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Analysis and selection of magnitude relations for the Working Group on Utah Earthquake Probabilities Analysis and selection of magnitude relations for the Working Group on Utah Earthquake Probabilities

Prior to calculating time-independent and -dependent earthquake probabilities for faults in the Wasatch Front region, the Working Group on Utah Earthquake Probabilities (WGUEP) updated a seismic-source model for the region (Wong and others, 2014) and evaluated 19 historical regressions on earthquake magnitude (M). These regressions relate M to fault parameters for historical surface...
Authors
Christopher B. DuRoss, Susan Olig, David Schwartz

Time-varying interseismic strain rates and similar seismic ruptures on the Nias-Simeulue patch of the Sunda megathrust Time-varying interseismic strain rates and similar seismic ruptures on the Nias-Simeulue patch of the Sunda megathrust

Fossil coral microatolls from fringing reefs above the great (MW 8.6) megathrust rupture of 2005 record uplift during the historically reported great earthquake of 1861. Such evidence spans nearly the entire 400-km strike length of the 2005 rupture, which was previously shown to be bounded by two persistent barriers to seismic rupture. Moreover, at sites where we have constrained the...
Authors
Aron J. Meltzner, Kerry E. Sieh, Hong-Wei Chiang, Chung-Che Wu, Louisa L.H. Tsang, Chuan-Chou Shen, Emma M. Hill, Bambang W. Suwargadi, Danny H. Natawidjaja, Belle Philibosian, Richard W. Briggs

Thin‐ or thick‐skinned faulting in the Yakima fold and thrust belt (WA)? Constraints from kinematic modeling of the saddle mountains anticline Thin‐ or thick‐skinned faulting in the Yakima fold and thrust belt (WA)? Constraints from kinematic modeling of the saddle mountains anticline

The Yakima fold and thrust belt (YFTB) deforms the Columbia River Basalt Group flows of Washington State. The YFTB fault geometries and slip rates are crucial parameters for seismic‐hazard assessments of nearby dams and nuclear facilities, yet there are competing models for the subsurface fault geometry involving shallowly rooted versus deeply rooted fault systems. The YFTB is also...
Authors
Gabriele Casale, Thomas L. Pratt

Modifications to risk-targeted seismic design maps for subduction and near-fault hazards Modifications to risk-targeted seismic design maps for subduction and near-fault hazards

ASCE 7-10 introduced new seismic design maps that define risk-targeted ground motions such that buildings designed according to these maps will have 1% chance of collapse in 50 years. These maps were developed by iterative risk calculation, wherein a generic building collapse fragility curve is convolved with the U.S. Geological Survey hazard curve until target risk criteria are met...
Authors
Abbie B. Liel, Nico Luco, Meera Raghunandan, C. Champion

The use of wavenumber normalization in computing spatially averaged coherencies (KRSPAC) of microtremor data from asymmetric arrays The use of wavenumber normalization in computing spatially averaged coherencies (KRSPAC) of microtremor data from asymmetric arrays

The SPAC method of processing microtremor noise observations for estimation of Vs profiles has a limitation that the array has circular or triangular symmetry in order to allow spatial (azimuthal) averaging of inter-station coherencies over a constant station separation. Common processing methods allow for station separations to vary by typically ±10% in the azimuthal averaging before...
Authors
M.W. Asten, William J. Stephenson, Stephen H. Hartzell

Paleoseismology of the Denali fault system at the Schist Creek site, central Alaska Paleoseismology of the Denali fault system at the Schist Creek site, central Alaska

Two hand-dug trenches at the Schist Creek site on the Denali fault system in central Alaska exposed evidence of four surface-rupturing earthquakes on the basis of upward terminations of fault strands and at least one buried, scarp-derived colluvial wedge. Limited radiocarbon ages provide some constraints on times of the ruptures. The youngest rupture (PE1) likely occurred about 200–400...
Authors
Stephen F. Personius, Anthony J. Crone, Patricia A.C. Burns, Ned Rozell

Introduction: Hazard mapping Introduction: Hazard mapping

Twenty papers were accepted into the session on landslide hazard mapping for oral presentation. The papers presented susceptibility and hazard analysis based on approaches ranging from field-based assessments to statistically based models to assessments that combined hydromechanical and probabilistic components. Many of the studies have taken advantage of increasing availability of...
Authors
Rex L. Baum, Toyohiko Miyagi, Saro Lee, Oleksandr M Trofymchuk

Auroral omens of the American Civil War Auroral omens of the American Civil War

Aurorae are a splendid night-time sight: coruscations of green, purple, and red fluorescent light in the form of gently wafting ribbons, billowing curtains, and flashing rays. Mostly seen at high latitudes, in the north aurorae are often called the northern lights or aurora borealis, and, in the south, the southern lights or aurora australis. The mystery of their cause has historically...
Authors
Jeffrey J. Love

Why the New Madrid earthquakes are M 7–8 and the Charleston earthquake is ∼M 7 Why the New Madrid earthquakes are M 7–8 and the Charleston earthquake is ∼M 7

Estimates of magnitudes of large historical earthquakes are an essential input to and can seriously affect seismic‐hazard estimates. The earthquake‐intensity observations, modified Mercalli intensities (MMI), and assigned magnitudes Mof the 1811–1812 New Madrid events have been reinterpreted several times in the last decade and have been a source of controversy in making seismic‐hazard...
Authors
Chris H. Cramer, Oliver S. Boyd

Using the USGS Seismic Risk Web Application to estimate aftershock damage Using the USGS Seismic Risk Web Application to estimate aftershock damage

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Engineering Risk Assessment Project has developed the Seismic Risk Web Application to combine earthquake hazard and structural fragility information in order to calculate the risk of earthquake damage to structures. Enabling users to incorporate their own hazard and fragility information into the calculations will make it possible to quantify (in near...
Authors
Sean M. McGowan, Nicolas Luco

World-Wide Standardized Seismograph Network: a data users guide World-Wide Standardized Seismograph Network: a data users guide

The purpose of this report, which is based on an unpublished draft prepared in the 1970s, is to provide seismologists with the information they may need to use the WWSSN data set as it becomes available in a more easily accessible and convenient format on the Internet. The report includes a description of the WWSSN network, station facilities, operations and instrumentation, a derivation...
Authors
Jon R. Peterson, Charles R. Hutt

Coseismic landslides reveal near-surface rock strength in a high-relief tectonically active setting Coseismic landslides reveal near-surface rock strength in a high-relief tectonically active setting

We present quantitative estimates of near-surface rock strength relevant to landscape evolution and landslide hazard assessment for 15 geologic map units of the Longmen Shan, China. Strength estimates are derived from a novel method that inverts earthquake peak ground acceleration models and coseismic landslide inventories to obtain material proper- ties and landslide thickness...
Authors
Sean F. Gallen, Marin K. Clark, Jonathan W. Godt
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