The California Water Science Center has been involved in multiple studies simulating land subsidence associated with groundwater withdrawal. The simulations can be used to estimate the magnitude, location, and timing of subsidence. They can also be used to evaluate management strategies to mitigate adverse effects from subsidence while also optimizing water availability.
MODFLOW
MODFLOW is a three-dimensional (3D) finite-difference groundwater model that was first published in 1984. It has a modular structure that allows it to be easily modified to adapt the code for a particular application. Many new capabilities have been added to the original model. MODFLOW-2005 is the most current release of MODFLOW.
MODFLOW-2005 (Harbaugh, 2005) simulates steady and nonsteady flow in an irregularly shaped flow system in which aquifer layers can be confined, unconfined, or a combination of confined and unconfined. Flow from external stresses, such as flow to wells, areal recharge, evapotranspiration, flow to drains, and flow through river beds, can be simulated. Hydraulic conductivities or transmissivities for any layer may differ spatially and be anisotropic (restricted to having the principal directions aligned with the grid axes), and the storage coefficient may be heterogeneous. Specified head and specified flux boundaries can be simulated, as can a head-dependent flux across the model's outer boundary that allows water to be supplied to a boundary block in the modeled area at a rate proportional to the current head difference between a "source" of water outside the modeled area and the head in the boundary block.
Subsidence and Aquifer-System Compaction (SUB)
The Subsidence and Aquifer-System Compaction (SUB) package is used for simulating the drainage, changes in groundwater storage, and compaction of aquifers, interbeds and confining units that constitute an aquifer system. Delays in the release of groundwater from interbed storage, and thus the delays in aquifer-system compaction, can be simulated. Delayed drainage and compaction in confining units can also be simulated.

Subsidence and Aquifer-System Compaction Package for Water-table Aquifers (SUB-WT)
The Subsidence and Aquifer-System Compaction Package for Water-table Aquifers (SUB-WT) was developed to simulate vertical compaction in models of regional groundwater flow. The program simulates groundwater storage changes and compaction in discontinuous interbeds or in extensive confining units, accounting for stress-dependent changes in storage properties. The new program is a package for MODFLOW, the U.S. Geological Survey modular finite-difference ground-water flow model. Several features of the program make it useful for application in shallow, unconfined flow systems. Geostatic stress can be treated as a function of water-table elevation, and compaction is modeled as a function of computed changes in effective stress at the bottom of a model layer. Thickness of compressible sediments in a modeled unconfined layer can vary in proportion to saturated thickness.
MODFLOW One Water Hydrologic Model (MF-OWHM)
The MODFLOW One-Water Hydrologic Flow Model (MF-OWHM) is an integrated hydrologic flow model used for the analysis of a broad range of conjunctive-use (the combined use of groundwater and surface water) issues (Hanson and others, 2014). MF-OWHM allows the simulation, analysis, and management of the components of human and natural water movement and use in a physically-based supply-and-demand framework. MF-OWHM includes a land-subsidence module with a vertically deforming mesh.
Below are publications associated with this project.
One-Water Hydrologic Flow Model (MODFLOW-OWHM)
Economic resilience through "One-Water" management
Planned updates and refinements to the Central Valley hydrologic model with an emphasis on improving the simulation of land subsidence in the San Joaquin Valley
Integrated simulation of consumptive use and land subsidence in the Central Valley, California, for the past and for a future subject to urbanization and climate change
Groundwater availability of the Central Valley Aquifer, California
MODFLOW-2005 : the U.S. Geological Survey modular ground-water model--the ground-water flow process
- Overview
The California Water Science Center has been involved in multiple studies simulating land subsidence associated with groundwater withdrawal. The simulations can be used to estimate the magnitude, location, and timing of subsidence. They can also be used to evaluate management strategies to mitigate adverse effects from subsidence while also optimizing water availability.
MODFLOW
MODFLOW is a three-dimensional (3D) finite-difference groundwater model that was first published in 1984. It has a modular structure that allows it to be easily modified to adapt the code for a particular application. Many new capabilities have been added to the original model. MODFLOW-2005 is the most current release of MODFLOW.
MODFLOW-2005 (Harbaugh, 2005) simulates steady and nonsteady flow in an irregularly shaped flow system in which aquifer layers can be confined, unconfined, or a combination of confined and unconfined. Flow from external stresses, such as flow to wells, areal recharge, evapotranspiration, flow to drains, and flow through river beds, can be simulated. Hydraulic conductivities or transmissivities for any layer may differ spatially and be anisotropic (restricted to having the principal directions aligned with the grid axes), and the storage coefficient may be heterogeneous. Specified head and specified flux boundaries can be simulated, as can a head-dependent flux across the model's outer boundary that allows water to be supplied to a boundary block in the modeled area at a rate proportional to the current head difference between a "source" of water outside the modeled area and the head in the boundary block.
Simulation of land subsidence by using a hydrologic model with the MODFLOW-SUB package. (Public domain.) Subsidence and Aquifer-System Compaction (SUB)
The Subsidence and Aquifer-System Compaction (SUB) package is used for simulating the drainage, changes in groundwater storage, and compaction of aquifers, interbeds and confining units that constitute an aquifer system. Delays in the release of groundwater from interbed storage, and thus the delays in aquifer-system compaction, can be simulated. Delayed drainage and compaction in confining units can also be simulated.
Sources/Usage: Public Domain. Visit Media to see details.Vertical section of a two-aquifer system with potential for compaction of fine-grained sediments. A, Hydrogeology of the system. B, Representation of the system by using three model layers. (Public domain.) Subsidence and Aquifer-System Compaction Package for Water-table Aquifers (SUB-WT)
The Subsidence and Aquifer-System Compaction Package for Water-table Aquifers (SUB-WT) was developed to simulate vertical compaction in models of regional groundwater flow. The program simulates groundwater storage changes and compaction in discontinuous interbeds or in extensive confining units, accounting for stress-dependent changes in storage properties. The new program is a package for MODFLOW, the U.S. Geological Survey modular finite-difference ground-water flow model. Several features of the program make it useful for application in shallow, unconfined flow systems. Geostatic stress can be treated as a function of water-table elevation, and compaction is modeled as a function of computed changes in effective stress at the bottom of a model layer. Thickness of compressible sediments in a modeled unconfined layer can vary in proportion to saturated thickness.
MODFLOW One Water Hydrologic Model (MF-OWHM)
The MODFLOW One-Water Hydrologic Flow Model (MF-OWHM) is an integrated hydrologic flow model used for the analysis of a broad range of conjunctive-use (the combined use of groundwater and surface water) issues (Hanson and others, 2014). MF-OWHM allows the simulation, analysis, and management of the components of human and natural water movement and use in a physically-based supply-and-demand framework. MF-OWHM includes a land-subsidence module with a vertically deforming mesh.
Diagram showing the relation between surface and subsurface processes before and after land subsidence. The linkages to subsidence deformation are briefly summarized for surface-water, landscape and groundwater flow processes. The potential changes in movement of water before and after the linked effects of subsidence result in redirected or reduced runoff, reduced streamflow and canal flows, reduced canal freeboard, additional connection of root zone to capillary fringe above water table, and reduced aquifer thickness and hydraulic properties (transmissivity and storativity). - Publications
Below are publications associated with this project.
One-Water Hydrologic Flow Model (MODFLOW-OWHM)
The One-Water Hydrologic Flow Model (MF-OWHM) is a MODFLOW-based integrated hydrologic flow model (IHM) that is the most complete version, to date, of the MODFLOW family of hydrologic simulators needed for the analysis of a broad range of conjunctive-use issues. Conjunctive use is the combined use of groundwater and surface water. MF-OWHM allows the simulation, analysis, and management of nearly aAuthorsRandall T. Hanson, Scott E. Boyce, Wolfgang Schmid, Joseph D. Hughes, Steffen W. Mehl, Stanley A. Leake, Thomas Maddock, Richard G. NiswongerEconomic resilience through "One-Water" management
Disruption of water availability leads to food scarcity and loss of economic opportunity. Development of effective water-resource policies and management strategies could provide resiliance to local economies in the face of water disruptions such as drought, flood, and climate change. To accomplish this, a detailed understanding of human water use and natural water resource availability is needed.AuthorsRandall T. Hanson, Wolfgang SchmidPlanned updates and refinements to the Central Valley hydrologic model with an emphasis on improving the simulation of land subsidence in the San Joaquin Valley
California's Central Valley has been one of the most productive agricultural regions in the world for more than 50 years. To better understand the groundwater availability in the valley, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) developed the Central Valley hydrologic model (CVHM). Because of recent water-level declines and renewed subsidence, the CVHM is being updated to better simulate the geohydrologicAuthorsClaudia C. Faunt, Randall T. Hanson, Peter Martin, Wolfgang SchmidIntegrated simulation of consumptive use and land subsidence in the Central Valley, California, for the past and for a future subject to urbanization and climate change
Competition for water resources is growing throughout California, particularly in the Central Valley where about 20% of all groundwater used in the United States is consumed for agriculture and urban water supply. Continued agricultural use coupled with urban growth and potential climate change would result in continued depletion of groundwater storage and associated land subsidence throughout theAuthorsRandall T. Hanson, Alan L. Flint, Claudia C. Faunt, Daniel R. Cayan, Lorraine E. Flint, Stanley A. Leake, Wolfgang SchmidGroundwater availability of the Central Valley Aquifer, California
California's Central Valley covers about 20,000 square miles and is one of the most productive agricultural regions in the world. More than 250 different crops are grown in the Central Valley with an estimated value of $17 billion per year. This irrigated agriculture relies heavily on surface-water diversions and groundwater pumpage. Approximately one-sixth of the Nation's irrigated land is in theMODFLOW-2005 : the U.S. Geological Survey modular ground-water model--the ground-water flow process
This report presents MODFLOW-2005, which is a new version of the finite-difference ground-water model commonly called MODFLOW. Ground-water flow is simulated using a block-centered finite-difference approach. Layers can be simulated as confined or unconfined. Flow associated with external stresses, such as wells, areal recharge, evapotranspiration, drains, and rivers, also can be simulated. The reAuthorsArlen W. Harbaugh