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Publications

Below is a list of available NOROCK peer reviewed and published science. If you are in search of a specific publication and cannot find it below or through a search, please contact twojtowicz@usgs.gov.

Filter Total Items: 1316

Climate-induced glacier and snow loss imperils alpine stream insects Climate-induced glacier and snow loss imperils alpine stream insects

Climate warming is causing rapid loss of glaciers and snowpack in mountainous regions worldwide. These changes are predicted to negatively impact the habitats of many range-restricted species, particularly endemic, mountaintop species dependent on the unique thermal and hydrologic conditions found only in glacier-fed and snowmelt-driven alpine streams. Though progress has been made...
Authors
J. Joseph Giersch, Scott Hotaling, Ryan Kovach, Leslie A. Jones, Clint C. Muhlfeld

Assessments of species' vulnerability to climate change: From pseudo to science Assessments of species' vulnerability to climate change: From pseudo to science

Climate change vulnerability assessments (CCVAs) are important tools to plan for and mitigate potential impacts of climate change. However, CCVAs often lack scientific rigor, which can ultimately lead to poor conservation prioritization and associated ecological and economic costs. We discuss the need to improve comparability and consistency of CCVAs and either validate their findings or...
Authors
Alisa A. Wade, Brian K. Hand, Ryan Kovach, Clint C. Muhlfeld, Robin S. Waples, Gordon Luikart

Climate, invasive species and land use drive population dynamics of a cold-water specialist Climate, invasive species and land use drive population dynamics of a cold-water specialist

Climate change is an additional stressor in a complex suite of threats facing freshwater biodiversity, particularly for cold-water fishes. Research addressing the consequences of climate change on cold-water fish has generally focused on temperature limits defining spatial distributions, largely ignoring how climatic variation influences population dynamics in the context of other...
Authors
Ryan P. Kovach, Robert K. Al-Chokhachy, Diane C. Whited, David A. Schmetterling, Andrew M. Dux, Clint C. Muhlfeld

Extending ordinal regression with a latent zero-augmented beta distribution Extending ordinal regression with a latent zero-augmented beta distribution

Ecological abundance data are often recorded on an ordinal scale in which the lowest category represents species absence. One common example is when plant species cover is visually assessedwithin bounded quadrats and then assigned to pre-defined cover class categories.We present an ordinal beta hurdle model that directly models ordinal category probabilitieswith a biologically realistic...
Authors
Kathryn M. Irvine, T.J. Rodhouse, Ilai. N. Keren

Effects of energy development on wetland plants and macroinvertebrate communities in Prairie Pothole Region wetlands Effects of energy development on wetland plants and macroinvertebrate communities in Prairie Pothole Region wetlands

Energy production in the Williston Basin, USA, results in the coproduction of highly saline, sodium chloride-dominated water (brine). The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) overlies the northeastern portion of the Williston Basin. Although PPR wetlands span a range of salinity, the dominant salt is sodium sulfate, and salinities are much lower than brine. Introduction of brine to wetlands can...
Authors
Todd M. Preston, Andrew M. Ray

Demographic mechanisms underpinning genetic assimilation of remnant groups of a large carnivore Demographic mechanisms underpinning genetic assimilation of remnant groups of a large carnivore

Current range expansions of large terrestrial carnivores are occurring following human-induced range contraction. Contractions are often incomplete, leaving small remnant groups in refugia throughout the former range. Little is known about the underlying ecological and evolutionary processes that influence how remnant groups are affected during range expansion. We used data from a...
Authors
Nathaniel Mikle, Tabitha A. Graves, Ryan P. Kovach, Katherine C. Kendall, Amy C. Macleod

Pika (Ochotona princeps) losses from two isolated regions reflect temperature and water balance, but reflect habitat area in a mainland region Pika (Ochotona princeps) losses from two isolated regions reflect temperature and water balance, but reflect habitat area in a mainland region

Although biotic responses to contemporary climate change are spatially pervasive and often reflect synergies between climate and other ecological disturbances, the relative importance of climatic factors versus habitat extent for species persistence remains poorly understood. To address this shortcoming, we performed surveys for American pikas (Ochotona princeps) at > 910 locations in 3...
Authors
Erik A. Beever, John D. Perrine, Tom Rickman, Mary Flores, John P. Clark, Cassie Waters, Shana S. Weber, Braden Yardley, David P. Thoma, Tara L. Chesley-Preston, Kenneth E. Goehring, Michael Magnuson, Nancy Nordensten, Melissa Nelson, Gail H. Collins

Disease introduction is associated with a phase transition in bighorn sheep demographics Disease introduction is associated with a phase transition in bighorn sheep demographics

Ecological theory suggests that pathogens are capable of regulating or limiting host population dynamics, and this relationship has been empirically established in several settings. However, although studies of childhood diseases were integral to the development of disease ecology, few studies show population limitation by a disease affecting juveniles. Here, we present empirical...
Authors
Kezia Manlove, E. Frances Cassirer, Paul C. Cross, Raina K. Plowright, Peter J. Hudson

Potential of environmental DNA to evaluate Northern pike (Esox lucius) eradication efforts: An experimental test and case study Potential of environmental DNA to evaluate Northern pike (Esox lucius) eradication efforts: An experimental test and case study

Determining the success of invasive species eradication efforts is challenging because populations at very low abundance are difficult to detect. Environmental DNA (eDNA) sampling has recently emerged as a powerful tool for detecting rare aquatic animals; however, detectable fragments of DNA can persist over time despite absence of the targeted taxa and can therefore complicate eDNA...
Authors
Kristine J. Dunker, Adam J. Sepulveda, Robert L. Massengill, Jeffrey B. Olsen, Ora L. Russ, John K. Wenburg, Anton Antonovich

Mechanistic variables can enhance predictive models of endotherm distributions: The American pika under current, past, and future climates Mechanistic variables can enhance predictive models of endotherm distributions: The American pika under current, past, and future climates

How climate constrains species’ distributions through time and space is an important question in the context of conservation planning for climate change. Despite increasing awareness of the need to incorporate mechanism into species distribution models (SDMs), mechanistic modeling of endotherm distributions remains limited in this literature. Using the American pika (Ochotona princeps)...
Authors
Paul Mathewson, Lucas Moyer-Horner, Erik A. Beever, Natalie Briscoe, Michael T. Kearney, Jeremiah Yahn, Warren P. Porter

Life history characteristics and vital rates of Yellowstone Cutthroat Trout in two headwater basins Life history characteristics and vital rates of Yellowstone Cutthroat Trout in two headwater basins

The Yellowstone Cutthroat Trout Oncorhynchus clarkii bouvieri is native to the Rocky Mountains and has declined in abundance and distribution as a result of habitat degradation and introduced salmonid species. Many of its remaining strongholds are in headwater basins with minimal human disturbances. Understanding the life histories, vital rates, and behaviors of Yellowstone Cutthroat...
Authors
Patrick Uthe, Robert K. Al-Chokhachy, Alexander V. Zale, Bradley B. Shepard, Thomas E. McMahon, Tracy Stephens

Distribution of a climate-sensitive species at an interior range margin Distribution of a climate-sensitive species at an interior range margin

Advances in understanding the factors that limit a species’ range, particularly in the context of climate change, have come disproportionately through investigations at range edges or margins. The margins of a species’ range might often correspond with anomalous microclimates that confer habitat suitability where the species would otherwise fail to persist. We addressed this hypothesis...
Authors
Chris Ray, Erik A. Beever, Thomas J. Rodhouse
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