Publications
Explore WARC's science publications.
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Can antibrowsing defense regulate the spread of woody vegetation in arctic tundra? Can antibrowsing defense regulate the spread of woody vegetation in arctic tundra?
Global climate warming is projected to promote the increase of woody plants, especially shrubs, in arctic tundra. Many factors may affect the extent of this increase, including browsing by mammals. We hypothesize that across the Arctic the effect of browsing will vary because of regional variation in antibrowsing chemical defense. Using birch (Betula) as a case study, we propose that...
Authors
John P. Bryant, Kyle Joly, F. Stuart Chapin, Donald L. DeAngelis, Knut Kielland
Structural equation models of VMT growth in US urbanised areas. Structural equation models of VMT growth in US urbanised areas.
Vehicle miles travelled (VMT) is a primary performance indicator for land use and transportation, bringing with it both positive and negative externalities. This study updates and refines previous work on VMT in urbanised areas, using recent data, additional metrics and structural equation modelling (SEM). In a cross-sectional model for 2010, population, income and freeway capacity are...
Authors
Reid Ewing, Shima Hamidi, Frank Gallivan, Arthur C. Nelson, James B. Grace
Snow conditions as an estimator of the breeding output in high-Arctic pink-footed geese Anser brachyrhynchus Snow conditions as an estimator of the breeding output in high-Arctic pink-footed geese Anser brachyrhynchus
The Svalbard-breeding population of pink-footed geese Anser brachyrhynchus has increased during the last decades and is giving rise to agricultural conflicts along their migration route, as well as causing grazing impacts on tundra vegetation. An adaptive flyway management plan has been implemented, which will be based on predictive population models including environmental variables...
Authors
Gitte Hoj Jensen, Jesper Madsen, Fred A. Johnson, Mikkel P. Tamstorf
Marsh soils as potential sinks for Bacteroides fecal indicator bacteria, Waccamaw National Wildlife Refuge, Georgetown, SC, USA Marsh soils as potential sinks for Bacteroides fecal indicator bacteria, Waccamaw National Wildlife Refuge, Georgetown, SC, USA
A soil core collected in a tidal freshwater marsh in the Waccamaw National Wildlife Refuge (Georgetown, SC) exuded a particularly strong odor of cow manure upon extrusion. In order to test for manure and determine its provenance, we carried out microbial source tracking using DNA markers for Bacteroides, a noncoliform, anaerobic bacterial group that represents a broad group of the fecal...
Authors
Judith Z. Drexler, Heather E. Johnson, Joseph W. Duris, Ken W. Krauss
Forecasting landscape effects of Mississippi River diversions on elevation and accretion in Louisiana deltaic wetlands under future environmental uncertainty scenarios Forecasting landscape effects of Mississippi River diversions on elevation and accretion in Louisiana deltaic wetlands under future environmental uncertainty scenarios
Large sediment diversions are proposed and expected to build new wetlands to alleviate the extensive wetland loss (5,000 km2) affecting coastal Louisiana during the last 78 years. Current assessment and prediction of the impacts of sediment diversions have focused on the capture and dispersal of both water and sediment on the adjacent river side and the immediate outfall marsh area...
Authors
Hongqing Wang, Gregory D. Steyer, Brady R. Couvillion, John M. Rybczyk, Holly J. Beck, William J. Sleavin, Ehab A. Meselhe, Mead A. Allison, Ronald G. Boustany, Craig J. Fischenich, Victor H. Rivera-Monroy
A radiogenic isotope tracer study of transatlantic dust transport from Africa to the Caribbean A radiogenic isotope tracer study of transatlantic dust transport from Africa to the Caribbean
Many studies have suggested that long-range transport of African desert dusts across the Atlantic Ocean occurs, delivering key nutrients and contributing to fertilization of the Amazon rainforest. Here we utilize radiogenic isotope tracers – Sr, Nd and Pb – to derive the provenance, local or remote, and pathways of dust transport from Africa to the Caribbean. Atmospheric total suspended
Authors
A. Kumar, W. Abouchami, S.J.G. Galer, V.H. Garrison, E. Williams, M.O. Andreae
Uncertainty, robustness, and the value of information in managing an expanding Arctic goose population Uncertainty, robustness, and the value of information in managing an expanding Arctic goose population
We explored the application of dynamic-optimization methods to the problem of pink-footed goose (Anser brachyrhynchus) management in western Europe. We were especially concerned with the extent to which uncertainty in population dynamics influenced an optimal management strategy, the gain in management performance that could be expected if uncertainty could be eliminated or reduced, and...
Authors
Fred A. Johnson, Gitte H. Jensen, Jesper Madsen, Byron K. Williams
Total mercury concentrations in lionfish (Pterois volitans/miles) from the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary, USA Total mercury concentrations in lionfish (Pterois volitans/miles) from the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary, USA
Strategies to control invasive lionfish in the western Atlantic and Caribbean are likely to include harvest and consumption. Until this report, total mercury concentrations had been documented only for lionfish from Jamaica, and changes in concentrations with increasing fish size had not been evaluated. In the Florida Keys, total mercury concentrations in dorsal muscle tissue from 107...
Authors
Dane H. Huge, Pamela J. Schofield, Charles A. Jacoby, Thomas K. Frazer
Air-water gas exchange and CO2 flux in a mangrove-dominated estuary Air-water gas exchange and CO2 flux in a mangrove-dominated estuary
Mangrove forests are highly productive ecosystems, but the fate of mangrove-derived carbon remains uncertain. Part of that uncertainty stems from the fact that gas transfer velocities in mangrove-surrounded waters are not well determined, leading to uncertainty in air-water CO2 fluxes. Two SF6 tracer release experiments were conducted to determine gas transfer velocities (k(600) = 8.3 ±...
Authors
David T. Ho, Sara Ferrón, Victor C. Engel, Laurel G. Larsen, Jordan G. Barr
Mangrove expansion and saltmarsh decline at mangrove poleward limits Mangrove expansion and saltmarsh decline at mangrove poleward limits
Mangroves are species of halophytic intertidal trees and shrubs derived from tropical genera and are likely delimited in latitudinal range by varying sensitivity to cold. There is now sufficient evidence that mangrove species have proliferated at or near their poleward limits on at least five continents over the past half century, at the expense of salt marsh. Avicennia is the most cold...
Authors
Neil Saintilan, Nicholas C. Wilson, Kerrylee Rogers, Anusha Rajkaran, Ken W. Krauss
Thresholds for conservation and management: structured decision making as a conceptual framework Thresholds for conservation and management: structured decision making as a conceptual framework
A conceptual framework is provided for considering the threshold concept in natural resource management and conservation. We define three kinds of thresholds relevant to management and conservation. Ecological thresholds are values of system state variables at which small changes bring about substantial or specified changes in system dynamics. They are frequently incorporated into...
Authors
James D. Nichols, Mitchell J. Eaton, Julien Martin
Deep-sea coral record of human impact on watershed quality in the Mississippi River Basin Deep-sea coral record of human impact on watershed quality in the Mississippi River Basin
One of the greatest drivers of historical nutrient and sediment transport into the Gulf of Mexico is the unprecedented scale and intensity of land use change in the Mississippi River Basin. These landscape changes are linked to enhanced fluxes of carbon and nitrogen pollution from the Mississippi River, and persistent eutrophication and hypoxia in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Increased...
Authors
Nancy G. Prouty, E. Brendan Roark, Alan E. Koenig, Amanda W.J. Demopoulos, Fabian C. Batista, Benjamin D. Kocar, David Selby, Matthew D. McCarthy, Furu Mienis