Publications
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Shallow lake, strong shake: Record of seismically triggered lacustrine sedimentation from the 1959 M7.3 Hebgen Lake earthquake within Henrys Lake, Idaho Shallow lake, strong shake: Record of seismically triggered lacustrine sedimentation from the 1959 M7.3 Hebgen Lake earthquake within Henrys Lake, Idaho
We investigate a shallow lake basin for evidence of a large historic intraplate earthquake in western North America. Henrys Lake, Idaho is an atypical candidate for a lacustrine paleoseismic study given its shallow depth (~7 m) and low relief (≤2° slopes). Here, we test the earthquake-recording capacity of this basin type by showing sedimentological evidence of the 1959 M7.3 Hebgen Lake...
Authors
Sylvia Nicovich, Christopher DuRoss, Jessica Jobe, Jessica Rodysill, Richard Briggs, Alexandra Hatem, Madeleine Tan, Yann Gavillot, Noah Lindberg, Laura Strickland, Jason Padgett
Before the fire: Predicting burn severity and potential post-fire debris-flow hazards to Colorado River Cutthroat Trout (Oncorhynchus clarkii pleuriticus) conservation populations Before the fire: Predicting burn severity and potential post-fire debris-flow hazards to Colorado River Cutthroat Trout (Oncorhynchus clarkii pleuriticus) conservation populations
Background Colorado River Cutthroat Trout (CRCT; Oncorhynchus clarkii pleuriticus) conservation populations may be at risk from wildfire and post-fire debris flows hazards. Aim To predict burn severity and potential post-fire debris flow hazard classifications to CRCT conservation populations before wildfires occur. Methods We used remote sensing, spatial analyses, and machine learning...
Authors
Adam Wells, Charles Yackulic, Jaime Kostelnik, Andrew Bock, Robert Zuellig, Daren Carlisle, James Roberts, Kevin B. Rogers, Seth Munson
Trimming the UCERF3-TD logic tree: Model order reduction for an earthquake rupture forecast considering loss exceedance Trimming the UCERF3-TD logic tree: Model order reduction for an earthquake rupture forecast considering loss exceedance
The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast version 3-Time Dependent depicts California’s seismic faults and their activity. Its logic tree has 5760 leaves. Considering 30 more model combinations related to ground motion produces 172,800 distinct models representing so-called epistemic uncertainties. To calculate risk to a portfolio of buildings, one also considers millions of...
Authors
Keith Porter, Kevin Milner, Edward Field
A decade of shaking in the Garden City: The dynamics of preparedness, perceptions, and beliefs in Canterbury, New Zealand, and implications for earthquake information A decade of shaking in the Garden City: The dynamics of preparedness, perceptions, and beliefs in Canterbury, New Zealand, and implications for earthquake information
This study explored earthquake preparedness over time - before, during, and 10 years after the Canterbury Earthquake Sequence (CES) in Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ). Surveys of Canterbury residents were conducted in 2009, 2013 and again in 2021, using variables derived from Community Engagement Theory (CET). The surveys measured earthquake perceptions and beliefs, participation and...
Authors
Julia S. Becker, Emma Hudson-Doyle, Lauren Vinnell, Sara K. McBride, Douglas Paton, David Johnston
Evaluating the impact of uncertainty in ground motion forecasts for post-earthquake impact modeling applications Evaluating the impact of uncertainty in ground motion forecasts for post-earthquake impact modeling applications
The US Geological Survey’s (USGS) ShakeMap system provides a rapid characterization of strong ground shaking in areas directly affected by an earthquake. This study focuses on studying the aggregate effects of macroseismic shaking estimates from ShakeMap, expressed in terms of modified Mercalli intensity (MMI), when accounting for the uncertainty in forecasted ground motions. We use a...
Authors
Davis Engler, Kishor Jaiswal, Mahadevan Ganesh
The solar cycle, geology, and geoelectric hazards for power grids The solar cycle, geology, and geoelectric hazards for power grids
When sunspots are large and numerous, intense magnetic storms are likely to occur on the Earth. Magnetic storms can generate electric fields in the Earth, and these fields can, in turn, interfere with electric power transmission grids that are grounded at the Earth’s surface. Across the contiguous United States, geoelectric hazards are highest in the Upper Midwest and in the East. These...
Authors
Jeffrey Love, Steven Sobieszczyk, E. Rigler, Anna Kelbert, Kristen Lewis
A rockslide-generated tsunami in a Greenland fjord rang Earth for 9 days A rockslide-generated tsunami in a Greenland fjord rang Earth for 9 days
Climate change is increasingly predisposing polar regions to large landslides. Tsunamigenic landslides have occurred recently in Greenland (Kalaallit Nunaat), but none have been reported from the eastern fjords. In September 2023, we detected the start of a 9-day-long, global 10.88-millihertz (92-second) monochromatic very-long-period (VLP) seismic signal, originating from East Greenland...
Authors
Kristian Svennevig, Steven P. Hicks, Thomas Forbriger, Thomas Lecocq, Ruedi Widmer-Schnidrig, Anne Mangeney, Clément Hibert, Niels J. Korsgaard, Antoine Lucas, Claudio Satriano, Robert Anthony, Aurélien Mordret, Sven Schippkus, Søren Rysgaard, Wieter Boone, Steven Gibbons, Kristen L. Cook, Sylfest Glimsdal, Finn Løvholt, Koen Van Noten, Jelle Assink, Alexis Marboeuf, Anthony Lomax, Kris Vanneste, Taka’aki Taira, Matteo Spagnolo, Raphael de Plaen, Paula Koelemeijer, Carl Ebeling, Andrea Cannata, William D. Hardcourt, David Cornwell, Corentin Caudron, Piero Poli, Pascal Bernard, Eric Larose, Eleonore Stutzmann, Peter H. Voss, Bjorn Lund, Flavio Cannavo, Manuel J. Castro-Díaz, Esteban Chaves, Trine Dahl-Jensen, Nicolas De Pinho Dias, Aline Deprez, Roeland Develter, Douglas Dreger, Laslo Evers, Enrique D. Fernández-Nieto, Ana M.G. Ferreira, Gareth Funning, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Marc Hendrickx, Alan L. Kafka, Marie Keiding, Jeffrey Kerby, Shfaqat A. Khan, Andreas Kjær Dideriksen, Oliver Lamb, Tine B. Larsen, Bradley Lipovsky, Ikha Magdalena, Jean-Philippe Malet, Mikkel Myrup, Luis Rivera, Eugenio Ruiz-Castillo, Selina Wetter, Bastien Wirtz
Geologic input databases for the 2025 Puerto Rico – U.S. Virgin Islands National Seismic Hazard Model update: Crustal faults component Geologic input databases for the 2025 Puerto Rico – U.S. Virgin Islands National Seismic Hazard Model update: Crustal faults component
The last National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands (PRVI) was published in 2003. In advance of the 2025 PRVI NSHM update, we created three geologic input databases to summarize new onshore and offshore fault source information in the northern Caribbean region between 62°–70° W and 16°–21° N. These databases, of fault sections, fault‐zone polygons...
Authors
Jessica Jobe, Richard Briggs, Uri ten Brink, Thomas Pratt, K. Hughes, Alexandra Hatem, Christopher DuRoss, Nadine Reitman, Julie Herrick, Sylvia Nicovich, Camille Collett, Katherine M. Scharer, Stephen DeLong
Evaluation of an open earthquake early warning system in Mexico, and laboratory tests of their sensors Evaluation of an open earthquake early warning system in Mexico, and laboratory tests of their sensors
Microelectromechanical system (MEMS) accelerometers are useful for seismological and engineering applications because of their ability to record unsaturated large seismic signals. Recent advances in MEMS technologies enable the design of instruments with improved capabilities that also allow the recording of small signals. As a result, MEMS can be useful across a broad dynamic range and...
Authors
Vaclav Kuna, Adam Ringler, Diego Melgar
Preliminary observations of the April 5th, 2024, Mw4.8 New Jersey earthquake Preliminary observations of the April 5th, 2024, Mw4.8 New Jersey earthquake
On 5 April 2024, 10:23 a.m. local time, a moment magnitude 4.8 earthquake struck Tewksbury Township, New Jersey, about 65 km west of New York City. Millions of people from Virginia to Maine and beyond felt the ground shaking, resulting in the largest number (>180,000) of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) “Did You Feel It?” reports of any earthquake. A team deployed by the Geotechnical...
Authors
Oliver Boyd, William Barnhart, James Bourke, Martin Chapman, Paul Earle, Guo-chin Huang, Jessica Jobe, Won-Young Kim, Frederick Link, Mairi Litherland, Andrew Lloyd, Maureen Long, Sara K. McBride, Andrew Michael, Walter Mooney, Gregory Moutain, Sissy Nikolaou, Alexandros Savvaidas, Felix Waldhauser, Cecily Wolfe, Clara Yoon
Framework for mapping liquefaction hazard–Targeted design ground motions Framework for mapping liquefaction hazard–Targeted design ground motions
Liquefaction-induced ground failure poses substantial challenges to geotechnical earthquake engineering design. Current approaches for designing against liquefaction hazards, as specified in most seismic provisions, focus on estimating a liquefaction factor of safety (𝐹𝑆𝐿) and typically characterize earthquake loading using design parameters based on probabilistic or deterministic...
Authors
Andrew Makdisi, Steven Kramer
The value of hyperparameter optimization in phase-picking neural networks The value of hyperparameter optimization in phase-picking neural networks
The effectiveness of using neural networks for picking seismic phase arrival times has been demonstrated through several case studies, and seismic monitoring programs are starting to adopt the technology into their workflows. However, published models were designed and trained using rather arbitrary choices of hyperparameters, limiting their performance. In this study, we use phase picks...
Authors
Yongsoo Park, David Shelly