This task focuses on forecasting and hind-casting the future and past response of coral reef calcification and growth to changes in seawater carbonate chemistry from pre-industrial time to the year 2100.
Ocean acidification
As carbon dioxide (CO2) increases in the atmosphere, CO2 is absorbed by the surface water of the ocean where it combines with water (H2O) to make a naturally occurring, weak acid called carbonic acid (H2CO3). This process, called ocean acidification, results in an increase in the acidity of seawater (and a decrease in pH). A number of experimental and modeling studies (e.g. Kleypas et al., 1999; Marubini and Atkinson, 1999; Langdon et al., 2000; among many others) indicate that ocean acidification will result in a decrease in rates of calcification by reef organisms, and an increase in dissolution of reef sediments that form the foundation of reef structure. A 40% decrease in coral reef calcification has been hind-cast between the years 1880 and 2065. The severity of the impact to coral reefs will depend in part upon the balance between calcification (production of reef structure) and dissolution of reef sediments, and whether or not reef systems will be able to keep up with rising sea level.
USGS coral reef studies (Yates and Halley 2003, 2006a and b, Yates et al. 2007) have focused on quantifying reef health in terms of basic processes such as their ability to grow and keep up with rising sea level, and on the response of these processes to changes in seawater chemistry that result from climate change and ocean acidification. Results of these studies indicate that by the year 2100, net sediment dissolution may exceed carbonate production at reef ecosystems in Florida, the Caribbean, and the Pacific resulting in degradation of coral reefs, loss of fish habitat, and increased coastal erosion. Assessing the resiliency of reefs to climate change and preparing coastal resource managers for the inevitable effects of climate change and rising sea level requires a comprehensive look at past, present, and future coral reef calcification and growth rates in response to elevated atmospheric CO2 and changing ocean chemistry.
This task focused on forecasting and hind-casting the future and past response of coral reef calcification and growth to changes in seawater carbonate chemistry from pre-industrial time to the year 2100 by:
- Determining modern-day rates of coral reef community calcification relative to ocean chemistry,
- Measuring the response of coral reef community calcification to future, elevated levels of carbon dioxide and lower pH through experiments performed in natural reef habitats, and
- Reconstructing past changes in seawater pH relative to coral growth rates using stable isotope geochemical techniques (δ11B and δ18O) and changes in coral skeletal density in coral skeleton cores.
This task was developed in partnership with NOAA, NCAR, University of Miami-RSMAS, and USF; with collaborators from UPR, the Buccoo Reef Trust, Tobago House of Assembly, Caribbean Coral Reef Institute, and University of the West Indies. Results of these studies will support work of partnering agencies to develop predictive capabilities for quantifying the impacts of elevated pCO2 on coral reefs.
Below are publications associated with this project.
Diverse coral communities in mangrove habitats suggest a novel refuge from climate change
Productivity of a coral reef using boundary layer and enclosure methods
Effects of ocean acidification and sea-level rise on coral reefs
Productivity of a coral reef using boundary layer and enclosure methods
Diurnal variation of oxygen and carbonate system parameters in Tampa Bay and Florida Bay
CO32- concentration and pCO2 thresholds for calcification and dissolution on the Molokai reef flat, Hawaii
Diurnal variation in rates of calcification and carbonate sediment dissolution in Florida Bay
- Overview
This task focuses on forecasting and hind-casting the future and past response of coral reef calcification and growth to changes in seawater carbonate chemistry from pre-industrial time to the year 2100.
The Submersible Habitat for Analyzing Reef Quality (SHARQ) is a large, underwater incubation chamber used to measure changes in water chemistry resulting from metabolic activity of reef organisms and plants living on the seafloor. (Public domain.) Ocean acidification
As carbon dioxide (CO2) increases in the atmosphere, CO2 is absorbed by the surface water of the ocean where it combines with water (H2O) to make a naturally occurring, weak acid called carbonic acid (H2CO3). This process, called ocean acidification, results in an increase in the acidity of seawater (and a decrease in pH). A number of experimental and modeling studies (e.g. Kleypas et al., 1999; Marubini and Atkinson, 1999; Langdon et al., 2000; among many others) indicate that ocean acidification will result in a decrease in rates of calcification by reef organisms, and an increase in dissolution of reef sediments that form the foundation of reef structure. A 40% decrease in coral reef calcification has been hind-cast between the years 1880 and 2065. The severity of the impact to coral reefs will depend in part upon the balance between calcification (production of reef structure) and dissolution of reef sediments, and whether or not reef systems will be able to keep up with rising sea level.
USGS coral reef studies (Yates and Halley 2003, 2006a and b, Yates et al. 2007) have focused on quantifying reef health in terms of basic processes such as their ability to grow and keep up with rising sea level, and on the response of these processes to changes in seawater chemistry that result from climate change and ocean acidification. Results of these studies indicate that by the year 2100, net sediment dissolution may exceed carbonate production at reef ecosystems in Florida, the Caribbean, and the Pacific resulting in degradation of coral reefs, loss of fish habitat, and increased coastal erosion. Assessing the resiliency of reefs to climate change and preparing coastal resource managers for the inevitable effects of climate change and rising sea level requires a comprehensive look at past, present, and future coral reef calcification and growth rates in response to elevated atmospheric CO2 and changing ocean chemistry.
This task focused on forecasting and hind-casting the future and past response of coral reef calcification and growth to changes in seawater carbonate chemistry from pre-industrial time to the year 2100 by:
- Determining modern-day rates of coral reef community calcification relative to ocean chemistry,
- Measuring the response of coral reef community calcification to future, elevated levels of carbon dioxide and lower pH through experiments performed in natural reef habitats, and
- Reconstructing past changes in seawater pH relative to coral growth rates using stable isotope geochemical techniques (δ11B and δ18O) and changes in coral skeletal density in coral skeleton cores.
This task was developed in partnership with NOAA, NCAR, University of Miami-RSMAS, and USF; with collaborators from UPR, the Buccoo Reef Trust, Tobago House of Assembly, Caribbean Coral Reef Institute, and University of the West Indies. Results of these studies will support work of partnering agencies to develop predictive capabilities for quantifying the impacts of elevated pCO2 on coral reefs.
- Determining modern-day rates of coral reef community calcification relative to ocean chemistry,
- Publications
Below are publications associated with this project.
Diverse coral communities in mangrove habitats suggest a novel refuge from climate change
Risk analyses indicate that more than 90% of the world's reefs will be threatened by climate change and local anthropogenic impacts by the year 2030 under "business-as-usual" climate scenarios. Increasing temperatures and solar radiation cause coral bleaching that has resulted in extensive coral mortality. Increasing carbon dioxide reduces seawater pH, slows coral growth, and may cause loss of reeProductivity of a coral reef using boundary layer and enclosure methods
The metabolism of Cayo Enrique Reef, Puerto Rico, was studied using in situ methods during March 2009. Benthic O2 fluxes were used to calculate net community production using both the boundary layer gradient and enclosure techniques. The boundary layer O2 gradient and the drag coefficients were used to calculate productivity ranging from -12.3 to 13.7 mmol O2 m-2 h-1. Productivity measurements froEffects of ocean acidification and sea-level rise on coral reefs
U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) scientists are developing comprehensive records of historical and modern coral reef growth and calcification rates relative to changing seawater chemistry resulting from increasing atmospheric CO2 from the pre-industrial period to the present. These records will provide the scientific foundation for predicting future impacts of ocean acidification and sea-level rise oProductivity of a coral reef using boundary layer and enclosure methods
The metabolism of Cayo Enrique Reef, Puerto Rico, was studied using in situ methods during March 2009. Benthic O2 fluxes were used to calculate net community production using both the boundary layer gradient and enclosure techniques. The boundary layer O2 gradient and the drag coefficients were used to calculate productivity ranging from −12.3 to 13.7 mmol O2 m−2 h−1. Productivity measurements frDiurnal variation of oxygen and carbonate system parameters in Tampa Bay and Florida Bay
Oxygen and carbonate system parameters were measured, in situ, over diurnal cycles in Tampa Bay and Florida Bay, Florida. All system parameters showed distinct diurnal trends in Tampa Bay with an average range of diurnal variation of 39.1 μmol kg− 1 for total alkalinity, 165.1 μmol kg− 1 for total CO2, 0.22 for pH, 0.093 mmol L− 1 for dissolved oxygen, and 218.1 μatm for pCO2. Average range of diuCO32- concentration and pCO2 thresholds for calcification and dissolution on the Molokai reef flat, Hawaii
The severity of the impact of elevated atmospheric pCO2 to coral reef ecosystems depends, in part, on how sea-water pCO2 affects the balance between calcification and dissolution of carbonate sediments. Presently, there are insufficient published data that relate concentrations of pCO 2 and CO32- to in situ rates of reef calcification in natural settings to accurately predict the impact of elevateDiurnal variation in rates of calcification and carbonate sediment dissolution in Florida Bay
Water quality and criculation in Florida Bay (a shallow, subtropical estuary in south Florida) are highly dependent upon the development and evolution of carbonate mud banks distributed throughout the Bay. Predicting the effect of natural and anthropogenic perturbations on carbonate sedimentation requires an understanding of annual, seasonal, and daily variations in the biogenic and inorganic proc