Publications
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Uncertainty reduction for subaerial landslide-tsunami hazards Uncertainty reduction for subaerial landslide-tsunami hazards
Subaerial rock slopes may generate a tsunami by rapidly moving into the water. Large uncertainty in landslide characteristics propagates into large uncertainty in tsunami hazard, making hazard assessment more difficult for land and emergency managers. Once a potentially tsunamigenic landslide is identified, it may not be clear which landslide characteristics contribute most significantly...
Authors
Katherine Barnhart, David George, Andrew Collins, Lauren Schaefer, Dennis Staley
Assessment of western Oregon debris-flow hazards in burned and unburned environments Assessment of western Oregon debris-flow hazards in burned and unburned environments
In the steep and mountainous environment of western Oregon, debris flows pose a considerable threat to property, infrastructure and life. Wildfire is commonly known to increase the susceptibility of steep slopes to debris flows, but the extent of this process in the western Cascades is not well understood. The US Geological Survey (USGS) currently estimates postfire debris-flow...
Authors
Brittany Danielle Selander, Nancy Calhoun, William Burns, Jason Kean, Francis Rengers
A crustal thermal model of the conterminous U.S. constrained by multiple data sets: A Monte-Carlo approach A crustal thermal model of the conterminous U.S. constrained by multiple data sets: A Monte-Carlo approach
The thermal structure of the continental crust plays a critical role in understanding its elastic and rheologic properties as well as its dynamic processes. Thermal parameter data sets on continental scales have been used to constrain the crustal thermal structure, including both the direct (e.g. temperature, heat flux and heat conductivity measured at the surface) and indirect (e.g...
Authors
Siyuan Sui, Weisen Shen, Oliver Boyd
Assessing earthquake risks to lifeline infrastructure systems in the United States Assessing earthquake risks to lifeline infrastructure systems in the United States
The security and economic stability of the United States rely heavily on robust lifeline infrastructure systems and yet the risks to such systems are seldom quantified at the national scale. For example, while earthquake risks to buildings in the United States have been investigated at the national scale regularly, such risks to gas pipelines have rarely been investigated nationally. In...
Authors
N. Kwong, Kishor Jaiswal
Deterministic physics-based earthquake sequence simulators match empirical ground-motion models and enable extrapolation to data poor regimes: Application to multifault multimechanism ruptures Deterministic physics-based earthquake sequence simulators match empirical ground-motion models and enable extrapolation to data poor regimes: Application to multifault multimechanism ruptures
We use the deterministic earthquake simulator RSQSim to generate complex sequences of ruptures on fault systems used for hazard assessment. We show that the source motions combined with a wave propagation code create surface ground motions that fall within the range of epistemic uncertainties for the Next Generation Attenuation‐West2 set of empirical models. We show the model is well...
Authors
Bruce Shaw, Kevin Ross Milner, Christine Goulet
Overcoming the data limitations in landslide susceptibility modelling Overcoming the data limitations in landslide susceptibility modelling
Data-driven models widely used for assessing landslide susceptibility are severely limited by the landslide and environmental data needed to create them. They rely on inventories of past landslide locations, which are difficult to collect and often nonrepresentative. Furthermore, susceptibility maps are most needed in regions without the means to assemble an inventory. To overcome these...
Authors
Jacob Woodard, Benjamin B. Mirus
Confronting debris-flow hazards after wildfire Confronting debris-flow hazards after wildfire
No abstract available.
Authors
Ann Youberg, Luke McGuire, N. Oakley, Francis Rengers, Autym Shafer
The communication of volcano information in New Zealand - A narrative review The communication of volcano information in New Zealand - A narrative review
Communication of volcano information is critical for effective volcanic risk management. A variety of information is communicated to inform decisions and guide actions for planning, preparedness, and response. Such information needs to be reliable, and fit-for-purpose across different stages of volcanic activity (quiescence, unrest, short or long-term eruptive stages, and the post...
Authors
Manomita Das, Julia S. Becker, Emma Hudson Doyle, Danielle Charlton, Mary Clive, Janine Krippner, Lauren Vinnell, Craig Miller, Carol Stewart, Hollei Gabrielsen, Sally H. Potter, Graham Leonard, David Johnston, Kelvin Tapuke, Nico Fournier, Sara K. McBride
An unexplained tsunami: Was there megathrust slip during the 2020 Mw7.6 Sand Point, Alaska, earthquake? An unexplained tsunami: Was there megathrust slip during the 2020 Mw7.6 Sand Point, Alaska, earthquake?
On October 19, 2020, the Mw7.6 Sand Point earthquake struck south of the Shumagin Islands in Alaska. Moment tensors indicate the earthquake was primarily strike-slip, yet the event produced an enigmatic tsunami that was larger and more widespread than expected for an earthquake of that magnitude and mechanism. Using a suite of hydrodynamic, seismic, and geodetic modeling techniques, we...
Authors
Sean R. Santellanes, Dara Goldberg, Pablo Koch, Diego Melgar, William Yeck, Brendan Crowell, Jiun-Ting Lin
Surface-wave relocation and characterization of the October 2023 tsunamigenic seismic unrest near Sofugan volcano, Izu Islands, Japan Surface-wave relocation and characterization of the October 2023 tsunamigenic seismic unrest near Sofugan volcano, Izu Islands, Japan
A moderate-magnitude earthquake swarm occurred in the remote Izu Islands region of Japan between October 1 and 8, 2023. The swarm included 151 shallow earthquakes cataloged by the U.S. Geological Survey, which notably included a roughly 2.5-hr episode of 15 successive magnitude (M) 5.5 earthquakes. Origin times were coincident with regionally recorded tsunami waves, but tsunamigenesis...
Authors
Chanel Ashlie Deane, J.D. Pesicek, Stephanie Prejean, Paul Earle, David Shelly, William Yeck
What 25+ years of "Did You Feel It" intensities tell us about shaking in California What 25+ years of "Did You Feel It" intensities tell us about shaking in California
“When will the Big One happen?” is a question that people often have for earthquake scientists. But while waiting for the “Big One” to occur, people will usually experience frightening or damaging shaking from multiple relatively smaller‐magnitude earthquakes. Given this context, it raises the question: “Where does most of the damage come from?” Could smaller, yet more frequent...
Authors
Jenna Marie Chaffeur, Jessie Saunders, Sarah Minson, Annemarie Baltay Sundstrom, Elizabeth Cochran, Susan E. Hough, Vince Quitoriano, Morgan Page, James Blair
Landslide-channel feedbacks amplify channel widening during floods Landslide-channel feedbacks amplify channel widening during floods
Channel widening is a major hazard during floods, particularly in confined mountainous catchments. However, channel widening during floods is not well understood and not always explained by hydraulic variables alone. Floods in mountainous regions often coincide with landslides triggered by heavy rainfall, yet landslide-channel interactions during a flood event are not well known or...
Authors
Georgina Bennett, Diego Panici, Francis Rengers, Jason Kean, Sara Rathburn