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Earthquakes in the shadows: Why aftershocks occur at surprising locations Earthquakes in the shadows: Why aftershocks occur at surprising locations

For decades there has been a debate about the relative effects of dynamic versus static stress triggering of aftershocks. According to the static Coulomb stress change hypothesis, aftershocks should not occur in stress shadows—regions where static Coulomb stress has been reduced. We show that static stress shadows substantially influence aftershock occurrence following three M ≥ 7...
Authors
Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Ruth A. Harris

Using machine learning techniques with incomplete polarity datasets to improve earthquake focal mechanism determination Using machine learning techniques with incomplete polarity datasets to improve earthquake focal mechanism determination

Earthquake focal mechanisms are traditionally produced using P‐wave first‐motion polarities and commonly require well‐recorded seismicity. A recent approach that is less dependent on high signal‐to‐noise exploits similar waveforms to produce relative polarity measurements between earthquake pairs. Utilizing these relative polarity measurements, it is possible to produce composite focal...
Authors
Robert Skoumal, David R. Shelly, Jeanne L. Hardebeck

A late Cenozoic kinematic model for fault motion within greater Cascadia A late Cenozoic kinematic model for fault motion within greater Cascadia

Widely accepted tectonic reconstructions indicate at least 100 km of coast-parallel northwestward translation of the Sierra Nevada block of California and 15–20° clockwise rotation of most of Oregon since the current phase of Basin and Range extension began ∼17 Ma. These reconstructions require at least 100 km of convergence between the central Coast Range of Oregon and rigid North...
Authors
Douglas S. Wilson, Patricia A. McCrory

Impact of sedimentary basins on Green’s functions for static slip inversion Impact of sedimentary basins on Green’s functions for static slip inversion

Earthquakes often occur in regions with complex material structure, such as sedimentary basins or mantle wedges. However, the majority of co-seismic modelling studies assume a simplified, often homogeneous elastic structure in order to expedite the process of model construction and speed up calculations. These co-seismic forward models are used to produce Green’s functions for finite...
Authors
Leah Langer, Stephen Beller, Evan Tyler Hirakawa, Jeroen Tromp

Development of a companion questionnaire for “Did You Feel It?”: Assessing response in earthquakes where an earthquake early warning may have been received Development of a companion questionnaire for “Did You Feel It?”: Assessing response in earthquakes where an earthquake early warning may have been received

Earthquake early warning (EEW) systems are relatively new technologies having first emerged as regional systems in the 1990s. Japan was the first nation to develop and implement a nationwide system in October 2007, and in the United States, ShakeAlert® became available on the entire length of the US West Coast in May 2021. Assessing how EEW is perceived and utilized by alert recipients...
Authors
James D. Goltz, David J. Wald, Sara K. McBride, Robert Michael deGroot, Jolie Breeden, Ann Bostrom

Revised earthquake recurrence intervals in California, USA: New paleoseismic sites and application of event likelihoods Revised earthquake recurrence intervals in California, USA: New paleoseismic sites and application of event likelihoods

Recurrence intervals for ground rupturing earthquakes are critical data for assessing seismic hazard. Recurrence intervals are presented here for 38 paleoseismic sites in California. Eleven of these include new or updated data; the remainder use data previously included in the Unified California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Version 3 (UCERF3). The methods and results are consistent with...
Authors
Devin McPhillips

Quantifying modeling uncertainty in simplified beam models for building response prediction Quantifying modeling uncertainty in simplified beam models for building response prediction

The use of simple models for response prediction of building structures is preferred in earthquake engineering for risk evaluations at regional scales, as they make computational studies more feasible. The primary impediment in their gainful use presently is the lack of viable methods for quantifying (and reducing upon) the modeling errors/uncertainties they bear. This study presents a...
Authors
S. Farid Ghahari, Khachik Sargsyan, Mehmet Celebi, Ertugrul Taciroglu

Simplifying complex fault data for systems-level analysis: Earthquake geology inputs for U.S. NSHM 2023 Simplifying complex fault data for systems-level analysis: Earthquake geology inputs for U.S. NSHM 2023

As part of the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) update planned for 2023, two databases were prepared to more completely represent Quaternary-active faulting across the western United States: the NSHM23 fault sections database (FSD) and earthquake geology database (EQGeoDB). In prior iterations of NSHM, fault sections were included only if a field-measurement-derived slip rate...
Authors
Alexandra Elise Hatem, Camille Marie Collett, Richard W. Briggs, Ryan D. Gold, Stephen J. Angster, Edward H. Field, Peter M. Powers

Stress heterogeneity as a driver of aseismic slip during the 2011 Prague, Oklahoma aftershock sequence Stress heterogeneity as a driver of aseismic slip during the 2011 Prague, Oklahoma aftershock sequence

The interaction of aseismic and seismic slip before and after an earthquake is fundamental for both earthquake nucleation and postseismic stress relaxation. However, it can be difficult to determine where and when aseismic slip occurs within the seismogenic zone because geodetic techniques are limited to detecting moderate to large slip amplitudes or long duration small slip amplitudes...
Authors
Kristina Okamoto, Heather Savage, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Katie M. Keranen

Brittle faulting at elevated temperature and vanishing effective stress Brittle faulting at elevated temperature and vanishing effective stress

If brittle fault strength depends only on friction, slip instability is discouraged at low effective normal stress, σ. Stress drop and the critical stiffness necessary for unstable sliding both vanish with σ; small earthquakes cannot occur. Very low σ is inferred in the source region of low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs) on the San Andreas fault (SAF). Moreover, if pore pressure, p, is...
Authors
Nicholas M. Beeler

Introduction to the special issue of the Consortium of Organizations for Strong Motion Observation Systems (COSMOS) international guidelines for applying noninvasive geophysical techniques to characterize seismic site conditions Introduction to the special issue of the Consortium of Organizations for Strong Motion Observation Systems (COSMOS) international guidelines for applying noninvasive geophysical techniques to characterize seismic site conditions

Knowledge about local seismic site conditions provides critical information to account for site effects that are commonly observed in strong motion recordings. Certainly, other wave propagation effects can influence these observations, which are attributable to variations in material properties of the paths traveled by the waves, as well as the characteristics of the seismic source...
Authors
Alan Yong, Aysegul Askan, John Cassidy, Sebastiano D’Amico, Stefano Parolai, Marco Pilz, William J. Stephenson
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