Publications
Filter Total Items: 44
Alaska earthquake source for the SAFRR tsunami scenario: Chapter B in The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario Alaska earthquake source for the SAFRR tsunami scenario: Chapter B in The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario
Tsunami modeling has shown that tsunami sources located along the Alaska Peninsula segment of the Aleutian-Alaska subduction zone have the greatest impacts on southern California shorelines by raising the highest tsunami waves for a given source seismic moment. The most probable sector for a Mw ~ 9 source within this subduction segment is between Kodiak Island and the Shumagin Islands in...
Authors
Stephen Kirby, David Scholl, Roland von Huene, Ray Wells
SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario--Executive Summary and Introduction: Chapter A in The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario--Executive Summary and Introduction: Chapter A in The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario
The Science Application for Risk Reduction (SAFRR) tsunami scenario depicts a hypothetical but plausible tsunami created by an earthquake offshore from the Alaska Peninsula and its impacts on the California coast. The tsunami scenario is a collaboration between the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the California Geological Survey, the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (Cal...
Authors
Stephanie Ross, Lucile Jones, Kevin H. Miller, Keith Porter, Anne Wein, Rick Wilson, Bohyun Bahng, Aggeliki Barberopoulou, Jose Borrero, Deborah Brosnan, John Bwarie, Eric Geist, Laurie A. Johnson, Stephen Kirby, William Knight, Kate Long, Patrick Lynett, Carl Mortensen, Dmitry Nicolsky, Suzanne Perry, Geoffrey Plumlee, Charles Real, Kenneth Ryan, Elena Suleimani, Hong Kie Thio, Vasily Titov, Paul Whitmore, Nathan Wood
The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario The SAFRR (Science Application for Risk Reduction) Tsunami Scenario
The Science Application for Risk Reduction (SAFRR) tsunami scenario depicts a hypothetical but plausible tsunami created by an earthquake offshore from the Alaska Peninsula and its impacts on the California coast. The tsunami scenario is a collaboration between the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the California Geological Survey (CGS), the California Governor’s Office of Emergency...
The SAFRR tsunami scenario: improving resilience for California The SAFRR tsunami scenario: improving resilience for California
On March 11, 2011, the Tohoku earthquake and the resulting tsunami devastated Japan with a disaster of unfathomable proportions. Five thousand miles away, the waves from Tohoku caused $50 to 100 million in damages in California. Although this pales in comparison to the loss of lives and property in Japan, the U.S. Government must ask whether California, and the national economy, will...
Authors
Stephanie Ross, Lucile Jones, Kevin H. Miller, Keith Porter, Anne Wein, Rick Wilson, Bohyun Bahng, Aggeliki Barberopoulou, Jose Borrero, Deborah Brosnan, John Bwarie, Eric Geist, Laurie A. Johnson, Stephen Kirby, William Knight, Kate Long, Patrick Lynett, Carl Mortensen, Dmitry Nicolsky, Suzanne Perry, Geoffrey Plumlee, Charles Real, Kenneth Ryan, Elena Suleimani, Hong Kie Thio, Vasily Titov, Paul Whitmore, Nathan Wood
The SAFRR Tsunami Scenario The SAFRR Tsunami Scenario
The U.S. Geological Survey and several partners operate a program called Science Application for Risk Reduction (SAFRR) that produces (among other things) emergency planning scenarios for natural disasters. The scenarios show how science can be used to enhance community resiliency. The SAFRR Tsunami Scenario describes potential impacts of a hypothetical, but realistic, tsunami affecting...
Authors
K. Porter, Lucile Jones, Stephanie Ross, J. Borrero, J. Bwarie, D. Dykstra, Eric Geist, L. Johnson, Stephen Kirby, K. Long, P. Lynett, K. Miller, Carl Mortensen, S. Perry, G. Plumlee, C. Real, L. Ritchie, C. Scawthorn, H.K. Thio, Anne Wein, P. Whitmore, R. Wilson, Nathan Wood
Report on the 2010 Chilean earthquake and tsunami response Report on the 2010 Chilean earthquake and tsunami response
In July 2010, in an effort to reduce future catastrophic natural disaster losses for California, the American Red Cross coordinated and sent a delegation of 20 multidisciplinary experts on earthquake response and recovery to Chile. The primary goal was to understand how the Chilean society and relevant organizations responded to the magnitude 8.8 Maule earthquake that struck the region...
Authors
Overview of the ARkStorm scenario Overview of the ARkStorm scenario
The U.S. Geological Survey, Multi Hazards Demonstration Project (MHDP) uses hazards science to improve resiliency of communities to natural disasters including earthquakes, tsunamis, wildfires, landslides, floods and coastal erosion. The project engages emergency planners, businesses, universities, government agencies, and others in preparing for major natural disasters. The project also...
Authors
Keith Porter, Anne Wein, Charles Alpers, Allan Baez, Patrick Barnard, James Carter, Alessandra Corsi, James Costner, Dale Cox, Tapash Das, Mike Dettinger, James Done, Charles Eadie, Marcia Eymann, Justin Ferris, Prasad Gunturi, Mimi Hughes, Robert Jarrett, Laurie Johnson, Hanh Le-Griffin, David Mitchell, Suzette Morman, Paul Neiman, Anna Olsen, Suzanne Perry, Geoffrey Plumlee, Martin Ralph, David Reynolds, Adam Rose, Kathleen Schaefer, Julie Serakos, William Siembieda, Jonathan Stock, David Strong, Ian Wing, Alex Tang, Pete Thomas, Ken Topping, Chris Wills, Lucile Jones
By
Natural Hazards Mission Area, Coastal and Marine Hazards and Resources Program, Earthquake Hazards Program, Science Application for Risk Reduction, Geologic Hazards Science Center, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Big Sur Landslides, Reducing Risk, San Francisco Bay and Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta Estuary
Preparing for a "Big One": The great southern California shakeout Preparing for a "Big One": The great southern California shakeout
The Great Southern California ShakeOut was a week of special events featuring the largest earthquake drill in United States history. On November 13, 2008, over 5 million Southern Californians pretended that the magnitude-7.8 ShakeOut scenario earthquake was occurring and practiced actions derived from results of the ShakeOut Scenario, to reduce the impact of a real, San Andreas Fault...
Authors
Lucile Jones, M. Benthien
The ShakeOut scenario: A hypothetical Mw7.8 earthquake on the Southern San Andreas Fault The ShakeOut scenario: A hypothetical Mw7.8 earthquake on the Southern San Andreas Fault
In 2008, an earthquake-planning scenario document was released by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and California Geological Survey that hypothesizes the occurrence and effects of a Mw7.8 earthquake on the southern San Andreas Fault. It was created by more than 300 scientists and engineers. Fault offsets reach 13 m and up to 8 m at lifeline crossings. Physics-based modeling was used to...
Authors
K. Porter, L. Jones, D. Cox, J. Goltz, K. Hudnut, D. Mileti, S. Perry, D. Ponti, M. Reichle, A.Z. Rose, C.R. Scawthorn, H.A. Seligson, K.I. Shoaf, J. Treiman, A. Wein
The ShakeOut Scenario: Meeting the needs for construction aggregates, hot mix asphalt, and ready mix concrete The ShakeOut Scenario: Meeting the needs for construction aggregates, hot mix asphalt, and ready mix concrete
An Mw 7.8 earthquake as described in the ShakeOut Scenario would cause significant damage to buildings and infrastructure. Over 6 million tons of newly mined aggregate would be used for emergency repairs and for reconstruction in the five years following the event. This aggregate would be applied mostly in the form of concrete for buildings and bridges, asphalt or concrete for pavement...
Authors
William Langer
Economic impacts of the ShakeOut scenario Economic impacts of the ShakeOut scenario
For the ShakeOut Earthquake Scenario, we estimate $68 billion in direct and indirect business interruption (BI) and $11 billion in related costs in addition to the $113 billion in property damage in an eight-county Southern California region. The modeled conduits of shock to the economy are property damage and lifeline service outages that affect the economy’s ability to produce...
Authors
A. Rose, D. Wei, A. Wein
The ShakeOut earthquake source and ground motion simulations The ShakeOut earthquake source and ground motion simulations
The ShakeOut Scenario is premised upon the detailed description of a hypothetical Mw 7.8 earthquake on the southern San Andreas Fault and the associated simulated ground motions. The main features of the scenario, such as its endpoints, magnitude, and gross slip distribution, were defined through expert opinion and incorporated information from many previous studies. Slip at smaller...
Authors
R.W. Graves, Douglas Houston, K.W. Hudnut