Adam Terando, Ph.D. (Former Employee)
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 26
SERAP: Assessment of Climate and Land Use Change Impacts on Terrestrial Species
Researchers from North Carolina State University and the USGS integrated models of urbanization and vegetation dynamics with the regional climate models to predict vegetation dynamics and assess how landscape change could impact priority species, including North American land birds. This integrated ensemble of models can be used to predict locations where responses to climate change are...
Development of the Geo Data Portal to Make Climate Projections and Scientific Data More Accessible to Users
This project brought together a team of researchers from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and universities to develop a comprehensive web-based dataset of high-resolution (or ‘downscaled’) climate change projections, to enable scientists and decision-makers to better assess climate related ecosystem impacts. Currently, scientists and resource managers often find it difficult to use...
Filter Total Items: 61
Climate change implications for the conservation of amphibians in tropical environments. Climate change implications for the conservation of amphibians in tropical environments.
The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and the Puerto Rico Department of Natural and Environmental Resources want to develop a plan of actions to protect 12 species of coqui frogs (Eleutherodactylus spp.) that are currently considered at risk of being considered threatened or endangered, requiring additional protections under the Endangered Species Act. Actions center on two possible...
Authors
Jaime Collazo, Adam Terando, Krishna Pacifici, Jared Bowden
Ecology of urban climates: The need for landscape biophysics in cities Ecology of urban climates: The need for landscape biophysics in cities
In this chapter we will review and evaluate the climatic and ecological parallels between urbanization and climate change, with an emphasis on temperature and its effects on terrestrial ectotherms, a group of organisms thought to be particularly sensitive to climate change. We will summarize patterns of urban warming and how they relate to global climate change projections, then discuss...
Authors
Elsa Youngsteadt, Adam Terando
High‐resolution dynamically downscaled rainfall and temperature projections for ecological life zones within Puerto Rico and for the U.S. Virgin Islands High‐resolution dynamically downscaled rainfall and temperature projections for ecological life zones within Puerto Rico and for the U.S. Virgin Islands
The weather research and forecasting (WRF) model and a combination of the regional spectral model (RSM) and the Japanese Meteorological Agency Non‐Hydrostatic Model (NHM) were used to dynamically downscale selected CMIP5 global climate models to provide 2‐km projections with hourly model output for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Two 20‐year time slices were downscaled for...
Authors
Jared Bowden, Adam J. Terando, Vasu Misra, Adrienne Wootten, Amit Bhardwaj, Ryan Boyles, William Gould, Jaime Collazo, Tanya Spero
Using information from global climate models to inform policymaking—The role of the U.S. Geological Survey Using information from global climate models to inform policymaking—The role of the U.S. Geological Survey
This report provides an overview of model-based climate science in a risk management context. In addition, it summarizes how the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) will continue to follow best scientific practices and when and how the results of this research will be delivered to the U.S. Department of the Interior (DOI) and other stakeholders to inform policymaking. Climate change is a risk...
Authors
Adam Terando, David Reidmiller, Steven Hostetler, Jeremy Littell, Beard, Sarah Weiskopf, Jayne Belnap, Geoffrey Plumlee
Climate change projected to reduce prescribed burning opportunities in the south-eastern United States Climate change projected to reduce prescribed burning opportunities in the south-eastern United States
Prescribed burning is a critical tool for managing wildfire risks and meeting ecological objectives, but its safe and effective application requires that specific meteorological criteria (a ‘burn window’) are met. Here, we evaluate the potential impacts of projected climatic change on prescribed burning in the south-eastern United States by applying a set of burn window criteria that...
Authors
John A Kupfer, Adam J. Terando, Peng Gao, Casey Teske, J Kevin Hiers
Do empirical observations support commonly-held climate change range shift hypotheses? A systematic review protocol Do empirical observations support commonly-held climate change range shift hypotheses? A systematic review protocol
Background Among the most widely anticipated climate-related impacts to biodiversity are geographic range shifts, whereby species shift their spatial distribution in response to changing climate conditions. In particular, a series of commonly articulated hypotheses have emerged: species are expected to shift their distributions to higher latitudes, greater elevations, and deeper depths...
Authors
Madeleine Rubenstein, Sarah Weiskopf, Shawn Carter, Mitchell Eaton, Ciara Johnson, Abigail Lynch, Brian Miller, Toni Morelli, Mari Rodriguez, Adam Terando, Laura Thompson
Forecasting water demand across a rapidly urbanizing region Forecasting water demand across a rapidly urbanizing region
Urban growth and climate change together complicate planning efforts meant to adapt to increasingly scarce water supplies. Several studies have independently examined the impacts of urban planning and climate change on water demand, but little attention has been given to their combined impact. Here we forecast urban water demand using a Geographically Weighted Regression model informed...
Authors
Georgina M. Sanchez, Adam J. Terando, Jordan Smith, Ana Garcia, Chad R. Wagner, Ross Meentemeyer
North Carolina State climate report North Carolina State climate report
Our scientific understanding of the climate system strongly supports the conclusion that North Carolina’s climate has changed in recent decades and the expectation that large changes—much larger than at any time in the state’s history—will occur if current trends in greenhouse gas concentrations continue. Even under a scenario where emissions peak around 2050 and decline thereafter...
Authors
Kenneth Kunkel, David Easterling, Andrew Ballinger, Solomon Bililign, Sarah M Champion, D Corbett, Kathie Dello, Jenny Dissen, James Kossin, Gary Lackmann, Rick Luettich, Baker Perry, Walter Robinson, Laura Stevens, Brooke Stewart, Adam Terando
Projected urban growth in the Southeastern USA puts small streams at risk Projected urban growth in the Southeastern USA puts small streams at risk
Future land-use development has the potential to profoundly affect the health of aquatic ecosystems in the coming decades. We developed regression models predicting the loss of sensitive fish (R2=0.39) and macroinvertebrate (R2=0.64) taxa as a function of urban and agricultural land uses and applied them to projected urbanization of the rapidly urbanizing Piedmont ecoregion of the...
Authors
Peter Van Metre, Ian Waite, Sharon Qi, Barbara Mahler, Adam Terando, Michael Wieczorek, Michael Meador, Paul M. Bradley, Celeste Journey, Travis S. Schmidt, Daren Carlisle
Perspective: Developing flow policies to balance the water needs of humans and wetlands requires a landscape scale approach inclusive of future scenarios and multiple timescales Perspective: Developing flow policies to balance the water needs of humans and wetlands requires a landscape scale approach inclusive of future scenarios and multiple timescales
Maintenance of the natural flow regime is essential for continued wetland integrity; however, the flow regime is greatly influenced by both natural and anthropogenic forces. Wetlands may be particularly susceptible to altered flow regimes as they are directly impacted by water flows at a variety of time scales. In Puerto Rico, contemporary water management is decreasing freshwater...
Authors
Brent Murry, Jared Bowden, Benjamin Branoff, Miguel Garcia-Bermudez, Beth Middleton, Jorge Ortiz-Zayas, Carla Restrepo, Adam J. Terando
Landscape connectivity planning for adaptation to future climate and land-use change Landscape connectivity planning for adaptation to future climate and land-use change
Purpose of Review We examined recent literature on promoting habitat connectivity in the context of climate change (CC) and land-use change (LUC). These two global change forcings have wide-reaching ecological effects that are projected to worsen in the future. Improving connectivity is a common adaptation strategy, but CC and LUC can also degrade planned connections, potentially...
Authors
Jennifer Costanza, Adam Terando
Partitioning global change: Assessing the relative importance of changes in climate and land cover for changes in avian distribution Partitioning global change: Assessing the relative importance of changes in climate and land cover for changes in avian distribution
Understanding the relative impact of climate change and land cover change on changes in avian distribution has implications for the future course of avian distributions and appropriate management strategies. Due to the dynamic nature of climate change, our goal was to investigate the processes that shape species distributions, rather than the current distributional patterns. To this end...
Authors
Matthew J. Clement, James D. Nichols, Jaime Collazo, Adam Terando, James Hines, Steven Williams
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 26
SERAP: Assessment of Climate and Land Use Change Impacts on Terrestrial Species
Researchers from North Carolina State University and the USGS integrated models of urbanization and vegetation dynamics with the regional climate models to predict vegetation dynamics and assess how landscape change could impact priority species, including North American land birds. This integrated ensemble of models can be used to predict locations where responses to climate change are...
Development of the Geo Data Portal to Make Climate Projections and Scientific Data More Accessible to Users
This project brought together a team of researchers from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and universities to develop a comprehensive web-based dataset of high-resolution (or ‘downscaled’) climate change projections, to enable scientists and decision-makers to better assess climate related ecosystem impacts. Currently, scientists and resource managers often find it difficult to use...
Filter Total Items: 61
Climate change implications for the conservation of amphibians in tropical environments. Climate change implications for the conservation of amphibians in tropical environments.
The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and the Puerto Rico Department of Natural and Environmental Resources want to develop a plan of actions to protect 12 species of coqui frogs (Eleutherodactylus spp.) that are currently considered at risk of being considered threatened or endangered, requiring additional protections under the Endangered Species Act. Actions center on two possible...
Authors
Jaime Collazo, Adam Terando, Krishna Pacifici, Jared Bowden
Ecology of urban climates: The need for landscape biophysics in cities Ecology of urban climates: The need for landscape biophysics in cities
In this chapter we will review and evaluate the climatic and ecological parallels between urbanization and climate change, with an emphasis on temperature and its effects on terrestrial ectotherms, a group of organisms thought to be particularly sensitive to climate change. We will summarize patterns of urban warming and how they relate to global climate change projections, then discuss...
Authors
Elsa Youngsteadt, Adam Terando
High‐resolution dynamically downscaled rainfall and temperature projections for ecological life zones within Puerto Rico and for the U.S. Virgin Islands High‐resolution dynamically downscaled rainfall and temperature projections for ecological life zones within Puerto Rico and for the U.S. Virgin Islands
The weather research and forecasting (WRF) model and a combination of the regional spectral model (RSM) and the Japanese Meteorological Agency Non‐Hydrostatic Model (NHM) were used to dynamically downscale selected CMIP5 global climate models to provide 2‐km projections with hourly model output for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Two 20‐year time slices were downscaled for...
Authors
Jared Bowden, Adam J. Terando, Vasu Misra, Adrienne Wootten, Amit Bhardwaj, Ryan Boyles, William Gould, Jaime Collazo, Tanya Spero
Using information from global climate models to inform policymaking—The role of the U.S. Geological Survey Using information from global climate models to inform policymaking—The role of the U.S. Geological Survey
This report provides an overview of model-based climate science in a risk management context. In addition, it summarizes how the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) will continue to follow best scientific practices and when and how the results of this research will be delivered to the U.S. Department of the Interior (DOI) and other stakeholders to inform policymaking. Climate change is a risk...
Authors
Adam Terando, David Reidmiller, Steven Hostetler, Jeremy Littell, Beard, Sarah Weiskopf, Jayne Belnap, Geoffrey Plumlee
Climate change projected to reduce prescribed burning opportunities in the south-eastern United States Climate change projected to reduce prescribed burning opportunities in the south-eastern United States
Prescribed burning is a critical tool for managing wildfire risks and meeting ecological objectives, but its safe and effective application requires that specific meteorological criteria (a ‘burn window’) are met. Here, we evaluate the potential impacts of projected climatic change on prescribed burning in the south-eastern United States by applying a set of burn window criteria that...
Authors
John A Kupfer, Adam J. Terando, Peng Gao, Casey Teske, J Kevin Hiers
Do empirical observations support commonly-held climate change range shift hypotheses? A systematic review protocol Do empirical observations support commonly-held climate change range shift hypotheses? A systematic review protocol
Background Among the most widely anticipated climate-related impacts to biodiversity are geographic range shifts, whereby species shift their spatial distribution in response to changing climate conditions. In particular, a series of commonly articulated hypotheses have emerged: species are expected to shift their distributions to higher latitudes, greater elevations, and deeper depths...
Authors
Madeleine Rubenstein, Sarah Weiskopf, Shawn Carter, Mitchell Eaton, Ciara Johnson, Abigail Lynch, Brian Miller, Toni Morelli, Mari Rodriguez, Adam Terando, Laura Thompson
Forecasting water demand across a rapidly urbanizing region Forecasting water demand across a rapidly urbanizing region
Urban growth and climate change together complicate planning efforts meant to adapt to increasingly scarce water supplies. Several studies have independently examined the impacts of urban planning and climate change on water demand, but little attention has been given to their combined impact. Here we forecast urban water demand using a Geographically Weighted Regression model informed...
Authors
Georgina M. Sanchez, Adam J. Terando, Jordan Smith, Ana Garcia, Chad R. Wagner, Ross Meentemeyer
North Carolina State climate report North Carolina State climate report
Our scientific understanding of the climate system strongly supports the conclusion that North Carolina’s climate has changed in recent decades and the expectation that large changes—much larger than at any time in the state’s history—will occur if current trends in greenhouse gas concentrations continue. Even under a scenario where emissions peak around 2050 and decline thereafter...
Authors
Kenneth Kunkel, David Easterling, Andrew Ballinger, Solomon Bililign, Sarah M Champion, D Corbett, Kathie Dello, Jenny Dissen, James Kossin, Gary Lackmann, Rick Luettich, Baker Perry, Walter Robinson, Laura Stevens, Brooke Stewart, Adam Terando
Projected urban growth in the Southeastern USA puts small streams at risk Projected urban growth in the Southeastern USA puts small streams at risk
Future land-use development has the potential to profoundly affect the health of aquatic ecosystems in the coming decades. We developed regression models predicting the loss of sensitive fish (R2=0.39) and macroinvertebrate (R2=0.64) taxa as a function of urban and agricultural land uses and applied them to projected urbanization of the rapidly urbanizing Piedmont ecoregion of the...
Authors
Peter Van Metre, Ian Waite, Sharon Qi, Barbara Mahler, Adam Terando, Michael Wieczorek, Michael Meador, Paul M. Bradley, Celeste Journey, Travis S. Schmidt, Daren Carlisle
Perspective: Developing flow policies to balance the water needs of humans and wetlands requires a landscape scale approach inclusive of future scenarios and multiple timescales Perspective: Developing flow policies to balance the water needs of humans and wetlands requires a landscape scale approach inclusive of future scenarios and multiple timescales
Maintenance of the natural flow regime is essential for continued wetland integrity; however, the flow regime is greatly influenced by both natural and anthropogenic forces. Wetlands may be particularly susceptible to altered flow regimes as they are directly impacted by water flows at a variety of time scales. In Puerto Rico, contemporary water management is decreasing freshwater...
Authors
Brent Murry, Jared Bowden, Benjamin Branoff, Miguel Garcia-Bermudez, Beth Middleton, Jorge Ortiz-Zayas, Carla Restrepo, Adam J. Terando
Landscape connectivity planning for adaptation to future climate and land-use change Landscape connectivity planning for adaptation to future climate and land-use change
Purpose of Review We examined recent literature on promoting habitat connectivity in the context of climate change (CC) and land-use change (LUC). These two global change forcings have wide-reaching ecological effects that are projected to worsen in the future. Improving connectivity is a common adaptation strategy, but CC and LUC can also degrade planned connections, potentially...
Authors
Jennifer Costanza, Adam Terando
Partitioning global change: Assessing the relative importance of changes in climate and land cover for changes in avian distribution Partitioning global change: Assessing the relative importance of changes in climate and land cover for changes in avian distribution
Understanding the relative impact of climate change and land cover change on changes in avian distribution has implications for the future course of avian distributions and appropriate management strategies. Due to the dynamic nature of climate change, our goal was to investigate the processes that shape species distributions, rather than the current distributional patterns. To this end...
Authors
Matthew J. Clement, James D. Nichols, Jaime Collazo, Adam Terando, James Hines, Steven Williams