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S2HM must be real-time or not? S2HM must be real-time or not?

Seismic structural health monitoring (S2HM) has advanced significantly in the last three decades. However, currently there is no consensus on the need for real-time processing of data acquired during an earthquake. Numerous applications exist whereby S2HM-equipped systems record valuable seismic response data. A delayed use of the seismic data prohibits timely discovery of hidden damages...
Authors
Mehmet Celebi, Maria Limongelli

Seismic response of a typical shear-wall dominated high-rise condominium building during the January 7, 2020 Mw6.4 Indios, Puerto Rico earthquake Seismic response of a typical shear-wall dominated high-rise condominium building during the January 7, 2020 Mw6.4 Indios, Puerto Rico earthquake

Seismic response records were retrieved from the monitored 21-story (53.26-m-tall) typical Puerto Rican reinforced-concrete shear-wall dominated El Castillo Building in Mayaguez, 50 km from the mainshock epicenter of the January 7, 2020, Mw6.4 offshore Indios, Puerto Rico earthquake. The shear-wall-to-floor areas of the building are 0.97 and 3.49 in the longitudinal and transverse...
Authors
Mehmet Celebi, Eduardo Miranda, Jose A. Martinez-Cruzado

Karachi effects of the Makran earthquake and tsunami of November 1945: Mercury spilled, tide gauge impaired, seawalls overrun, boats displaced, mosque flooded Karachi effects of the Makran earthquake and tsunami of November 1945: Mercury spilled, tide gauge impaired, seawalls overrun, boats displaced, mosque flooded

An earthquake and tsunamiI on November 28, 1945, sourced near the Makran coast of the Arabian Sea, disturbed port facilities and fishing villages to the east at Karachi Harbour. Seismic waves, some 300 kilometers from their Makran source, spilled mercury high in a lighthouse at Manora. One liter of the heavy, toxic liquid escaped from an annular trough in which one of the world’s...
Authors
Brian F. Atwater, Haider Hasan, Ghazala Naeem, Din Mohammad Kakar, Asaf Humayun, Seshachalam Srinivasalu, Julia Elton, Noorul Ayen Hasan, Abdullah Usman, Hira Ashfaq Lodhi, Shoaib Ahmed, Lindsey M. Wright, Loyce M. Adams

Shaking is almost always a surprise: The earthquakes that produce significant ground motion Shaking is almost always a surprise: The earthquakes that produce significant ground motion

Although small earthquakes are expected to produce weak shaking, ground motion is highly variable and there are outlier earthquakes that generate more shaking than expected—sometimes significantly more. We explore datasets of M 0.5–8.3 earthquakes to determine the relative impact of frequent, smaller-magnitude earthquakes that rarely produce strong ground motion, to rare, large...
Authors
Sarah E. Minson, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Sara K. McBride, Kevin R. Milner

Response of the tallest California building during the Mw7.1 July 5, 2019 Ridgecrest, California earthquake Response of the tallest California building during the Mw7.1 July 5, 2019 Ridgecrest, California earthquake

The 73-story Wilshire Grand in downtown Los Angeles is the recently constructed tallest building in California. It is designed in conformance with performance-based design procedures. The lateral load resisting system of the building is designed with concrete core shear walls, three outriggers with buckling restrained braces (BRBs) located along the height and two three-story truss-belt...
Authors
Mehmet Celebi, S. F. Ghahari, Hamid Haddadi, Ertugrul Taciroglu

An analysis of Twitter responses to the 2019 Ridgecrest Earthquake sequence An analysis of Twitter responses to the 2019 Ridgecrest Earthquake sequence

Previous research has shown that online social networks can provide valuable insights regarding collective human responses to extreme natural events, such as earthquakes. Most previous studies focused on one large earthquake, while the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquakes involved two significant earthquakes occurring within a short period of time (a M6.4 foreshock on July 4 and a M7.1 mainshock...
Authors
Tao Ruan, Qingkai Kong, Yawen Zhang, Sara K. McBride, Qin Lv

Apparent earthquake rupture predictability Apparent earthquake rupture predictability

To what extent can the future evolution of an ongoing earthquake rupture be predicted? This question of fundamental scientific and practical importance has recently been addressed by studies of teleseismic source time functions (STFs) but reaching contrasting conclusions. One study concludes that the initial portion of STFs is the same regardless of magnitude. Another study concludes...
Authors
M.-A. Meier, P. Ampuero, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Morgan T. Page

A ground‐motion prediction model for shallow crustal earthquakes in Greece A ground‐motion prediction model for shallow crustal earthquakes in Greece

Using a recently completed database of uniformly processed strong‐motion data recorded in Greece, we derive a ground‐motion prediction model (GMPM) for horizontal‐component peak ground velocity, peak ground acceleration, and 5% damped pseudoacceleration response spectra, at 105 periods ranging from 0.01 to 10 s. The equations were developed by modifying a global GMPM, to account for more...
Authors
David Boore, Jonathan P. Stewart, Andreas Skarlatoudis, Emel Seyhan, Basil Margaris, Nikos Theodoulidis, Emmanual Scordilis, Ionnis Kalogeras, Nikos Klimis, Nikos Melis

A unified model of crustal stress heterogeneity from borehole breakouts and earthquake focal mechanisms A unified model of crustal stress heterogeneity from borehole breakouts and earthquake focal mechanisms

Observations of crustal stress orientation from the regional inversion of earthquake focal mechanisms often conflict with those from borehole breakouts, possibly indicating local stress heterogeneity, either laterally or with depth. To investigate this heterogeneity, we compiled SHmax estimates from previous studies for 57 near‐vertical boreholes with measured breakout azimuths across...
Authors
Karen Luttrell, Jeanne L. Hardebeck

Rupture process of the M6.5 Stanley, Idaho, earthquake inferred from seismic waveform and geodetic data Rupture process of the M6.5 Stanley, Idaho, earthquake inferred from seismic waveform and geodetic data

The 2020 M 6.5 Stanley, Idaho, earthquake produced rupture in the north of the active Sawtooth fault in the northern basin and range at depth, without any observable surface rupture. Global Positioning System (GPS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data yield several millimeters of static offsets out to ∼100  km from the rupture and up to ∼0.1  m of near‐field crustal
Authors
Frederick Pollitz, William C. Hammond, Charles Wicks

Spatial clustering of aftershocks impacts the performance of physics‐based earthquake forecasting models Spatial clustering of aftershocks impacts the performance of physics‐based earthquake forecasting models

I explore why physics‐based models of earthquake triggering rarely outperform statistical models in prospective testing, outside of limited spatial‐temporal windows. Pseudo‐prospective tests on suites of synthetic aftershock sequences show that a major factor is the level of unmodeled spatial clustering of the direct aftershocks triggered by the mainshock. The synthetic sequences are...
Authors
Jeanne L. Hardebeck
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