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Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center images

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A group of people talking and laughing outside
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event

Kevin Kroeger, Marcel Belaval, and Rob Thieler of the U.S. Geological Survey talking with other collaborators involved in the Herring River Restoration Project.

Sky, trees, bridge, and river
Herring River Bridge
Herring River Bridge
Herring River Bridge

The Chequessett Neck bridge in Wellfleet, Massachusetts, the construction site of the first and largest infrastructure component of the Herring River Restoration Project. 

The Chequessett Neck bridge in Wellfleet, Massachusetts, the construction site of the first and largest infrastructure component of the Herring River Restoration Project. 

A group of people outside posing for a photo
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event

State and Federal officials joined partners involved in the Herring River Restoration Project for a group photo at the groundbreaking event at Chequessett Neck bridge in Wellfleet, Massachusetts.

Three people standing on either side of a sign detailing the Herring River Restoration Project outside with trees in back
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event

The USGS attendees of the Herring River Restoration Project groundbreaking event standing proudly next to a sign detailing the project.

A man pointing and talking with a group of people standing in a circle, talking outside
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event
Herring River Restoration Project Groundbreaking Event

Kevin Kroeger, Marcel Belaval, and Rob Thieler of the U.S. Geological Survey talking with other collaborators involved in the Herring River Restoration Project.

Woman smiling at camera
Ellen Lalk
Ellen Lalk
Ellen Lalk

Ellen Lalk is a stable isotope biogeochemist who focuses on the sources and fates of methane in marine and freshwater environments. At the USGS she is using analytical chemistry methods (e.g., laser spectroscopy, mass spectrometry, and gas chromatography) and fieldwork to better understand the transformation of methane-derived organic matter.

 

Ellen Lalk is a stable isotope biogeochemist who focuses on the sources and fates of methane in marine and freshwater environments. At the USGS she is using analytical chemistry methods (e.g., laser spectroscopy, mass spectrometry, and gas chromatography) and fieldwork to better understand the transformation of methane-derived organic matter.

 

Coastal change likelihood hazards map showing the U.S. northeast coast, focusing on Cape Cod
CCL Hazards
CCL Hazards
CCL Hazards

Map showing the hazards type layer, which highlights the hazard type (event or perpetual) that may be most influential in coastal change for A, the northeastern United States and B, detail for the outer extent of Cape Cod in eastern Massachusetts.

Map showing the hazards type layer, which highlights the hazard type (event or perpetual) that may be most influential in coastal change for A, the northeastern United States and B, detail for the outer extent of Cape Cod in eastern Massachusetts.

Map showing coastal change likelihood along U.S. northeast coast
CCL
CCL
CCL

Map showing the maximum coastal change likelihood value derived from support vector machine supervised learning that combines the fabric data with the event and perpetual hazards and selects the maximum outcome of that combination for A, the northeastern United States and B, detail for an area along the Delmarva Peninsula that is characterized by developed and undev

Map showing the maximum coastal change likelihood value derived from support vector machine supervised learning that combines the fabric data with the event and perpetual hazards and selects the maximum outcome of that combination for A, the northeastern United States and B, detail for an area along the Delmarva Peninsula that is characterized by developed and undev

Hurricane Florence geonarrative motivation page
Hurricane Florence Numerical Modeling Geonarrative
Hurricane Florence Numerical Modeling Geonarrative
Hurricane Florence Numerical Modeling Geonarrative

The USGS partnered with North Carolina State University, Louisiana State University, and University Corporation for Atmospheric Research to investigate hurricane-induced compound flooding and sediment dispersal using coupled hydrology and ocean models.

The USGS partnered with North Carolina State University, Louisiana State University, and University Corporation for Atmospheric Research to investigate hurricane-induced compound flooding and sediment dispersal using coupled hydrology and ocean models.

Bathymetric map of Cape Cod Bay
Bathymetry of Cape Cod Bay, MA
Bathymetry of Cape Cod Bay, MA
Bathymetry of Cape Cod Bay, MA

Bathymetry of Cape Cod Bay, MA collected in 2019. Warmer colors indicate shallow depths while cool colors indicate deeper depths. 

Bathymetry of Cape Cod Bay, MA collected in 2019. Warmer colors indicate shallow depths while cool colors indicate deeper depths. 

CCL map and CVI map gif
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood

The CCL is an updated version of the older Coastal Vulnerability Index, first published in 1999. While the original product was focused on change in the next 50-100 years based solely on sea level rise, the new CCL is more near-term, focusing on change over the next decade as a result of multiple coastal hazards.

The CCL is an updated version of the older Coastal Vulnerability Index, first published in 1999. While the original product was focused on change in the next 50-100 years based solely on sea level rise, the new CCL is more near-term, focusing on change over the next decade as a result of multiple coastal hazards.

Map of Cape Cod showing coastal change likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast coastline in the next decade. Pictured here is coastal change likelihood on Cape Cod.

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast coastline in the next decade. Pictured here is coastal change likelihood on Cape Cod.

CCL fabric data map of the Chesapeake, VA
Coastal Change Likelihood - Fabric Data
Coastal Change Likelihood - Fabric Data
Coastal Change Likelihood - Fabric Data

The CCL assessment integrates data describing coastal characteristics, landscape composition, and the level of resistance to change, with data defining the drivers of change that impact the coast, such as waves and flooding. These data types are known as fabric and hazards, respectively.

The CCL assessment integrates data describing coastal characteristics, landscape composition, and the level of resistance to change, with data defining the drivers of change that impact the coast, such as waves and flooding. These data types are known as fabric and hazards, respectively.

Coastal Change Likelihood map of Chesapeake, VA
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast U.S. coastline in the next decade. Here is the CCL map for Chesapeake, Va.

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast U.S. coastline in the next decade. Here is the CCL map for Chesapeake, Va.

Coastal Vulnerability Index map of Cape Cod, MA
Coastal Vulnerability Index - 1999
Coastal Vulnerability Index - 1999
Coastal Vulnerability Index - 1999

The CCL is an updated version of the older Coastal Vulnerability Index, first published in 1999. While the original product was focused on change in the next 50-100 years based solely on sea level rise, the new CCL is more near-term, focusing on change over the next decade as a result of multiple coastal hazards.

The CCL is an updated version of the older Coastal Vulnerability Index, first published in 1999. While the original product was focused on change in the next 50-100 years based solely on sea level rise, the new CCL is more near-term, focusing on change over the next decade as a result of multiple coastal hazards.

Coastal Change Likelihood map of Chesapeake, VA
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast U.S. coastline in the next decade. 

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast U.S. coastline in the next decade. 

Chart with arrow pointing from fabric to hazards to fabric + hazards = CCL outcomes
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood

Where are coastal landscapes likely to change?

Coastal Change Likelihood map of Chesapeake, VA
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast U.S. coastline in the next decade. The CCL data displayed here are for the mid-Atlantic Bight, and extend from the shoreline to 10m elevation inland. 

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast U.S. coastline in the next decade. The CCL data displayed here are for the mid-Atlantic Bight, and extend from the shoreline to 10m elevation inland. 

Two maps of coastal change on Cape Cod using the CCL and CVI
CCL and CVI
CCL and CVI
CCL and CVI

The CCL is an updated version of the older Coastal Vulnerability Index, first published in 1999. While the original product was focused on change in the next 50-100 years based solely on sea level rise, the new CCL is more near-term, focusing on change over the next decade as a result of multiple coastal hazards.

The CCL is an updated version of the older Coastal Vulnerability Index, first published in 1999. While the original product was focused on change in the next 50-100 years based solely on sea level rise, the new CCL is more near-term, focusing on change over the next decade as a result of multiple coastal hazards.

Background images of coastal environments overlaid with coastal change maps
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood
Coastal Change Likelihood

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast U.S. coastline in the next decade. 

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the National Park Service, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along the Northeast U.S. coastline in the next decade. 

Coastal Change Likelihood fabric data map for Chesapeake, VA
Coastal Change Likelihood - Fabric Data
Coastal Change Likelihood - Fabric Data
Coastal Change Likelihood - Fabric Data

The assessment integrates data describing coastal characteristics, landscape composition, and the level of resistance to change to produce the initial fabric layer. 

The assessment integrates data describing coastal characteristics, landscape composition, and the level of resistance to change to produce the initial fabric layer. 

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