Adam Terando

Adam Terando is a USGS Research Ecologist (Climate Impacts) with the Department of Interior Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center. His work focuses on the impacts of global change on ecosystems in the Southeast and U.S. Caribbean, and the complex human-environment relationships that drive these processes.

Biography

A geographer and climatologist by training, Dr. Terando received his Ph.D. in Geography from Pennsylvania State University where he examined the relationship between climate extremes and future crop yields in the U.S. At the Southeast Climate Science Center, the overarching goal of his research is to gain insights that will benefit the public and natural resource managers in their efforts to understand and adapt to rapid global climate and land use changes. Currently, his work focuses on four research themes: 

1. Uncertainty characterization and quantification for global change predictions

2. Global Climate Model Downscaling

3. Future urbanization and land use change

4. Wildfires and climate change

Projects include:

In addition, Adam serves as the federal coordinating lead author for the Southeast chapter of the National Climate Assessment (NCA) and as a chapter author for the U.S. Caribbean regional chapter of the NCA. He is also a member of the Puerto Rico Climate Change Council (PRCCC) and an editor of the Puerto Rico State of the Climate report. 

 

Highlighted Publications:

Terando, A.J., E. Youngsteadt, E. Meineke, and S. Prado, 2017. Ad hoc instrumentation methods in ecological studies produce highly biased temperature measurements. Ecology and Evolution, 7, 9890-9904.

Terando, A.J., B. Reich, K. Pacifici, J. Costanza, A. McKerrow, and J. Collazo, 2016: Uncertainty quantification and propagation for projections of extremes in monthly area burned under climate change: A case study in the coastal plain of Georgia, USA. In, Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment: Modeling and Decision Support, American Geophysical Union. K. Riley et al., Eds., doi: 10.1002/9781119028116.ch16.

Van Beusekom, W.A. Gould, A.J. Terando, and J. Collazo, 2015: Climate change and water resources in a tropical island system: Propagation of uncertainty from statistically downscaled climate models to hydrologic models. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.4560.

Terando, A.J., J. Costanza, C. Belyea, R.R. Dunn, A. McKerrow, and J. Collazo, 2014: The Southern Megalopolis: Using the past to predict the future of urban sprawl in the Southeast U.S.  PLoS ONE 9(7): e102261. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0102261

Terando, A., K. Keller, and W. E. Easterling, 2012: Probabilistic projections of agro-climate indices in North America. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 117, D08115.

Cook, B.I., A. Terando, and A. Steiner, 2010: Ecological forecasting and climate data uncertainties: a phenology modeling case study. Environmental Research Letters, 5, L044014.

 

Recent Publications (last five years):

Collazo, J.A., A.J. Terando, A. Engman, P.F. Fackler, and T.J. Kwak. Toward a resilience-based conservation strategy for wetlands in Puerto Rico: meeting challenges posed by environmental change. Accepted, Wetlands.

Terando, A.J., S. Prado, and E. Youngsteadt. Construction of a compact low-cost radiation shield for air temperature sensors in ecological field studies. Accepted, Journal of Visualized Experiments.

Bhardwaj, A., V. Misra, A. Mishra, A. Wootten, R. Boyles, J.H. Bowden, and A.J. Terando, 2018. Downscaling future climate change projections over Puerto Rico using a non-hydrostatic atmospheric model. Climatic Change, 147, 133-147.

Sanchez, G.M., J.W. Smith, A. Terando, G. Sun, and R.K. Meentemeyer, 2018. Spatial patterns of development drive water use. Water Resources Research, 54, 1633-1649.

Terando, A.J., E. Youngsteadt, E. Meineke, and S. Prado, 2018: Accurate near surface air temperature measurements are necessary to gauge large-scale ecological responses to global climate change. Ecology and Evolution (Reply to Letter to the Editor), 8, 5233-5234.

Terando, A.J., E. Youngsteadt, E. Meineke, and S. Prado, 2017. Ad hoc instrumentation methods in ecological studies produce highly biased temperature measurements. Ecology and Evolution, 7, 9890-9904.

Dowdy, K.E., J.A. Collazo, K. Pacifici, B.J. Reich, A.R. Puente-Rolón, and A.J. Terando, 2017: Occupancy and abundance of Elutherodactylus wightmanae and E. brittoni along elevational gradients in west-central Puerto Rico. Caribbean Naturalist, 40, 1-18.

Dowdy, K.E., J.A. Collazo, K. Pacifici, B.J. Reich, A.R. Puente-Rolón, and A.J. Terando, 2017. Occupancy and abundance of Eleutherodactylus frogs in coffee plantations in Puerto RicoHerpetologica, 73, 297-306.

Enquist, C., S. Jackson, G. Garfin, F. Davis, L. Gerber, J. Littell, J. Tank, A. Terando, et al., 2017. Foundations of Translational EcologyFrontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 15, 541-550.

Littell, J.S., A.J. Terando, and T.L. Morelli, 2017: Balancing research and service to decision makersFrontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 15, 598.

Schwartz, M., J.K. Hiers, F.W. Davis, G. Garfin, S.T. Jackson, A.J. Terando, et al., 2017. Developing a translational ecology workforceFrontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 15, 587-596.

Wootten, A., A. Terando, B. Reich, R. Boyles, F. Semazzi, 2017. Characterizing sources of uncertainty from global climate models and downscaling techniquesJournal of Applied Climatology and Meteorology, 56, 3245-3262.

Terando, A.J., B. Reich, K. Pacifici, J. Costanza, A. McKerrow, and J. Collazo, 2016: Uncertainty quantification and propagation for projections of extremes in monthly area burned under climate change: A case study in the coastal plain of Georgia, USA. In, Natural Hazard Uncertainty Assessment: Modeling and Decision Support, American Geophysical Union. K. Riley et al., Eds, doi: 10.1002/9781119028116.ch16.

Wootten, A., J.H. Bowden, R. Boyles, and A. Terando, 2016: The sensitivity of WRF downscaled precipitation in Puerto Rico in cumulus parameterization and interior grid nudging. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 55, 2263-2281.

Khalyani, A.H., W.A. Gould, E. Harmsen, A.J. Terando, and J. Collazo, 2016: Climate change implications for tropical islands: Interpolating and interpreting statistically downscaled GCM projections for management and planning. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 55, 265-282.

Van Beusekom, W.A. Gould, A.J. Terando, and J. Collazo, 2015: Climate change and water resources in a tropical island system: Propagation of uncertainty from statistically downscaled climate models to hydrologic models. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.4560.

Costanza, J., A. Terando, A.J. McKerrow, and J. Collazo, 2015: Modeling climate change, urbanization, and fire effects on Pinus palustris ecosystems in the southeastern U.S. Journal of Environmental Management, 151, 186-199.

Youngsteadt, E., A.G. Dale, A.J. Terando, R.R. Dunn, and S.D. Frank, 2015: Do cities simulate climate change? A comparison of herbivore response to urban and global warming. Global Change Biology, doi: 10.1111/gcb.12692.

Terando, A.J., J. Costanza, C. Belyea, R.R. Dunn, A. McKerrow, and J. Collazo, 2014: The Southern Megalopolis: Using the past to predict the future of urban sprawl in the Southeast U.S.  PLoS ONE 9(7): e102261. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0102261

 

Peer Reviewed Reports

Runkle, J., K. Kunkel, L. E. Stevens, S. Champion, D. Easterling, A. Terando, L. Sun, B.C. Stewart, and G. Landers, 2018: Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands State Climate Summary. NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 149-PR, 4pp.

Jenni, K.E., Goldhaber, M.B., Betancourt, J.L., Baron, J.S., Bristol, R.S., Cantrill, Mary, Exter, P.E., Focazio, M.J., Haines, J.W., Hay, L.E., Hsu, Leslie, Labson, V.F., Lafferty, K.D., Ludwig, K.A., Milly, P.C., Morelli, T.L., Morman, S.A., Nassar, N.T., Newman, T.R., Ostroff, A.C., Read, J.S., Reed, S.C., Shapiro, C.D., Smith, R.A., Sanford, W.E., Sohl, T.L., Stets, E.G., Terando, A.J., Tillitt, D.E., Tischler, M.A., Toccalino, P.L., Wald, D.J., Waldrop, M.P., Wein, Anne, Weltzin, J.F., and Zimmerman, C.E., 2017: Grand challenges for integrated USGS science—A workshop report: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2017–1076, 94 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20171076.

Costanza, J., S. Beck, M. Pyne, A. Terando, M. Rubino, R. White, and J. Collazo, 2016: Assessing climate-sensitive ecosystems in the southeastern United States. USGS Open-File Report, 2016-1073.

Wootten, A., K. Smith, R. Boyles, A. Terando, L. Stefanova, V. Misra, T. Smith, D. Blodgett, and F. Semazzi, 2014: Downscaled climate projections for the Southeast U.S.: Evaluation and use for ecological applications. USGS Open File Report 2014-1190.

Terando, A., S. Traxler, and J. Collazo, 2014: Landscape and climate science and scenarios for Florida: A workshop sponsored by the Peninsular Florida Landscape Conservation Cooperative and North Carolina State University USGS Open File Report 2014-1150.

Sun, G., P.V. Caldwell, A.P. Georgakakos, S. Arumugam, J. Cruise, R.T. McNider, A. Terando, P.A. Conrads, J. Feldt, V. Misra, L. Romolo, T.C. Rasmussen, S.G. McNulty, and D.A. Marion, 2013: Impacts of climate change and variability on water resources in the Southeast USA. In, Climate of the Southeast United States: Variability, Change, Impacts, and Vulnerability. Washington DC, Island Press. K.T. Ingram, K. Dow, and L. Carter, Eds.

Dow, K., L. Carter, A. Brosius, E. Diaz, R. Durbrow, R. Evans, S. Fauver, T. Hayden, B. Howard, K. Jacobs, g. Landers, S. McNulty, J. Nicholson, D. Quattrochi, L. Rimer, S. Shuford, S. Stiles, and A. Terando, 2013: Climate adaptations in the Southeast USA. In, Climate of the Southeast United States: Variability, Change, Impacts, and Vulnerability. NCA Regional Input Reports. K.T. Ingram et al., Eds. DOI 10.5822/978-1-61091-509-0_13.  

Jacobs, K.R., A. Terando, and E.L. Diaz, 2012: Working Group 1: Geophysical and chemical scientific knowledge. In Puerto Rico’s State of the Climate: Assessing Puerto Rico’s Social-Ecological Vulnerabilities in a Changing Climate, E. Diaz and K. Jacobs, eds.

Terando, A. and A. McKerrow, 2010: Seeing the forest fire through the trees: Integrating multiple data streams to model the presettlement fire regime in the longleaf pine ecosystem. In Proceedings of the Second All-USGS Modeling Conference, February 11-14, 2008: Painting the Big Picture. USGS Scientific Investigations Report 2009-5013. S.R. Brady, eds.