Adam Terando, Ph.D. (Former Employee)
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 26
Filter Total Items: 61
Characterizing sources of uncertainty from global climate models and downscaling techniques Characterizing sources of uncertainty from global climate models and downscaling techniques
In recent years climate model experiments have been increasingly oriented towards providing information that can support local and regional adaptation to the expected impacts of anthropogenic climate change. This shift has magnified the importance of downscaling as a means to translate coarse-scale global climate model (GCM) output to a finer scale that more closely matches the scale of...
Authors
Adrienne Wootten, Adam Terando, Brian Reich, Ryan Boyles, Fred Semazzi
Grand challenges for integrated USGS science — A workshop report Grand challenges for integrated USGS science — A workshop report
Executive Summary The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has a long history of advancing the traditional Earth science disciplines and identifying opportunities to integrate USGS science across disciplines to address complex societal problems. The USGS science strategy for 2007–2017 laid out key challenges in disciplinary and interdisciplinary arenas, culminating in a call for increased focus...
Authors
Karen E. Jenni, Martin Goldhaber, Julio Betancourt, Jill Baron, Sky Bristol, Mary Cantrill, Paul Exter, Michael Focazio, John Haines, Lauren Hay, Leslie Hsu, Victor Labson, Kevin Lafferty, K. Ludwig, Paul Milly, Toni Morelli, Suzette Morman, Nedal T. Nassar, Timothy R. Newman, Andrea Ostroff, Jordan Read, Sasha Reed, Carl Shapiro, Richard Smith, Ward Sanford, Terry Sohl, Edward Stets, Adam Terando, Donald Tillitt, Michael Tischler, Patricia Toccalino, David Wald, Mark Waldrop, Anne Wein, Jake Weltzin, Christian Zimmerman
Occupancy and abundance of Eleutherodactylus frogs in coffee plantations in Puerto Rico Occupancy and abundance of Eleutherodactylus frogs in coffee plantations in Puerto Rico
Shaded coffee plantations are of conservation value for many taxa, particularly for resident avifauna in the face of extensive landscape changes. Yet, little is known about the value of coffee plantations for amphibians because there are scant demographic data to index their value among species with different habitat preferences. We estimated the probability of occupancy of three frog...
Authors
Kelen Monroe, Jaime A. Collazo, Krishna Pacifici, Brian Reich, Alberto Puente-Rolon, Adam Terando
Developing multi-model ensemble projections of ecologically relevant climate variables for Puerto Rico and the US Caribbean Developing multi-model ensemble projections of ecologically relevant climate variables for Puerto Rico and the US Caribbean
The global increases in surface air temperature are the most widespread and direct consequence of anthropogenic climate change. However, while 21st century temperatures are projected to increase in the Caribbean, the low variability and high average temperatures suggest that impacts on ecosystems and water resources are more likely through changes to the availability, timing, and pattern...
Authors
Adam Terando
Uncertainty quantification and propagation for projections of extremes in monthly area burned under climate change: A case study in the coastal plain of Georgia, USA Uncertainty quantification and propagation for projections of extremes in monthly area burned under climate change: A case study in the coastal plain of Georgia, USA
Human‐caused climate change is predicted to affect the frequency of hazard‐linked extremes. Unusually large wildfires are a type of extreme event that is constrained by climate and can be a hazard to society but also an important ecological disturbance. This chapter focuses on changes in the frequency of extreme monthly area burned by wildfires for the end of the 21st century for a...
Authors
Adam Terando, Brian Reich, Krishna Pacifici, Jennifer Costanza, Alexa McKerrow, Jaime A. Collazo
The sensitivity of WRF downscaled precipitation in Puerto Rico to cumulus parameterization and interior grid nudging The sensitivity of WRF downscaled precipitation in Puerto Rico to cumulus parameterization and interior grid nudging
The sensitivity of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) simulated precipitation over Puerto Rico is evaluated using multiple combinations of cumulus parameterization (CP) schemes and interior grid nudging. NCEP-DOE AMIP-II reanalysis (R-2) is downscaled to 2- km horizontal grid spacing with both convective permitting simulations (CP active only in the 49 middle and outer...
Authors
A. Wootten, J.H. Bowden, R. Boyles, Adam Terando
Assessing climate-sensitive ecosystems in the southeastern United States Assessing climate-sensitive ecosystems in the southeastern United States
Climate change impacts ecosystems in many ways, from effects on species to phenology to wildfire dynamics. Assessing the potential vulnerability of ecosystems to future changes in climate is an important first step in prioritizing and planning for conservation. Although assessments of climate change vulnerability commonly are done for species, fewer have been done for ecosystems. To aid...
Authors
Jennifer Costanza, Scott Beck, Milo Pyne, Adam Terando, Matthew Rubino, Rickie White, Jaime Collazo
Climate change implications for tropical islands: Interpolating and interpreting statistically downscaled GCM projections for management and planning Climate change implications for tropical islands: Interpolating and interpreting statistically downscaled GCM projections for management and planning
The potential ecological and economic effects of climate change for tropical islands were studied using output from 12 statistically downscaled general circulation models (GCMs) taking Puerto Rico as a test case. Two model selection/model averaging strategies were used: the average of all available GCMs and the average of the models that are able to reproduce the observed large-scale...
Authors
Azad Henareh Khalyani, William Gould, Eric Harmsen, Adam Terando, Maya Quinones, Jaime A. Collazo
Climate change and water resources in a tropical island system: Propagation of uncertainty from statistically downscaled climate models to hydrologic models Climate change and water resources in a tropical island system: Propagation of uncertainty from statistically downscaled climate models to hydrologic models
Many tropical islands have limited water resources with historically increasing demand, all potentially affected by a changing climate. The effects of climate change on island hydrology are difficult to model due to steep local precipitation gradients and sparse data. This work uses 10 statistically downscaled general circulation models (GCMs) under two greenhouse gas emission scenarios...
Authors
Ashley Van Beusekom, William Gould, Adam Terando, Jaime Collazo
Modeling climate change, urbanization, and fire effects on Pinus palustris ecosystems of the southeastern U.S. Modeling climate change, urbanization, and fire effects on Pinus palustris ecosystems of the southeastern U.S.
Managing ecosystems for resilience and sustainability requires understanding how they will respond to future anthropogenic drivers such as climate change and urbanization. In fire-dependent ecosystems, predicting this response requires a focus on how these drivers will impact fire regimes. Here, we use scenarios of climate change, urbanization and management to simulate the future...
Authors
Jennifer Costanza, Adam Terando, Alexa McKerrow, Jaime A. Collazo
Downscaled climate projections for the Southeast United States: evaluation and use for ecological applications Downscaled climate projections for the Southeast United States: evaluation and use for ecological applications
Climate change is likely to have many effects on natural ecosystems in the Southeast U.S. The National Climate Assessment Southeast Technical Report (SETR) indicates that natural ecosystems in the Southeast are likely to be affected by warming temperatures, ocean acidification, sea-level rise, and changes in rainfall and evapotranspiration. To better assess these how climate changes...
Authors
Adrienne Wootten, Kara Smith, Ryan Boyles, Adam Terando, Lydia Stefanova, Vasru Misra, Tom Smith, David Blodgett, Fredrick Semazzi
Do cities simulate climate change? A comparison of herbivore response to urban and global warming Do cities simulate climate change? A comparison of herbivore response to urban and global warming
Cities experience elevated temperature, CO2, and nitrogen deposition decades ahead of the global average, such that biological response to urbanization may predict response to future climate change. This hypothesis remains untested due to a lack of complementary urban and long-term observations. Here, we examine the response of an herbivore, the scale insect Melanaspis tenebricosa, to...
Authors
Elsa Youngsteadt, Adam Dale, Adam Terando, Robert Dunn, Steven Frank
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 26
Filter Total Items: 61
Characterizing sources of uncertainty from global climate models and downscaling techniques Characterizing sources of uncertainty from global climate models and downscaling techniques
In recent years climate model experiments have been increasingly oriented towards providing information that can support local and regional adaptation to the expected impacts of anthropogenic climate change. This shift has magnified the importance of downscaling as a means to translate coarse-scale global climate model (GCM) output to a finer scale that more closely matches the scale of...
Authors
Adrienne Wootten, Adam Terando, Brian Reich, Ryan Boyles, Fred Semazzi
Grand challenges for integrated USGS science — A workshop report Grand challenges for integrated USGS science — A workshop report
Executive Summary The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has a long history of advancing the traditional Earth science disciplines and identifying opportunities to integrate USGS science across disciplines to address complex societal problems. The USGS science strategy for 2007–2017 laid out key challenges in disciplinary and interdisciplinary arenas, culminating in a call for increased focus...
Authors
Karen E. Jenni, Martin Goldhaber, Julio Betancourt, Jill Baron, Sky Bristol, Mary Cantrill, Paul Exter, Michael Focazio, John Haines, Lauren Hay, Leslie Hsu, Victor Labson, Kevin Lafferty, K. Ludwig, Paul Milly, Toni Morelli, Suzette Morman, Nedal T. Nassar, Timothy R. Newman, Andrea Ostroff, Jordan Read, Sasha Reed, Carl Shapiro, Richard Smith, Ward Sanford, Terry Sohl, Edward Stets, Adam Terando, Donald Tillitt, Michael Tischler, Patricia Toccalino, David Wald, Mark Waldrop, Anne Wein, Jake Weltzin, Christian Zimmerman
Occupancy and abundance of Eleutherodactylus frogs in coffee plantations in Puerto Rico Occupancy and abundance of Eleutherodactylus frogs in coffee plantations in Puerto Rico
Shaded coffee plantations are of conservation value for many taxa, particularly for resident avifauna in the face of extensive landscape changes. Yet, little is known about the value of coffee plantations for amphibians because there are scant demographic data to index their value among species with different habitat preferences. We estimated the probability of occupancy of three frog...
Authors
Kelen Monroe, Jaime A. Collazo, Krishna Pacifici, Brian Reich, Alberto Puente-Rolon, Adam Terando
Developing multi-model ensemble projections of ecologically relevant climate variables for Puerto Rico and the US Caribbean Developing multi-model ensemble projections of ecologically relevant climate variables for Puerto Rico and the US Caribbean
The global increases in surface air temperature are the most widespread and direct consequence of anthropogenic climate change. However, while 21st century temperatures are projected to increase in the Caribbean, the low variability and high average temperatures suggest that impacts on ecosystems and water resources are more likely through changes to the availability, timing, and pattern...
Authors
Adam Terando
Uncertainty quantification and propagation for projections of extremes in monthly area burned under climate change: A case study in the coastal plain of Georgia, USA Uncertainty quantification and propagation for projections of extremes in monthly area burned under climate change: A case study in the coastal plain of Georgia, USA
Human‐caused climate change is predicted to affect the frequency of hazard‐linked extremes. Unusually large wildfires are a type of extreme event that is constrained by climate and can be a hazard to society but also an important ecological disturbance. This chapter focuses on changes in the frequency of extreme monthly area burned by wildfires for the end of the 21st century for a...
Authors
Adam Terando, Brian Reich, Krishna Pacifici, Jennifer Costanza, Alexa McKerrow, Jaime A. Collazo
The sensitivity of WRF downscaled precipitation in Puerto Rico to cumulus parameterization and interior grid nudging The sensitivity of WRF downscaled precipitation in Puerto Rico to cumulus parameterization and interior grid nudging
The sensitivity of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) simulated precipitation over Puerto Rico is evaluated using multiple combinations of cumulus parameterization (CP) schemes and interior grid nudging. NCEP-DOE AMIP-II reanalysis (R-2) is downscaled to 2- km horizontal grid spacing with both convective permitting simulations (CP active only in the 49 middle and outer...
Authors
A. Wootten, J.H. Bowden, R. Boyles, Adam Terando
Assessing climate-sensitive ecosystems in the southeastern United States Assessing climate-sensitive ecosystems in the southeastern United States
Climate change impacts ecosystems in many ways, from effects on species to phenology to wildfire dynamics. Assessing the potential vulnerability of ecosystems to future changes in climate is an important first step in prioritizing and planning for conservation. Although assessments of climate change vulnerability commonly are done for species, fewer have been done for ecosystems. To aid...
Authors
Jennifer Costanza, Scott Beck, Milo Pyne, Adam Terando, Matthew Rubino, Rickie White, Jaime Collazo
Climate change implications for tropical islands: Interpolating and interpreting statistically downscaled GCM projections for management and planning Climate change implications for tropical islands: Interpolating and interpreting statistically downscaled GCM projections for management and planning
The potential ecological and economic effects of climate change for tropical islands were studied using output from 12 statistically downscaled general circulation models (GCMs) taking Puerto Rico as a test case. Two model selection/model averaging strategies were used: the average of all available GCMs and the average of the models that are able to reproduce the observed large-scale...
Authors
Azad Henareh Khalyani, William Gould, Eric Harmsen, Adam Terando, Maya Quinones, Jaime A. Collazo
Climate change and water resources in a tropical island system: Propagation of uncertainty from statistically downscaled climate models to hydrologic models Climate change and water resources in a tropical island system: Propagation of uncertainty from statistically downscaled climate models to hydrologic models
Many tropical islands have limited water resources with historically increasing demand, all potentially affected by a changing climate. The effects of climate change on island hydrology are difficult to model due to steep local precipitation gradients and sparse data. This work uses 10 statistically downscaled general circulation models (GCMs) under two greenhouse gas emission scenarios...
Authors
Ashley Van Beusekom, William Gould, Adam Terando, Jaime Collazo
Modeling climate change, urbanization, and fire effects on Pinus palustris ecosystems of the southeastern U.S. Modeling climate change, urbanization, and fire effects on Pinus palustris ecosystems of the southeastern U.S.
Managing ecosystems for resilience and sustainability requires understanding how they will respond to future anthropogenic drivers such as climate change and urbanization. In fire-dependent ecosystems, predicting this response requires a focus on how these drivers will impact fire regimes. Here, we use scenarios of climate change, urbanization and management to simulate the future...
Authors
Jennifer Costanza, Adam Terando, Alexa McKerrow, Jaime A. Collazo
Downscaled climate projections for the Southeast United States: evaluation and use for ecological applications Downscaled climate projections for the Southeast United States: evaluation and use for ecological applications
Climate change is likely to have many effects on natural ecosystems in the Southeast U.S. The National Climate Assessment Southeast Technical Report (SETR) indicates that natural ecosystems in the Southeast are likely to be affected by warming temperatures, ocean acidification, sea-level rise, and changes in rainfall and evapotranspiration. To better assess these how climate changes...
Authors
Adrienne Wootten, Kara Smith, Ryan Boyles, Adam Terando, Lydia Stefanova, Vasru Misra, Tom Smith, David Blodgett, Fredrick Semazzi
Do cities simulate climate change? A comparison of herbivore response to urban and global warming Do cities simulate climate change? A comparison of herbivore response to urban and global warming
Cities experience elevated temperature, CO2, and nitrogen deposition decades ahead of the global average, such that biological response to urbanization may predict response to future climate change. This hypothesis remains untested due to a lack of complementary urban and long-term observations. Here, we examine the response of an herbivore, the scale insect Melanaspis tenebricosa, to...
Authors
Elsa Youngsteadt, Adam Dale, Adam Terando, Robert Dunn, Steven Frank