E. Joshua Rigler, Antti Pulkkinen, Pete Riley

Hundreds of earthquakes per day: The 2014 Guthrie, Oklahoma, Earthquake Sequence Hundreds of earthquakes per day: The 2014 Guthrie, Oklahoma, Earthquake Sequence

A remarkable increase in seismic activity in Oklahoma since 2009 has been shown to correlate closely with enhanced hydrocarbon extraction and associated wastewater disposal; 99% of this recent Oklahoma earthquake activity has occurred within 15 km of a call II injection well (Ellsworth, 2013). In response to this increase in seismic activity, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) partnered...
Authors
Harley M. Benz, Nicole D McMahon, R Aster, Daniel E. McNamara, David J. Harris

Can low-resolution airborne laser scanning data be used to model stream rating curves? Can low-resolution airborne laser scanning data be used to model stream rating curves?

This pilot study explores the potential of using low-resolution (0.2 points/m2) airborne laser scanning (ALS)-derived elevation data to model stream rating curves. Rating curves, which allow the functional translation of stream water depth into discharge, making them integral to water resource monitoring efforts, were modeled using a physics-based approach that captures basic geometric
Authors
Steve Lyon, Marcus Nathanson, Norris Lam, Helen Dahlke, Martin Rutzinger, Jason W. Kean, Hjalmar Laudon

Aftershock collapse vulnerability assessment of reinforced concrete frame structures Aftershock collapse vulnerability assessment of reinforced concrete frame structures

In a seismically active region, structures may be subjected to multiple earthquakes, due to mainshock–aftershock phenomena or other sequences, leaving no time for repair or retrofit between the events. This study quantifies the aftershock vulnerability of four modern ductile reinforced concrete (RC) framed buildings in California by conducting incremental dynamic analysis of nonlinear...
Authors
Meera Raghunandan, Abbie B. Liel, Nico Luco

A long-term earthquake rate model for the central and eastern United States from smoothed seismicity A long-term earthquake rate model for the central and eastern United States from smoothed seismicity

I present a long-term earthquake rate model for the central and eastern United States from adaptive smoothed seismicity. By employing pseudoprospective likelihood testing (L-test), I examined the effects of fixed and adaptive smoothing methods and the effects of catalog duration and composition on the ability of the models to forecast the spatial distribution of recent earthquakes. To...
Authors
Morgan P. Moschetti

Controls on valley spacing in landscapes subject to rapid base-level fall Controls on valley spacing in landscapes subject to rapid base-level fall

What controls the architecture of drainage networks is a fundamental question in geomorphology. Recent work has elucidated the mechanisms of drainage network development in steadily uplifting landscapes, but the controls on drainage-network morphology in transient landscapes are relatively unknown. In this paper we exploit natural experiments in drainage network development in incised...
Authors
Luke McGuire, John D. Pelletier

Timing of susceptibility to post-fire debris flows in the western USA Timing of susceptibility to post-fire debris flows in the western USA

Watersheds recently burned by wildfires can have an increased susceptibility to debris flow, although little is known about how long this susceptibility persists, and how it changes over time. We here use a compilation of 75 debris-flow response and fire-ignition dates, vegetation and bedrock class, rainfall regime, and initiation process from throughout the western U.S. to address these...
Authors
Jerome V. DeGraff, Susan H. Cannon, Joseph E. Gartner

Tsunami recurrence in the eastern Alaska-Aleutian arc: A Holocene stratigraphic record from Chirikof Island, Alaska Tsunami recurrence in the eastern Alaska-Aleutian arc: A Holocene stratigraphic record from Chirikof Island, Alaska

Despite the role of the Alaska-Aleutian megathrust as the source of some of the largest earthquakes and tsunamis, the history of its pre–twentieth century tsunamis is largely unknown west of the rupture zone of the great (magnitude, M 9.2) 1964 earthquake. Stratigraphy in core transects at two boggy lowland sites on Chirikof Island’s southwest coast preserves tsunami deposits dating from...
Authors
Alan R. Nelson, Richard W. Briggs, Tina Dura, Simon E. Engelhart, Guy Gelfenbaum, Lee-Ann Bradley, S.L. Forman, Christopher H. Vane, K.A. Kelley
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