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Strategies for rapid global earthquake impact estimation: the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) system Strategies for rapid global earthquake impact estimation: the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) system

This chapter summarizes the state-of-the-art for rapid earthquake impact estimation. It details the needs and challenges associated with quick estimation of earthquake losses following global earthquakes, and provides a brief literature review of various approaches that have been used in the past. With this background, the chapter introduces the operational earthquake loss estimation...
Authors
Kishor Jaiswal, D.J. Wald

Quantifying potential earthquake and tsunami hazard in the Lesser Antilles subduction zone of the Caribbean region Quantifying potential earthquake and tsunami hazard in the Lesser Antilles subduction zone of the Caribbean region

In this study, we quantify the seismic and tsunami hazard in the Lesser Antilles subduction zone, focusing on the plate interface offshore of Guadeloupe. We compare potential strain accumulated via GPS-derived plate motions to strain release due to earthquakes that have occurred over the past 110 yr, and compute the resulting moment deficit. Our results suggest that enough strain is...
Authors
Gavin P. Hayes, Daniel E. McNamara, Lily Seidman, Jean Roger

Limiting the immediate and subsequent hazards associated with wildfires Limiting the immediate and subsequent hazards associated with wildfires

Wildfire is a unique natural hazard because it poses immediate threats to life and property as well as creating conditions that can lead to subsequent debris flows. In recent years, the immediate destructive force of wildfires has been decreased through better understanding of fire behavior. Lightning detection networks now identify the number and locations of this common ignition source
Authors
Jerome V. DeGraff, Susan H. Cannon, Mario Parise

Seismic velocity model of the central United States (Version 1): Description and simulation of the 18 April 2008 Mt. Carmel, Illinois, Earthquake Seismic velocity model of the central United States (Version 1): Description and simulation of the 18 April 2008 Mt. Carmel, Illinois, Earthquake

We have developed a new three‐dimensional seismic velocity model of the central United States (CUSVM) that includes the New Madrid Seismic Zone (NMSZ) and covers parts of Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, Illinois, Missouri, Kentucky, and Tennessee. The model represents a compilation of decades of crustal research consisting of seismic, aeromagnetic, and gravity profiles; geologic mapping
Authors
Leonardo Ramírez‐Guzmán, Oliver S. Boyd, Stephen H. Hartzell, Robert A. Williams

Landslides and sediment budgets in four watersheds in eastern Puerto Rico: Chapter F in Water quality and landscape processes of four watersheds in eastern Puerto Rico Landslides and sediment budgets in four watersheds in eastern Puerto Rico: Chapter F in Water quality and landscape processes of four watersheds in eastern Puerto Rico

The low-latitude regions of the Earth are undergoing profound, rapid landscape change as forests are converted to agriculture to support growing population. Understanding the effects of these land-use changes requires analysis of watershed-scale geomorphic processes to better inform and manage this usually disorganized process. The investigation of hillslope erosion and the development...
Authors
Matthew C. Larsen

Landslides in Colorado, USA--Impacts and loss estimation for 2010 Landslides in Colorado, USA--Impacts and loss estimation for 2010

The focus of this study is to investigate landslides and consequent losses which affected Colorado in the year 2010. By obtaining landslide reports from a variety of sources, this report will demonstrate the feasibility of creating a profile of landslides and their effects on communities. A short overview of the current status of landslide-loss studies for the United States is introduced...
Authors
Lynn M. Highland

Estimating shaking-induced casualties and building damage for global earthquake events: a proposed modelling approach Estimating shaking-induced casualties and building damage for global earthquake events: a proposed modelling approach

Recent earthquakes such as the Haiti earthquake of 12 January 2010 and the Qinghai earthquake on 14 April 2010 have highlighted the importance of rapid estimation of casualties after the event for humanitarian response. Both of these events resulted in surprisingly high death tolls, casualties and survivors made homeless. In the Mw = 7.0 Haiti earthquake, over 200,000 people perished...
Authors
Emily So, Robin Spence

Real-time forecasting of the April 11, 2012 Sumatra tsunami Real-time forecasting of the April 11, 2012 Sumatra tsunami

The April 11, 2012, magnitude 8.6 earthquake off the northern coast of Sumatra generated a tsunami that was recorded at sea-level stations as far as 4800 km from the epicenter and at four ocean bottom pressure sensors (DARTs) in the Indian Ocean. The governments of India, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and Maldives issued tsunami warnings for their coastlines. The United States' Pacific...
Authors
Dailin Wang, Nathan C. Becker, David Walsh, Gerard J. Fryer, Stuart A. Weinstein, Charles S. McCreery

Uncovering the nonadiabatic response of geosynchronous electrons to geomagnetic disturbance Uncovering the nonadiabatic response of geosynchronous electrons to geomagnetic disturbance

We describe an energy spectrum method for scaling electron integral flux, which is measured at a constant energy, to phase space density at a constant value of the first adiabatic invariant which removes much of the variation due to reversible adiabatic effects. Applying this method to nearly a solar cycle (1995 - 2006) of geosynchronous electron integral flux (E>2.0MeV) from the GOES...
Authors
Jennifer Gannon, Scot R. Elkington, Terrance G. Onsager

Use of expert judgment elicitation to estimate seismic vulnerability of selected building types Use of expert judgment elicitation to estimate seismic vulnerability of selected building types

Pooling engineering input on earthquake building vulnerability through an expert judgment elicitation process requires careful deliberation. This article provides an overview of expert judgment procedures including the Delphi approach and the Cooke performance-based method to estimate the seismic vulnerability of a building category.
Authors
K. S. Jaiswal, W. Aspinall, D. Perkins, D. Wald, K.A. Porter

Trimming the UCERF2 hazard logic tree Trimming the UCERF2 hazard logic tree

The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast 2 (UCERF2) is a fully time‐dependent earthquake rupture forecast developed with sponsorship of the California Earthquake Authority (Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities [WGCEP], 2007; Field et al., 2009). UCERF2 contains 480 logic‐tree branches reflecting choices among nine modeling uncertainties in the earthquake rate...
Authors
Keith A. Porter, Edward H. Field, Kevin Milner

Problem of the Love‐Gannon relation between the asymmetric disturbance field and Dst Problem of the Love‐Gannon relation between the asymmetric disturbance field and Dst

Love and Gannon (2009) discovered that statistically, over a fifty year period the difference in the dawn and dusk disturbance‐field H component at low latitudes (hourly averaged) is linearly proportional to Dst. If the difference is designated by δDD in units of nT/RE, then the Love‐Gannon (L‐G) relation is δDD = −0.2 Dst. At any time departures from the relation can be large...
Authors
G. L. Siscoe, Jeffrey J. Love, J.L. Gannon
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