The USGS Integrated Water Prediction science program focuses on the development of advanced models for forecasting multiple water quality and quantity attributes including water budgets and components of the water cycle; water use; temperature; dissolved and suspended water constituents, and ecological conditions. It is also developing the cyberinfrastructure and workflows required to implement national and local-scale models to be used by water resource managers over the decades ahead.
The Integrated Water Prediction (IWP) science program will transform hydrologic modeling software development within the USGS and for the Nation. While the USGS is a leader in the development of hydrologic computer models, including models for water quantity, water quality, and water use, among others, water resource managers are increasingly faced with new challenges that require tighter integration of these models with other components of the earth system to a scale that is currently not feasible. The IWP science program seeks to advance our integrative modeling capabilities by working with developers, both internal and external to the USGS, to establish an evidence-based approach to the evaluation, benchmarking and continual improvement of water prediction capabilities.
The IWP team is currently spearheading two initial activities:
Hydro-Terrestrial Earth Systems Testbed (HyTest) Project
The HyTest project will create a computational testbed infrastructure to accelerate and improve the iterative cycle of hydrologic model evaluation, benchmarking and development by the water science community. Developed in collaboration with partners at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), HyTest will use a formalized, transparent, and adaptive governance process to integrate the modeling and computational strengths of multiple organizations to identify the science and technological needs that will serve the Nation’s long-term hydrologic prediction capacity at the national, regional, watershed, and local scale.
Enterprise Capacity Project
The Enterprise Capacity project will establish the modeling framework, software architecture, and standards needed to support the robust, efficient, and sustainable development of integrated water prediction capabilities. The project will focus on:
- Cataloging and characterizing existing hydrological modeling codes
- Evaluating the software design principles and frameworks of existing hydrologic models in collaboration with relevant partner agencies
- Developing recommendations and criteria for the selection of hydrologic modeling frameworks
- Complete catalog of existing software used in community testbeds and their workflows in collaboration with relevant partner agencies
- Identifying factors that may hinder development of more advanced models
- Fostering a community approach to support the long-term implementation, maintenance, and evolution of hydrologic modeling frameworks
Below are other science projects associated with the Integrated Water Prediction science program.
Integrated Water Availability Assessments
Integrated Water Science (IWS) Basins
Next Generation Water Observing System (NGWOS)
Below are publications associated with the Integrated Water Prediction science program.
Water priorities for the Nation—USGS Integrated Water Science basins
Water priorities for the Nation—U.S. Geological Survey Integrated Water Availability Assessments
Prioritizing river basins for intensive monitoring and assessment by the US Geological Survey
Water priorities for the nation—The U.S. Geological Survey next generation water observing system
- Overview
The USGS Integrated Water Prediction science program focuses on the development of advanced models for forecasting multiple water quality and quantity attributes including water budgets and components of the water cycle; water use; temperature; dissolved and suspended water constituents, and ecological conditions. It is also developing the cyberinfrastructure and workflows required to implement national and local-scale models to be used by water resource managers over the decades ahead.
The Integrated Water Prediction (IWP) science program will transform hydrologic modeling software development within the USGS and for the Nation. While the USGS is a leader in the development of hydrologic computer models, including models for water quantity, water quality, and water use, among others, water resource managers are increasingly faced with new challenges that require tighter integration of these models with other components of the earth system to a scale that is currently not feasible. The IWP science program seeks to advance our integrative modeling capabilities by working with developers, both internal and external to the USGS, to establish an evidence-based approach to the evaluation, benchmarking and continual improvement of water prediction capabilities.
Photo of the USGS supercomputers housed at the USGS EROS Data Center. The computational and modeling strengths of the USGS and other federal agencies will be important for the implementation of the Integrated Water Prediction science program. (Credit: Steven Young, USGS Contractor) The IWP team is currently spearheading two initial activities:
Hydro-Terrestrial Earth Systems Testbed (HyTest) Project
The HyTest project will create a computational testbed infrastructure to accelerate and improve the iterative cycle of hydrologic model evaluation, benchmarking and development by the water science community. Developed in collaboration with partners at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), HyTest will use a formalized, transparent, and adaptive governance process to integrate the modeling and computational strengths of multiple organizations to identify the science and technological needs that will serve the Nation’s long-term hydrologic prediction capacity at the national, regional, watershed, and local scale.
Enterprise Capacity Project
The Enterprise Capacity project will establish the modeling framework, software architecture, and standards needed to support the robust, efficient, and sustainable development of integrated water prediction capabilities. The project will focus on:
- Cataloging and characterizing existing hydrological modeling codes
- Evaluating the software design principles and frameworks of existing hydrologic models in collaboration with relevant partner agencies
- Developing recommendations and criteria for the selection of hydrologic modeling frameworks
- Complete catalog of existing software used in community testbeds and their workflows in collaboration with relevant partner agencies
- Identifying factors that may hinder development of more advanced models
- Fostering a community approach to support the long-term implementation, maintenance, and evolution of hydrologic modeling frameworks
Among other objectives, the Integrated Water Prediction science program will develop models and the computational infrastructure needed to characterize and predict multiple facets of the water cycle. (Credit: James R. Douglas, USGS) - Science
Below are other science projects associated with the Integrated Water Prediction science program.
Integrated Water Availability Assessments
The USGS Water Resources Mission Area is assessing how much water is available for human and ecological needs in the United States and identifying where and when the Nation may have challenges meeting its demand for water.Integrated Water Science (IWS) Basins
The U.S. Geological Survey is integrating its water science programs to better address the Nation’s greatest water resource challenges. At the heart of this effort are plans to intensively study at least 10 Integrated Water Science (IWS) basins — medium-sized watersheds (10,000-20,000 square miles) and underlying aquifers — over the next decade. The IWS basins will represent a wide range of...Next Generation Water Observing System (NGWOS)
Substantial advances in water science, together with emerging breakthroughs in technical and computational capabilities, have led the USGS to develop a Next Generation Water Observing System (NGWOS). The USGS NGWOS will provide real-time data on water quantity and quality in more affordable and rapid ways than previously possible, and in more locations. - Publications
Below are publications associated with the Integrated Water Prediction science program.
Water priorities for the Nation—USGS Integrated Water Science basins
The United States faces growing challenges to its water supply, infrastructure, and aquatic ecosystems because of population growth, climate change, floods, and droughts. To help address these challenges, the U.S. Geological Survey Water Resources Mission Area is integrating recent advances in monitoring, research, and modeling to improve assessments of water availability throughout the United StaAuthorsMark P. Miller, Sandra M. Eberts, Lori A. SpragueWater priorities for the Nation—U.S. Geological Survey Integrated Water Availability Assessments
The United States faces growing challenges to its water supply, infrastructure, and aquatic ecosystems because of population growth, climate change, floods and droughts, and aging water delivery systems. To help address these challenges, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Water Resources Mission Area has established new strategic priorities that capitalize on the operational and scientific strengthAuthorsMark P. Miller, Brian R. Clark, Sandra M. Eberts, Patrick M. Lambert, Patricia ToccalinoPrioritizing river basins for intensive monitoring and assessment by the US Geological Survey
The US Geological Survey (USGS) is currently (2020) integrating its water science programs to better address the nation’s greatest water resource challenges now and into the future. This integration will rely, in part, on data from 10 or more intensively monitored river basins from across the USA. A team of USGS scientists was convened to develop a systematic, quantitative approach to prioritize cAuthorsPeter C. Van Metre, Sharon L. Qi, Jeffrey R. Deacon, Cheryl A. Dieter, Jessica M. Driscoll, Michael N. Fienen, Terry A. Kenney, Patrick M. Lambert, David P. Lesmes, Christopher Allen Mason, Anke Mueller-Solger, MaryLynn Musgrove, Jaime A. Painter, Donald O. Rosenberry, Lori A. Sprague, Anthony J. Tesoriero, Lisamarie Windham-Myers, David M. WolockWater priorities for the nation—The U.S. Geological Survey next generation water observing system
The challenges of providing safe and sustainable water supplies for human and ecological uses and protecting lives and property during water emergencies are well recognized. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) plays an essential role in meeting these challenges through its observational networks and renowned water science and research activities (National Academies of Science, Engineering, and MedicAuthorsSandra M. Eberts, Chad R. Wagner, Michael D. Woodside