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Earthquake Hazards Program

The USGS monitors and reports on earthquakes, assesses earthquake impacts and hazards, and conducts targeted research on the causes and effects of earthquakes. We undertake these activities as part of the larger National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP), a four-agency partnership established by Congress.

News

The Loneliest Seismometers on Earth

The Loneliest Seismometers on Earth

Updates for ShakeAlert False Alert for M5.9 Earthquake near Carson City, NV (Dec. 2025)

Updates for ShakeAlert False Alert for M5.9 Earthquake near Carson City, NV (Dec. 2025)

USGS releases aftershock forecast for M8.8 Russian Kamchatka Peninsula Earthquake

USGS releases aftershock forecast for M8.8 Russian Kamchatka Peninsula Earthquake

Publications

A new amphibious earthquake catalog for the Alaska Peninsula: Training, testing, and applying machine learning earthquake picking in offshore and amphibious environments A new amphibious earthquake catalog for the Alaska Peninsula: Training, testing, and applying machine learning earthquake picking in offshore and amphibious environments

The dual seismological developments of large-scale offshore observational networks and high-quality machine-learning earthquake detection and picking allow unprecedented seismicity detection in high hazard subduction zones. We develop a high resolution machine learning enhanced seismicity catalog for the Alaska Peninsula stretch of the Alaska-Aleutian Subduction Zone, which was...
Authors
Grace Barcheck, Natalia A. Ruppert

3D broadband ground motion simulations of Cascadia megathrust earthquakes: Full-margin scenarios incorporating variable magnitudes and frontal thrust splay faulting 3D broadband ground motion simulations of Cascadia megathrust earthquakes: Full-margin scenarios incorporating variable magnitudes and frontal thrust splay faulting

Great megathrust earthquakes (∼Mw 8–9) that rupture along the Cascadia Subduction Zone pose significant shaking and tsunami hazards to the U.S. Pacific Northwest. Although these large earthquakes are documented in the geologic record, none have been recorded with modern instrumentation, complicating regional seismic hazard assessments. To improve constraints on seismic hazard estimates...
Authors
Audrey M. Dunham, Erin A. Wirth, Alex R. Grant, Arthur D. Frankel, Madeleine C. Lucas, Anna Ledeczi, Harold Tobin, Janet Watt, David A. Schmidt, Jeonghyeop Kim, James Biemiller

ETAS-positive: Extracting unbiased epidemic-type aftershock models from incomplete earthquake catalogs ETAS-positive: Extracting unbiased epidemic-type aftershock models from incomplete earthquake catalogs

Earthquake catalogs are inherently incomplete, and short-term fluctuations in catalog completeness can strongly bias estimates of seismicity parameters. Here, we extend the positive statistics framework recently introduced for estimating Gutenberg–Richter a and b values to the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model. The approach focuses on complete magnitude–time intervals...
Authors
Nicholas J. van der Elst, Sebastian Hainzl

Science

2027 Long-term National Seismic Hazard Models for the U.S. Territories of Guam, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, and American Samoa

The U.S. Geological Survey will publish an updated National Seismic Hazard Model for the Pacific territories of Guam, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, and American Samoa in 2027. These models were last updated in 2012.
2027 Long-term National Seismic Hazard Models for the U.S. Territories of Guam, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, and American Samoa

2027 Long-term National Seismic Hazard Models for the U.S. Territories of Guam, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, and American Samoa

The U.S. Geological Survey will publish an updated National Seismic Hazard Model for the Pacific territories of Guam, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, and American Samoa in 2027. These models were last updated in 2012.
Learn More

NSHM29 Western U.S. Earthquake Geology Development

Thursday, November 19, 2026 2:00 pm MST A Virtual Meeting
NSHM29 Western U.S. Earthquake Geology Development

NSHM29 Western U.S. Earthquake Geology Development

Thursday, November 19, 2026 2:00 pm MST A Virtual Meeting
Learn More

Alaska Earthquake and Tsunami Hazards

Alaska has more large earthquakes than the rest of the United States combined. More than three-quarters of the state’s population live in an area that can experience a magnitude 7 earthquake. Our research provides objective science that helps stakeholders prepare for and mitigate the effects of future earthquakes and tsunamis, which bolsters the economic health and well-being of Alaska and the...
Alaska Earthquake and Tsunami Hazards

Alaska Earthquake and Tsunami Hazards

Alaska has more large earthquakes than the rest of the United States combined. More than three-quarters of the state’s population live in an area that can experience a magnitude 7 earthquake. Our research provides objective science that helps stakeholders prepare for and mitigate the effects of future earthquakes and tsunamis, which bolsters the economic health and well-being of Alaska and the...
Learn More

Multimedia

Locations and amount of slip on the Bocono and San Sebastian faults in Venezuela during earthquakes in June, 2026.
Bocono and San Sebastian faults in Venezuela; slip rates from June 2026
Bocono and San Sebastian faults in Venezuela; slip rates from June 2026
A location map and inset maps of the National Seismic Hazard Model areas of interest for the Pacific Territories.
Map of tectonic setting for NSHM27 of Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, and American Samoa
Map of tectonic setting for NSHM27 of Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, and American Samoa
An image sequence to show the collapse of the natural bridge, Punta Ventana, Puerto Rico
Collapsed natural arch of Punta Ventana, Guayanilla, Puerto Rico
Collapsed natural arch of Punta Ventana, Guayanilla, Puerto Rico
2025 USGS National Seismic Hazard Model for Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands Chance of Damaging Shaking Map
2025 USGS National Seismic Hazard Model for Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands Chance of Damaging Shaking Map
2025 USGS National Seismic Hazard Model for Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands Chance of Damaging Shaking Map
10 Largest Earthquakes Ever Recorded
10 Largest Earthquakes Ever Recorded (Updated 2025)
10 Largest Earthquakes Ever Recorded (Updated 2025)
Deep Ice Seismometer Thumbnail Deep Ice Seismometer Thumbnail
World's deepest seismometer braces the South Pole!
Assembling a seismometer at the Physical Sciences Laboratory in Stoughton.
IceCube 2025-08-07TW 0407
IceCube 2025-08-07TW 0407
USGS Rob Anthony sets up equipment in a freezer to test a Seismometer.
Testing the Deep Ice Seismometer
Testing the Deep Ice Seismometer
A photo of the seismometer being assembled.
IceCube 2025-08-07TW 0578
IceCube 2025-08-07TW 0578
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