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Using strain rates to forecast seismic hazards Using strain rates to forecast seismic hazards

One essential component in forecasting seismic hazards is observing the gradual accumulation of tectonic strain accumulation along faults before this strain is suddenly released as earthquakes. Typically, seismic hazard models are based on geologic estimates of slip rates along faults and historical records of seismic activity, neither of which records actively accumulating strain. But...
Authors
Eileen Evans

A report on upgraded seismic monitoring stations in Myanmar: Station performance and site response A report on upgraded seismic monitoring stations in Myanmar: Station performance and site response

Myanmar is in a tectonically complex region between the eastern edge of the Himalayan collision zone and the northern end of the Sunda megathrust. Until recently, earthquake monitoring and research efforts have been hampered by a lack of modern instrumentation and communication infrastructure. In January 2016, a major upgrade of the Myanmar National Seismic Network (MNSN; network code MM...
Authors
Hrin Nei Thiam, Yin Myo Min Htwe, Tun Lin Kyaw, Pa Pa Tun, Zaw Min, Sun Hninn Htwe, Tin Myo Aung, Kyaw Kyaw Lin, Myat Min Aung, Jason De Cristofaro, Mathias Franke, Stefan Radman, Elouie Lepiten, Emily Wolin, Susan E. Hough

Cascadia subduction tremor muted by crustal faults Cascadia subduction tremor muted by crustal faults

Deep, episodic slow slip on the Cascadia subduction megathrust of western North America is accompanied by low-frequency tremor in a zone of high fluid pressure between 30 and 40 km depth. Tremor density (tremor epicenters per square kilometer) varies along strike, and lower tremor density statistically correlates with upper plate faults that accommodate northward motion and rotation of...
Authors
Ray E. Wells, Richard J. Blakely, Aaron G. Wech, Patricia A. McCrory, Andrew Michael

Experimental evaluation of four ground-motion scaling methods for dynamic response-history analysis of nonlinear structures Experimental evaluation of four ground-motion scaling methods for dynamic response-history analysis of nonlinear structures

This paper experimentally evaluates four methods to scale earthquake ground-motions within an ensemble of records to minimize the statistical dispersion and maximize the accuracy in the dynamic peak roof drift demand and peak inter-story drift demand estimates from response-history analyses of nonlinear building structures. The scaling methods that are investigated are based on: (1) ASCE...
Authors
Andrew P. O’Donnell, Yahya C. Kurama, Erol Kalkan, Alexandros A. Taflanidis

Geomorphology, denudation rates, and stream channel profiles reveal patterns of mountain building adjacent to the San Andreas fault in northern California, USA Geomorphology, denudation rates, and stream channel profiles reveal patterns of mountain building adjacent to the San Andreas fault in northern California, USA

Relative horizontal motion along strike-slip faults can build mountains when motion is oblique to the trend of the strike-slip boundary. The resulting contraction and uplift pose off-fault seismic hazards, which are often difficult to detect because of the poor vertical resolution of satellite geodesy and difficulty of locating offset datable landforms in active mountain ranges. Sparse...
Authors
Stephen B. DeLong, George E. Hilley, Carol S. Prentice, Christopher J. Crosby, Intan N. Yokelson

A probabilistic approach to remote compositional analysis of planetary surfaces A probabilistic approach to remote compositional analysis of planetary surfaces

Reflected light from planetary surfaces provides information, including mineral/ice compositions and grain sizes, by study of albedo and absorption features as a function of wavelength. However, deconvolving the compositional signal in spectra is complicated by the nonuniqueness of the inverse problem. Trade-offs between mineral abundances and grain sizes in setting reflectance...
Authors
Mathieu G.A. Lapotre, Bethany L. Ehlmann, Sarah E. Minson

Global Positioning System data collection, processing, and analysis conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Program Global Positioning System data collection, processing, and analysis conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Program

The U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Science Center collects and processes Global Positioning System (GPS) data throughout the western United States to measure crustal deformation related to earthquakes and tectonic processes as part of a long‐term program of research and monitoring. Here, we outline data collection procedures and present the GPS dataset built through repeated temporary
Authors
Jessica R. Murray, Jerry L. Svarc

PRISM Software: Processing and Review Interface for Strong‐Motion Data PRISM Software: Processing and Review Interface for Strong‐Motion Data

A continually increasing number of high‐quality digital strong‐motion records from stations of the National Strong Motion Project (NSMP) of the U.S. Geological Survey, as well as data from regional seismic networks within the United States, calls for automated processing of strong‐motion records with human review limited to selected significant or flagged records. The NSMP has developed...
Authors
Jeanne M. Jones, Erol Kalkan, Christopher D. Stephens, Peter Ng

A paleoseismic transect across the northwestern Basin and Range Province, northwestern Nevada and northeastern California, USA A paleoseismic transect across the northwestern Basin and Range Province, northwestern Nevada and northeastern California, USA

We use new and existing data to compile a record of ∼18 latest Quaternary large-magnitude surface-rupturing earthquakes on 7 fault zones in the northwestern Basin and Range Province of northwestern Nevada and northeastern California. The most recent earthquake on all faults postdates the ca. 18–15 ka last glacial highstand of pluvial Lake Lahontan and other pluvial lakes in the region...
Authors
Stephen Personius, Richard W. Briggs, J. Zebulon Maharrey, Stephen J. Angster, Shannon A. Mahan

Low stress drops observed for aftershocks of the 2011 Mw 5.7 Prague, Oklahoma, earthquake Low stress drops observed for aftershocks of the 2011 Mw 5.7 Prague, Oklahoma, earthquake

In November 2011, three Mw ≥ 4.8 earthquakes and thousands of aftershocks occurred along the structurally complex Wilzetta fault system near Prague, Oklahoma. Previous studies suggest that wastewater injection induced a Mw 4.8 foreshock, which subsequently triggered a Mw 5.7 mainshock. We examine source properties of aftershocks with a standard Brune-type spectral model and jointly solve...
Authors
Danielle F. Sumy, Corrie J. Neighbors, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Katie M. Keranen

The California Earthquake Advisory Plan: A history The California Earthquake Advisory Plan: A history

Since 1985, the California Office of Emergency Services (Cal OES) has issued advisory statements to local jurisdictions and the public following seismic activity that scientists on the California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council view as indicating elevated probability of a larger earthquake in the same area during the next several days. These advisory statements are motivated by
Authors
Evelyn A. Roeloffs, James D. Goltz

The HayWired earthquake scenario—Earthquake hazards The HayWired earthquake scenario—Earthquake hazards

The HayWired scenario is a hypothetical earthquake sequence that is being used to better understand hazards for the San Francisco Bay region during and after an earthquake of magnitude 7 on the Hayward Fault. The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities calculated that there is a 33-percent likelihood of a large (magnitude 6.7 or greater) earthquake occurring on the...
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