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Publications

Since its inception in 2008, CASC-funded research projects have generated over 2,000 publications in academic journals across the sciences, including articles in high-impact journals such as Science and Nature. Browse a selection of publications from CASC-funded projects below. For a complete list of our scientific projects, publications, and data, explore our Project Explorer database.

Filter Total Items: 619

American kestrel population trends and vital rates at the continental scale American kestrel population trends and vital rates at the continental scale

The American kestrel (Falco sparverius, hereafter referred to as kestrel) has declined across much of its North American range since at least the mid-1960s. Kestrel population dynamics have been explored through a multitude of local studies and two broad reviews of available data. Across large geographic extents, however, the demographic cause(s) of kestrel population declines remain(s)...
Authors
Paige E. Howell, Abigail Jean Lawson, Davis Kristin P., Guthrie S. Zimmerman, Orin J. Robinson, Matthew A. Boggie, Mitchell J. Eaton, Fitsum Abadi, Jessi L. Brown, Julie A. Heath, John A. Smallwood, Karen Steenhof, Ted Swem, Brian W. Rolek, Christopher J.W. McClure, Jean-Francois Therrien, Karl E. Miller, Brian A. Milsap

Action in uncertainty: Data-driven decisions that acknowledge emotional responses and transcendental connections Action in uncertainty: Data-driven decisions that acknowledge emotional responses and transcendental connections

The increasing uncertainty with global change often stifles action and results in calls for more data before moving beyond status quo environmental decisions (Mahapatra & Ratha 2017; Ripple et al. 2017; Montefalcone et al. 2025). Advancing science and collecting more data is crucial; however, science alone (i.e., “western” or “positivist” science, as described in Fuller, 2001; Reid et al...
Authors
Nicole K. Ward, Kelly G. Guilbeau, Amanda L. Sesser, Abigail J. Lynch

Background, methods, goals, challenges, opportunities, and information needs Background, methods, goals, challenges, opportunities, and information needs

Understanding how climate change and variability will impact grassland ecosystems is crucial for successful grasslands management in the future. In 2020, the North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center began a project to establish a baseline of information to best serve grassland managers (that is, those individuals who develop grassland management plans, implement those plans on the...

Ten new insights in climate science 2025 Ten new insights in climate science 2025

Interdisciplinary understanding is vital for delivering sound climate policy advice. However, navigating the ever-growing and increasingly diverse scholarly literature on climate change is challenging for any individual researcher. This annual synthesis highlights and explains recent advances across a variety of fields of climate change research. This year, the 10 insights focus on: (1)...
Authors
Daniel Ospina, Paula Mirazo, Richard P. Allan, Smriti Basnett, Ana Bastos, Nishan Bhattarai, Wendy Broadgate, Derik J. Broekhoff, Mercedes Bustamante, Deliang Chen, Yeonju Choi, Peter Cox, Luiz A. Domeignoz-Horta, Krislie Ebi, Pierre Friedlingstein, Thomas L. Frölicher, Sabine Fuss, Helge F. Goessling, Nicolas Gruber, Qingyou He, Sophie R. Hebden, Nadja Hedrich, Adrian Heilemann, Marina Hirota, Øivind Hodnebrog, Gustaf Hugelius, Santiago Izquierdo-Tort, Sirkku Juhola, Fumiko Kasuga, Piyu Ke, Douglas I. Kelley, Şiir Kilkiș, Maximilian Kotz, Nilushi Kumarasinghe, William F. Lamb, Shih-Yu Lee, Junguo Liu, Cara N. Maesano, Maria A. Martin, Guilherme G. Mazzochini, Christopher J. Merchant, Akira S. Mori, Jennifer Morris, Åsa Persson, Hans-Otto Pörtner, Benedict S. Probst, Justine Ramage, Estelle Razanatsoa, Aaron Redman, Johan Rockström, Regina Rodrigues, Sophie Ruehr, Sadie J. Ryan, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Peter Schlosser, William A. Scott, Jan C. Semenza, Hansjörg Seybold, Drew T. Shindell, Giles B. Sioen, Kathryn E. Smith, Youba Sokona, Annika H. Stechemesser, Thomas F. Stocker, Sophie H.L. Su, Djiby Thiam, Gregory Trencher, Anna-Maria Virkkala, Lila Warszawski, Sarah R. Weiskopf, Henry Wu, Shupeng Zhu

Integrating climate and anthropogenic dynamics can inform multifaceted management for declining mule deer populations Integrating climate and anthropogenic dynamics can inform multifaceted management for declining mule deer populations

Wildlife and their habitats face profound challenges from climate and landscape-scale changes that extend beyond the influence and time horizon of most biologists and land managers. In this changing environment, long-term datasets can enhance assessments of how demographic trends respond to interactions among local (e.g., habitat restoration decisions) and broad extent drivers, including...
Authors
Teagan A. Hayes, Aaron N. Johnston, L. Embere Hall, Jill E. Randall, Matthew J. Kauffman, Christopher Keefe, Kevin Monteith, Tabitha A. Graves

Restoration based on cost-benefit optimization: A grasslands pilot study Restoration based on cost-benefit optimization: A grasslands pilot study

Ecological restoration is essential to meeting global biodiversity conservation goals. Given limited conservation budgets, deciding where to restore habitat is a key challenge for the coming decade. We developed a spatially explicit framework to optimize ecological restoration site selection by integrating land use history, species distributions, and economic costs. The framework...
Authors
Sarah R. Weiskopf, Toni Lyn Morelli, Tina G. Mozelewski, Alexey N. Shiklomanov, Susannah B. Lerman

Linking community-climate disequilibrium to ecosystem function Linking community-climate disequilibrium to ecosystem function

Turnover in species composition often lags behind the pace of climate change, resulting in mismatches between climate and communities. However, the impact of these community-climate disequilibria on ecosystem functions is rarely considered, and current methods for measuring disequilibria assume that species ranges were, until recently, in equilibrium with climate. Here, we develop a...
Authors
Michael Stemkovski, Michael H. Cortez, Joey R. Bernhardt, Kelvyn K. Bladen, John B. Bradford, Kyra Clark-Wolf, Margaret E.K. Evans, Loretta C. Johnson, Abigail J. Lynch, Melissa A. Pastore, Malin L. Pinsky, Christine R. Rollinson, Oliver Selmoni, Anthony P. Walker, John W. Williams, Peter B. Adler

Colorado River basin Colorado River basin

Flowing 1,450 miles through seven states and 30 Tribal Nations, the Colorado River is known as the lifeline of the Southwest. The river delivers water to 40 million people, irrigates approximately five million acres of farmland, supports a trillion-dollar economy, and supplies hydroelectric power to millions. Its drainage basin stretches across 250,000 square miles of diverse ecosystems...
Authors
Sierra Olivia Brown

Implementing climate-change refugia conservation Implementing climate-change refugia conservation

No abstract available.
Authors
Toni Lyn Morelli, Tina Mozelewski, Diana Stralberg

Conserving climate-change refugia: Insights from research and practice Conserving climate-change refugia: Insights from research and practice

As the impacts of anthropogenic climate change increase, conservation of climate-change refugia has become a key strategy for effective environmental stewardship. Over the last 5 years, the field of climate-change refugia conservation has made exciting advances, shifting from concepts and theory to refugia mapping and implementation. However, few studies have advanced to action on the...
Authors
Toni Lyn Morelli, Tina G. Mozelewski, Cybil Nicole Cavalieri, Andrew J Caven, Lindsay M. Dreiss, Rachel A. Hovel, Melissa Hua, Megan K. Jennings, Aji John, Gregory Kehm, Gunnar Keppel, Meg A. Krawchuk, Stephen F. Langdon, Joshua J. Lawler, Lauren Lyon, Garrett W. Meigs, Melissa Mora-Gonzalez, Christopher P. Nadeau, Sandra Slowinska, Jessica Stolar, James H. Thorne, Jordon C. Tourville, Benjamin Zuckerberg, Diana Stralberg

Integrating refugia modeling and decision science to support climate-adaptive conservation in the Sierra Nevada Integrating refugia modeling and decision science to support climate-adaptive conservation in the Sierra Nevada

To reduce detrimental impacts of anthropogenic change, natural resource managers often look for place-based solutions to minimize biodiversity loss. Climate-change refugia, areas buffered from contemporary climate change, can enable the persistence of valued natural resources and prolong the benefits of conservation action. Here we combine climate-change refugia modeling with structured...
Authors
Tina G Mozelewski, Claudia Mengelt, Katherine Powelson, Nicole Athearn, Robert L. Grasso, Andrea J Adams, Toni Lyn Morelli
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