Publications
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3D fault architecture controls the dynamism of earthquake swarm 3D fault architecture controls the dynamism of earthquake swarm
The vibrant evolutionary patterns made by earthquake swarms are incompatible with standard, effectively two-dimensional (2D) models for general fault architecture. We leverage advances in earthquake monitoring with a deep-learning algorithm to image a fault zone hosting a 4-year-long swarm in southern California. We infer that fluids are naturally injected into the fault zone from below...
Authors
Z. Ross, Elizabeth S. Cochran, D. Trugman, Jonathan D. Smith
Kinematic rupture and 3D wave propagation simulations of the 2019 Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake Kinematic rupture and 3D wave propagation simulations of the 2019 Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake
We model the kinematic rupture process of the 2019 MwMw 7.1 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake using numerical simulations to reproduce the elastodynamic wave field observed by inertial seismometers, high‐rate Global Navigation Satellite System stations, and borehole strainmeters. This was the largest earthquake in Southern California in 20 yr and was widely felt throughout the region...
Authors
Evan Tyler Hirakawa, Andrew J. Barbour
Hydraulic fracturing induced seismicity Hydraulic fracturing induced seismicity
Hydraulic fracturing (HF) is a technique that is used for extracting petroleum resources from impermeable host rocks. In this process, fluid injected under high pressure causes fractures to propagate. This technique has been transformative for the hydrocarbon industry, unlocking otherwise stranded resources; however, environmental concerns make HF controversial. One concern is HF‐induced
Authors
Ryan Schultz, Robert Skoumal, Michael R. Brudzinski, David Eaton, Brian Baptie, William L. Ellsworth
The ocean's impact on slow slip events The ocean's impact on slow slip events
We test the hypothesis that ocean seafloor pressures impart stresses that alter the initiation or termination of transient slow slip events (SSEs) on shallow submarine and near-coastal faults, using simulated seafloor pressures and a new catalog of SSEs in the Hikurangi subduction zone. We show that seafloor pressures may be represented by an average time history over the ~100-km...
Authors
Joan S. Gomberg, Peter J. Baxter, Euan G. C. Smith, Keisuke Ariyoshi, Steve Chiswell
Optimizing earthquake early warning alert distance strategies using the July 2019 Mw6.4 and Mw7.1 Ridgecrest, California, earthquakes Optimizing earthquake early warning alert distance strategies using the July 2019 Mw6.4 and Mw7.1 Ridgecrest, California, earthquakes
The ShakeAlert earthquake early warning system aims to alert people who experience modified Mercalli intensity (MMI) IV+ shaking during an earthquake using source estimates (magnitude and location) to estimate median‐expected peak ground motions with distance, then using these ground motions to determine median‐expected MMI and thus the extent of MMI IV shaking. Because median ground...
Authors
Jessie Kate Saunders, Brad T. Aagaard, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Sarah E. Minson
Repeatable source, path, and site effects from the 2019 Ridgecrest M7.1 earthquake sequence Repeatable source, path, and site effects from the 2019 Ridgecrest M7.1 earthquake sequence
We use a large instrumental dataset from the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence (Rekoske et al., 2019, 2020) to examine repeatable source‐, path‐, and site‐specific ground motions. A mixed‐effects analysis is used to partition total residuals relative to the Boore et al. (2014; hereafter, BSSA14) ground‐motion model. We calculate the Arias intensity stress drop for the earthquakes and...
Authors
Grace Alexandra Parker, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, John Rekoske, Eric M. Thompson
Seismicity rate change at the Coso Geothermal Field following the July 2019 Ridgecrest M7.1 earthquake Seismicity rate change at the Coso Geothermal Field following the July 2019 Ridgecrest M7.1 earthquake
Many geothermal and volcanic regions experience remote and regional triggering following large earthquakes. The transient or permanent changes in stresses acting on faults and fractures can lead to changes in seismicity rates following either the passage of teleseismic waves or the permanent change in stresses following regional events. One such region of prevalent triggering is the Coso
Authors
Joern Kaven
Real-time performance of the PLUM earthquake early warning method during the 2019 M6.4 and M7.1 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquakes Real-time performance of the PLUM earthquake early warning method during the 2019 M6.4 and M7.1 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquakes
We evaluate the timeliness and accuracy of ground‐motion‐based earthquake early warning (EEW) during the July 2019 M6.4 and 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquakes. In 2018, we began retrospective and internal real‐time testing of the propagation of local undamped motion (PLUM) method for earthquake warning in California, Oregon, and Washington, with the potential that PLUM might one day be included...
Authors
Sarah E. Minson, Jessie Kate Saunders, Julian Bunn, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Deborah L. Kilb, Mitsuyuki Hoshiba, Yuki Kodera
When source and path components trade off in ground-motion prediction equations When source and path components trade off in ground-motion prediction equations
Current research on ground‐motion models (also known as ground‐motion prediction equations [GMPEs]) and their uncertainties focus on the separate contributions of source, path, and site to both median values and their variability. Implicit here is the assumption that the event term, path term, and site term reflect only properties of the source, path, and site, respectively. Events with...
Authors
Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Lauren S. Abrahams, Thomas C. Hanks
Rapid geodetic observations of spatiotemporally varying postseismic deformation following the Ridgecrest earthquake sequence: The U.S. Geological Survey response Rapid geodetic observations of spatiotemporally varying postseismic deformation following the Ridgecrest earthquake sequence: The U.S. Geological Survey response
The U.S. Geological Survey’s geodetic response to the 4–5 July 2019 (Pacific time) Ridgecrest earthquake sequence comprised primarily the installation and/or reoccupation of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) monumentation. Our response focused primarily on the United States’ Navy’s China Lake Naval Air Weapons Station base (NAWSCL). This focus was because much of the surface...
Authors
Benjamin A. Brooks, Jessica R. Murray, Jerry L. Svarc, Ellen L. Phillips, Ryan Clayton Turner, Mark Hunter Murray, Todd Ericksen, Kang Wang, Sarah E. Minson, Roland Burgmann, Frederick Pollitz, Kenneth W. Hudnut, Johanna Nevitt, Evelyn Roeloffs, Janis Hernandez, Brian Olson
Minimal clustering of injection-induced earthquakes observed with a large-n seismic array Minimal clustering of injection-induced earthquakes observed with a large-n seismic array
The clustering behavior of injection‐induced earthquakes is examined using one month of data recorded by the LArge‐n Seismic Survey in Oklahoma (LASSO) array. The 1829‐node seismic array was deployed in a 25 km×32 km area of active saltwater disposal in northern Oklahoma between 14 April and 10 May 2016. Injection rates in the study area are nearly constant around the time of the...
Authors
Elizabeth S. Cochran, A. Wickham-Piotrowski, K. Kemna, R. M Harrington, S. Dougherty, A. Pena Castro
Peak ground velocity spatial variability revealed by dense seismic array in southern California Peak ground velocity spatial variability revealed by dense seismic array in southern California
Understanding and modeling variability of ground motion is essential for building accurate and precise ground motion prediction equations, which can net site‐specific characterization and reduced hazard levels. Here, we explore the spatial variability in peak ground velocity (PGV) at Sage Brush Flats along the San Jacinto Fault in southern California. We use data from a dense array (0.6...
Authors
Christopher E Johnson, Debi Kilb, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Frank Vernon