Scenarios of land use and land cover change in the conterminous United States: Utilizing the special report on emission scenarios at ecoregional scales
October 1, 2012
Global environmental change scenarios have typically provided projections of land use and land cover for a relatively small number of regions or using a relatively coarse resolution spatial grid, and for only a few major sectors. The coarseness of global projections, in both spatial and thematic dimensions, often limits their direct utility at scales useful for environmental management. This paper describes methods to downscale projections of land-use and land-cover change from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Special Report on Emission Scenarios to ecological regions of the conterminous United States, using an integrated assessment model, land-use histories, and expert knowledge. Downscaled projections span a wide range of future potential conditions across sixteen land use/land cover sectors and 84 ecological regions, and are logically consistent with both historical measurements and SRES characteristics. Results appear to provide a credible solution for connecting regionalized projections of land use and land cover with existing downscaled climate scenarios, under a common set of scenario-based socioeconomic assumptions.
Citation Information
Publication Year | 2012 |
---|---|
Title | Scenarios of land use and land cover change in the conterminous United States: Utilizing the special report on emission scenarios at ecoregional scales |
DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.03.008 |
Authors | Benjamin M. Sleeter, Terry L. Sohl, Michelle Bouchard, Ryan R. Reker, Christopher Soulard, William Acevedo, Glenn E. Griffith, Rachel Sleeter, Roger F. Auch, Kristi Sayler, Stephen Prisley, Zhiliang Zhu |
Publication Type | Article |
Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
Series Title | Global Environmental Change |
Index ID | 70043048 |
Record Source | USGS Publications Warehouse |
USGS Organization | Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center; Western Geographic Science Center |
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Susan Benjamin (Former Employee)
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Terry Sohl
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Michelle Bouchard
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Ryan Reker
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Roger Auch (Former Employee)
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Kristi Sayler
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Zhiliang Zhu, Ph.D. (Former Employee)
Senior Physical Scientist
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Benjamin Sleeter
Supervisory Research Geographer
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Christopher Soulard
Supervisory Research Geographer
Supervisory Research Geographer
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Related
Susan Benjamin (Former Employee)
Center Director
Center Director
Terry Sohl
Supervisory Physical Scientist
Supervisory Physical Scientist
Email
Phone
Michelle Bouchard
Communications and Outreach
Communications and Outreach
Email
Phone
Ryan Reker
LP DAAC Operations Manager
LP DAAC Operations Manager
Email
Phone
Roger Auch (Former Employee)
Research Geographer
Research Geographer
Kristi Sayler
Physical Scientist
Physical Scientist
Email
Phone
Zhiliang Zhu, Ph.D. (Former Employee)
Senior Physical Scientist
Senior Physical Scientist
Benjamin Sleeter
Supervisory Research Geographer
Supervisory Research Geographer
Email
Phone
Christopher Soulard
Supervisory Research Geographer
Supervisory Research Geographer
Email
Phone