Wet snow avalanches, including both wet slab and glide avalanches, are dangerous and can be particularly difficult to predict because they are relatively poorly understood compared to dry snow avalanches. They pose significant risk to human life and infrastructure in mountainous areas throughout the world. Wet snow avalanches are caused by weakening in the strength of the snowpack, often triggered by rain, abundant sunshine, or warm temperatures. As temperatures increase and mid-winter rain events become more common due to a changing climate, wet snow avalanche frequency is expected to increase and the timing of this avalanche problem type will change. By analyzing the behavior of wet snow avalanches and the specific weather and climate factors that contribute to them, USGS scientists advance understanding of wet snow avalanches to better inform avalanche forecasting efforts, hazard mitigation, and land-use planning in avalanche terrain.
Examining factors related to wet slab and glide avalanches
Both dry and wet snow avalanches constitute risk and ecological disturbance in mountainous regions throughout the world. However, wet snow avalanches are poorly understood. Wet slab avalanches depend upon the introduction of liquid water in the snowpack that changes the strength of a weak layer and decreases slope stability. The exact mechanism of wet snow avalanche release is still poorly understood. As such, scientists have studied some of the contributory meteorological factors influencing wet snow avalanche occurrence.
In Glacier National Park, Montana, USGS scientists work with the National Park Service on the Going-to-the-Sun Road Avalanche Forecasting Program. Here, scientists are able to collect valuable meteorological and snowpack data and apply the results of their studies directly to an avalanche forecasting program. The next step is to investigate the structural properties of the snowpack as water moves through in the spring during snowmelt periods and associated wet slab avalanche occurrence.
Glide snow avalanches are dangerous, difficult to predict, and pose a hazard to spring opening operations along the Going-to-the-Sun Road each year. The difficulty associated with forecasting glide snow avalanches and the ineffectiveness of most explosive mitigation techniques render this type of avalanche a troublesome forecasting and management problem. Glide is the downhill movement of the entire snowpack along the interface with the ground. We investigated terrain factors associated with glide avalanche release and found that the smoothness of the underlying ground is an important driving factor. We have also used time lapse cameras to pinpoint the timing of glide avalanche occurrence and to examine the rate of glide crack change.
Climate-avalanche understanding improves safety
In avalanche prone regions, forecasting avalanches to reduce risk to life and property includes a complex analysis of weather forecasts, snowpack conditions, and topographic knowledge. Because wet snow avalanches are triggered by specific weather conditions combined with a particular snowpack structure, defining the most influential weather and snowpack factors can greatly enhance predictive models and forecasting efforts, thereby saving lives and property, and decreasing economic loss. As the climate becomes more variable, the importance of accurate forecasting based on changing meteorological influences will influence land management and development, hazard mediation, and ecological understanding.
Additional Resources:
- Going-to-the-Sun Road Avalanche Forecasting Program - Glacier National Park has implemented an avalanche forecasting program to increase safety during the hazardous plowing season. On-site snowpack and start zone evaluations lead to enhanced avalanche forecasting and real-time snow safety.
- Flathead Avalanche Center - Avalanche forecasts, field observations and education for Flathead National Forest, Kootenai National Forest, and Glacier National Park.
Below are other science projects associated with this project.
Remote Sensing Tools Advance Avalanche Research
Going-to-the-Sun Road Avalanche Forecasting Program
Below are data or web applications associated with this project.
Avalanche occurrence records along the Going-to-the-Sun Road, Glacier National Park, Montana from 2003-2022 (ver. 2.0, November 2022)
Tree ring dataset for a regional avalanche chronology in northwest Montana, 1636-2017
Below are publications associated with this project.
Climate drivers of large magnitude snow avalanche years in the U.S. northern Rocky Mountains
A regional spatio-temporal analysis of large magnitude snow avalanches using tree rings
Research Note: How old are the people who die in avalanches? A look into the ages of avalanche victims in the United States (1950-2018)
Detecting snow depth change in avalanche path starting zones using uninhabited aerial systems and structure from motion photogrammetry
Identifying major avalanche years from a regional tree-ring based avalanche chronology for the U.S. Northern Rocky Mountains
On the exchange of sensible and latent heat between the atmosphere and melting snow
Using structure from motion photogrammetry to examine glide snow avalanches
Case study: 2016 Natural glide and wet slab avalanche cycle, Going-to-the-Sun Road, Glacier National Park, Montana, USA
Examining spring wet slab and glide avalanche occurrence along the Going-to-the-Sun Road corridor, Glacier National Park, Montana, USA
Time lapse photography as an approach to understanding glide avalanche activity
Timing of wet snow avalanche activity: An analysis from Glacier National Park, Montana, USA.
Using GIS and Google Earth for the creation of the Going-to-the-Sun Road Avalanche Atlas, Glacier National Park, Montana, USA
- Overview
Wet snow avalanches, including both wet slab and glide avalanches, are dangerous and can be particularly difficult to predict because they are relatively poorly understood compared to dry snow avalanches. They pose significant risk to human life and infrastructure in mountainous areas throughout the world. Wet snow avalanches are caused by weakening in the strength of the snowpack, often triggered by rain, abundant sunshine, or warm temperatures. As temperatures increase and mid-winter rain events become more common due to a changing climate, wet snow avalanche frequency is expected to increase and the timing of this avalanche problem type will change. By analyzing the behavior of wet snow avalanches and the specific weather and climate factors that contribute to them, USGS scientists advance understanding of wet snow avalanches to better inform avalanche forecasting efforts, hazard mitigation, and land-use planning in avalanche terrain.
Wet snow avalanches are often triggered by climate driven rain events and can impact large areas with damaging results. (Credit: Eric Knoff, USGS/NPS. Public domain.) Examining factors related to wet slab and glide avalanches
Both dry and wet snow avalanches constitute risk and ecological disturbance in mountainous regions throughout the world. However, wet snow avalanches are poorly understood. Wet slab avalanches depend upon the introduction of liquid water in the snowpack that changes the strength of a weak layer and decreases slope stability. The exact mechanism of wet snow avalanche release is still poorly understood. As such, scientists have studied some of the contributory meteorological factors influencing wet snow avalanche occurrence.
In Glacier National Park, Montana, USGS scientists work with the National Park Service on the Going-to-the-Sun Road Avalanche Forecasting Program. Here, scientists are able to collect valuable meteorological and snowpack data and apply the results of their studies directly to an avalanche forecasting program. The next step is to investigate the structural properties of the snowpack as water moves through in the spring during snowmelt periods and associated wet slab avalanche occurrence.
In avalanche prone regions around the world, wet snow avalanches create hazards and can significantly impact transportation corridors like this road in Glacier National Park, MT. (Credit: USGS. Public domain.) Glide snow avalanches are dangerous, difficult to predict, and pose a hazard to spring opening operations along the Going-to-the-Sun Road each year. The difficulty associated with forecasting glide snow avalanches and the ineffectiveness of most explosive mitigation techniques render this type of avalanche a troublesome forecasting and management problem. Glide is the downhill movement of the entire snowpack along the interface with the ground. We investigated terrain factors associated with glide avalanche release and found that the smoothness of the underlying ground is an important driving factor. We have also used time lapse cameras to pinpoint the timing of glide avalanche occurrence and to examine the rate of glide crack change.
Climate-avalanche understanding improves safety
In avalanche prone regions, forecasting avalanches to reduce risk to life and property includes a complex analysis of weather forecasts, snowpack conditions, and topographic knowledge. Because wet snow avalanches are triggered by specific weather conditions combined with a particular snowpack structure, defining the most influential weather and snowpack factors can greatly enhance predictive models and forecasting efforts, thereby saving lives and property, and decreasing economic loss. As the climate becomes more variable, the importance of accurate forecasting based on changing meteorological influences will influence land management and development, hazard mediation, and ecological understanding.
Paired photos of Heaven's Peak showing glide avalanche released over the course of one hour. (Credit: USGS. Public domain.) Additional Resources:
- Going-to-the-Sun Road Avalanche Forecasting Program - Glacier National Park has implemented an avalanche forecasting program to increase safety during the hazardous plowing season. On-site snowpack and start zone evaluations lead to enhanced avalanche forecasting and real-time snow safety.
- Flathead Avalanche Center - Avalanche forecasts, field observations and education for Flathead National Forest, Kootenai National Forest, and Glacier National Park.
- Science
Below are other science projects associated with this project.
Remote Sensing Tools Advance Avalanche Research
The USGS Snow and Avalanche Project (SNAP) uses remotely sensed technologies to understand snowpack changes that influence water storage, recreation, avalanche hazard and acts as a driver of landscape change. Satellites, uninhabited aerial systems (UAS), and structure-from-motion (SfM) photogrammetry are some of the tools scientists use to collect high resolution imagery that supports ongoing snow...Going-to-the-Sun Road Avalanche Forecasting Program
As the most popular attraction in Glacier National Park (GNP), the Going-to-the-Sun Road traverses scenic alpine zones and crosses the Continental Divide at Logan Pass (2026m or 6,647' elevation). The Park closes a 56km (34.8 mile) section of the road each winter due to inclement weather, heavy snowfall, and avalanche hazards. Annual spring opening of the road is a highly anticipated event for... - Data
Below are data or web applications associated with this project.
Avalanche occurrence records along the Going-to-the-Sun Road, Glacier National Park, Montana from 2003-2022 (ver. 2.0, November 2022)
Starting in 2003, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center in West Glacier, MT, in collaboration with the National Park Service, collected avalanche observations along the Going to the Sun Road during the spring road-clearing operations. The spring road-clearing along Going to the Sun Road utilized a team of avalanche specialists from the USGS and Glacier National PTree ring dataset for a regional avalanche chronology in northwest Montana, 1636-2017
This dataset includes processed tree ring data from avalanche paths in Glacier National Park and the Flathead National Forest in northwest Montana. The data were processed in three distinct phases that resulted in this dataset: collection, processing, and avalanche signal analysis. This dataset consists of samples from 647 trees with 2304 growth disturbances identified from 12 avalanche paths. - Publications
Below are publications associated with this project.
Filter Total Items: 13Climate drivers of large magnitude snow avalanche years in the U.S. northern Rocky Mountains
Large magnitude snow avalanches pose a hazard to humans and infrastructure worldwide. Analyzing the spatiotemporal behavior of avalanches and the contributory climate factors is important for understanding historical variability in climate-avalanche relationships as well as improving avalanche forecasting. We used established dendrochronological methods to develop a long-term (1867–2019) regionalA regional spatio-temporal analysis of large magnitude snow avalanches using tree rings
Snow avalanches affect transportation corridors and settlements worldwide. In many mountainous regions, robust records of avalanche frequency and magnitude are sparse or non-existent. However, dendrochronological methods can be used to fill this gap and infer historical avalanche patterns. In this study, we developed a tree-ring-based avalanche chronology for large magnitude avalanche events (sizeResearch Note: How old are the people who die in avalanches? A look into the ages of avalanche victims in the United States (1950-2018)
Since the winter of 1950-1951, 1084 individuals perished in snow avalanches in the United States. In this study, we analyze the ages of those killed (n=900) by applying non-parametric methods to annual median ages and for age groups and primary activity groups. Change point detection results suggest a significant change in 1990 in the median age of avalanche fatalities. Significant positive trendsDetecting snow depth change in avalanche path starting zones using uninhabited aerial systems and structure from motion photogrammetry
Understanding snow depth distribution and change is useful for avalanche forecasting and mitigation, runoff forecasting, and infrastructure planning. Advances in remote sensing are improving the ability to collect snow depth measurements. The development of structure from motion (SfM), a photogrammetry technique, combined with the use of uninhabited aerial systems (UASs) allows for high resolutionIdentifying major avalanche years from a regional tree-ring based avalanche chronology for the U.S. Northern Rocky Mountains
Avalanches not only pose a major hazard to people and infrastructure, but also act as an important ecological disturbance. In many mountainous regions in North America, including areas with existing transportation corridors, reliable and consistent avalanche records are sparse or non-existent. Thus, inferring long-term avalanche patterns and associated contributory climate and weather factors reOn the exchange of sensible and latent heat between the atmosphere and melting snow
The snow energy balance is difficult to measure during the snowmelt period, yet critical for predictions of water yield in regions characterized by snow cover. Robust simplifications of the snowmelt energy balance can aid our understanding of water resources in a changing climate. Research to date has demonstrated that the net turbulent flux (FT) between a melting snowpack and the atmosphere is neUsing structure from motion photogrammetry to examine glide snow avalanches
Structure from Motion (SfM), a photogrammetric technique, has been used extensively and successfully in many fields including geosciences over the past few years to create 3D models and high resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) from aerial or oblique photographs. SfM has recently been used in a limited capacity in snow avalanche research and shows promise as a tool for broader applications.Case study: 2016 Natural glide and wet slab avalanche cycle, Going-to-the-Sun Road, Glacier National Park, Montana, USA
The Going-to-the-Sun Road (GTSR) is the premier tourist attraction in Glacier National Park, Montana. The GTSR also traverses through and under 40 avalanche paths which pose a hazard to National Park Service (NPS) road crews during the annual spring snow plowing operation. Through a joint collaboration between the NPS and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), a forecasting program primarily dealing wExamining spring wet slab and glide avalanche occurrence along the Going-to-the-Sun Road corridor, Glacier National Park, Montana, USA
Wet slab and glide snow avalanches are dangerous and yet can be particularly difficult to predict. Wet slab and glide avalanches are presumably triggered by free water moving through the snowpack and the subsequent interaction with layer or ground interfaces, and typically occur in the spring during warming and subsequent melt periods. In Glacier National Park (GNP), Montana, both types of avalancTime lapse photography as an approach to understanding glide avalanche activity
Avalanches resulting from glide cracks are notoriously difficult to forecast, but are a recurring problem for numerous avalanche forecasting programs. In some cases glide cracks are observed to open and then melt away in situ. In other cases, they open and then fail catastrophically as large, full-depth avalanches. Our understanding and management of these phenomena are currently limited. It is thTiming of wet snow avalanche activity: An analysis from Glacier National Park, Montana, USA.
Wet snow avalanches pose a problem for annual spring road opening operations along the Going-to-the-Sun Road (GTSR) in Glacier National Park, Montana, USA. A suite of meteorological metrics and snow observations has been used to forecast for wet slab and glide avalanche activity. However, the timing of spring wet slab and glide avalanches is a difficult process to forecast and requires new capabilUsing GIS and Google Earth for the creation of the Going-to-the-Sun Road Avalanche Atlas, Glacier National Park, Montana, USA
Snow avalanche paths are key geomorphologic features in Glacier National Park, Montana, and an important component of mountain ecosystems: they are isolated within a larger ecosystem, they are continuously disturbed, and they contain unique physical characteristics (Malanson and Butler, 1984). Avalanches impact subalpine forest structure and function, as well as overall biodiversity (Bebi et al.,