Stacey A Archfield
My current research is focused on understanding hydrologic change for water resources applications. I also maintain an interest in the use of statistical approaches to characterize hydrologic information at unmonitored locations.
EDITORIAL BOARDS
- Co-Editor, Hydrologic Sciences Journal (2018-Present)
- Associate Editor, Water Resources Research (2017-Present)
- Editor, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (2012-Present)
EDUCATION
- Doctor of Philosophy, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tufts University, 2009
- Master of Science, Geosystems, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2001
- Bachelor of Science, Geology, Northeastern University, 1999 (Minor in Mathematics)
PROFESSIONAL APPOINTMENTS
- U.S. Geological Survey, Integrated Modeling and Prediction Division. Research Hydrologist, 2017-Present
- U.S. Geological Survey, National Research Program (Dissolved in 2017). Research Hydrologist, 2013-2017
- U.S. Geological Survey, Massachusetts-Rhode Island Water Science Center
- Research Hydrologist, 2008-2013
- Hydrologist (Project Chief), 2004-2008
- Hydrologist, 1998-2004
- Tufts University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering. Research Assistant, 2004-2009
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Earth Resources Laboratory. Research Assistant, 2001
- Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Space Geodesy Group. Research Associate, 1999
VISITING APPOINTMENTS
- University of Bristol, College of Engineering, United Kingdom, March-April 2013
- Vienna University of Technology, Department of Hydrology and Water Resources Management, Austria, April-May 2013
HONORS AND AWARDS
- 2014 Editors’ Citation for Excellence in Refereeing for Water Resources Research (2015)
- Archfield and Vogel [2010] paper featured in the EOS Research Spotlight. Papers featured in the Research Spotlight are selected by the editors of the 18 journals published by the American Geophysical Union. Only 3 to 4 papers are selected bi-weekly to be featured. (2011)
- Hirsch, Moyer and Archfield [2010] paper selected as one of four finalists for the William R. Boggess Award. This award is given to a paper published in the Journal of the American Water Resources Association that best describes, delineates, or analyzes a major problem or aspect of water resources from either a theoretical, applied, or philosophical standpoint. (2011)
- Selected to deliver the 2010 U.S. Geological Survey Chief Hydrologist Seminar (2010)
- Outstanding Student Paper Award, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting (2009)
- Tufts University Civil & Environmental Engineering Department Littleton Professional Promise Award (2009)
- Northeastern University Student Commencement Speaker (1999)
- Northeastern University Student Body President (1997-1998)
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 45
Low streamflow trends at human-impacted and reference basins in the United States Low streamflow trends at human-impacted and reference basins in the United States
We present a continent-scale exploration of trends in annual 7-day low streamflows at 2482 U.S. Geological Survey streamgages across the conterminous United States over the past 100, 75, and 50 years (1916–2015, 1941–2015 and 1966–2015). We used basin characteristics to identify subsets of study basins representative of reference basins with streamflow relatively free from human effects...
Authors
Robert W. Dudley, Robert Hirsch, Stacey Archfield, Annalise G. Blum, Benjamin Renard
Updating estimates of low-streamflow statistics to account for possible trends Updating estimates of low-streamflow statistics to account for possible trends
Accurate estimators of streamflow statistics are critical to the design, planning, and management of water resources. Given increasing evidence of trends in low-streamflow, new approaches to estimating low-streamflow statistics are needed. Here we investigate simple approaches to select a recent subset of the low-flow record to update the commonly used statistic of 7Q10, the annual...
Authors
Annalise G. Blum, Stacey Archfield, Robert Hirsch, Richard M Vogel, Julie Kiang, Robert W. Dudley
Effects of climate, regulation, and urbanization on historical flood trends in the United States Effects of climate, regulation, and urbanization on historical flood trends in the United States
Many studies have analyzed historical trends in annual peak flows in the United States because of the importance of flooding to bridges and other structures, and the concern that human influence may increase flooding. To help attribute causes of historical peak-flow changes, it is important to separate basins by characteristics that have different influences on peak flows. We analyzed...
Authors
Glenn Hodgkins, Robert Dudley, Stacey Archfield, Benjamin Renard
The approaching obsolescence of 137Cs dating of wetland soils in North America The approaching obsolescence of 137Cs dating of wetland soils in North America
The peak fallout in 1963 of the radionuclide 137Cs has been used to date lake, reservoir, continental shelf, and wetland sedimentary deposits. In wetlands such dating is used to project the ability of wetlands to keep pace with sea level rise and develop strategies for mitigating carbon pollution using biological carbon sequestration. Here we demonstrate that reliable 137Cs profiles are
Authors
Judith Drexler, Christopher Fuller, Stacey Archfield
Multi-year high-frequency hydrothermal monitoring of selected high-threat Cascade Range volcanoes Multi-year high-frequency hydrothermal monitoring of selected high-threat Cascade Range volcanoes
From 2009 to 2015 the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) systematically monitored hydrothermal behavior at selected Cascade Range volcanoes in order to define baseline hydrothermal and geochemical conditions. Gas and water data were collected regularly at 25 sites on 10 of the highest-risk volcanoes in the Cascade Range. These sites include near-summit fumarole groups and springs/streams that...
Authors
I.M. Crankshaw, Stacey Archfield, A. Newman, Deborah Bergfeld, Laura E. Clor, Peter Kelly, William Evans, Kurt Spicer, Steven Ingebritsen
On the probability distribution of daily streamflow in the United States On the probability distribution of daily streamflow in the United States
Daily streamflows are often represented by flow duration curves (FDCs), which illustrate the frequency with which flows are equaled or exceeded. FDCs have had broad applications across both operational and research hydrology for decades; however, modeling FDCs has proven elusive. Daily streamflow is a complex time series with flow values ranging over many orders of magnitude. The...
Authors
Annalise G. Blum, Stacey Archfield, Richard Vogel
Panel regressions to estimate low-flow response to rainfall variability in ungaged basins Panel regressions to estimate low-flow response to rainfall variability in ungaged basins
Multicollinearity and omitted-variable bias are major limitations to developing multiple linear regression models to estimate streamflow characteristics in ungaged areas and varying rainfall conditions. Panel regression is used to overcome limitations of traditional regression methods, and obtain reliable model coefficients, in particular to understand the elasticity of streamflow to...
Authors
Maoya Bassiouni, Richard Vogel, Stacey Archfield
Fragmented patterns of flood change across the United States Fragmented patterns of flood change across the United States
Trends in the peak magnitude, frequency, duration, and volume of frequent floods (floods occurring at an average of two events per year relative to a base period) across the United States show large changes; however, few trends are found to be statistically significant. The multidimensional behavior of flood change across the United States can be described by four distinct groups, with...
Authors
Stacey Archfield, Robert Hirsch, A. Viglione, G. Blöschl
Urban base flow with low impact development Urban base flow with low impact development
A novel form of urbanization, low impact development (LID), aims to engineer systems that replicate natural hydrologic functioning, in part by infiltrating stormwater close to the impervious surfaces that generate it. We sought to statistically evaluate changes in a base flow regime because of urbanization with LID, specifically changes in base flow magnitude, seasonality, and rate of...
Authors
Aditi Bhaskar, Dianna Hogan, Stacey Archfield
Regional flow duration curves: Geostatistical techniques versus multivariate regression Regional flow duration curves: Geostatistical techniques versus multivariate regression
A period-of-record flow duration curve (FDC) represents the relationship between the magnitude and frequency of daily streamflows. Prediction of FDCs is of great importance for locations characterized by sparse or missing streamflow observations. We present a detailed comparison of two methods which are capable of predicting an FDC at ungauged basins: (1) an adaptation of the...
Authors
Alessio Pugliese, William Farmer, Attilio Castellarin, Stacey Archfield, Richard Vogel
Accelerating advances in continental domain hydrologic modeling Accelerating advances in continental domain hydrologic modeling
In the past, hydrologic modeling of surface water resources has mainly focused on simulating the hydrologic cycle at local to regional catchment modeling domains. There now exists a level of maturity among the catchment, global water security, and land surface modeling communities such that these communities are converging toward continental domain hydrologic models. This commentary...
Authors
Stacey Archfield, Martyn Clark, Berit Arheimer, Lauren Hay, Hilary McMillan, Julie Kiang, Jan Seibert, Kirsti Hakala, Andrew Bock, Thorsten Wagener, William Farmer, Vazken Andreassian, Sabine Attinger, Alberto Viglione, Rodney Knight, Steven Markstrom, Thomas Over
A bootstrap method for estimating uncertainty of water quality trends A bootstrap method for estimating uncertainty of water quality trends
Estimation of the direction and magnitude of trends in surface water quality remains a problem of great scientific and practical interest. The Weighted Regressions on Time, Discharge, and Season (WRTDS) method was recently introduced as an exploratory data analysis tool to provide flexible and robust estimates of water quality trends. This paper enhances the WRTDS method through the...
Authors
Robert Hirsch, Stacey Archfield, Laura DeCicco
Science and Products
Filter Total Items: 45
Low streamflow trends at human-impacted and reference basins in the United States Low streamflow trends at human-impacted and reference basins in the United States
We present a continent-scale exploration of trends in annual 7-day low streamflows at 2482 U.S. Geological Survey streamgages across the conterminous United States over the past 100, 75, and 50 years (1916–2015, 1941–2015 and 1966–2015). We used basin characteristics to identify subsets of study basins representative of reference basins with streamflow relatively free from human effects...
Authors
Robert W. Dudley, Robert Hirsch, Stacey Archfield, Annalise G. Blum, Benjamin Renard
Updating estimates of low-streamflow statistics to account for possible trends Updating estimates of low-streamflow statistics to account for possible trends
Accurate estimators of streamflow statistics are critical to the design, planning, and management of water resources. Given increasing evidence of trends in low-streamflow, new approaches to estimating low-streamflow statistics are needed. Here we investigate simple approaches to select a recent subset of the low-flow record to update the commonly used statistic of 7Q10, the annual...
Authors
Annalise G. Blum, Stacey Archfield, Robert Hirsch, Richard M Vogel, Julie Kiang, Robert W. Dudley
Effects of climate, regulation, and urbanization on historical flood trends in the United States Effects of climate, regulation, and urbanization on historical flood trends in the United States
Many studies have analyzed historical trends in annual peak flows in the United States because of the importance of flooding to bridges and other structures, and the concern that human influence may increase flooding. To help attribute causes of historical peak-flow changes, it is important to separate basins by characteristics that have different influences on peak flows. We analyzed...
Authors
Glenn Hodgkins, Robert Dudley, Stacey Archfield, Benjamin Renard
The approaching obsolescence of 137Cs dating of wetland soils in North America The approaching obsolescence of 137Cs dating of wetland soils in North America
The peak fallout in 1963 of the radionuclide 137Cs has been used to date lake, reservoir, continental shelf, and wetland sedimentary deposits. In wetlands such dating is used to project the ability of wetlands to keep pace with sea level rise and develop strategies for mitigating carbon pollution using biological carbon sequestration. Here we demonstrate that reliable 137Cs profiles are
Authors
Judith Drexler, Christopher Fuller, Stacey Archfield
Multi-year high-frequency hydrothermal monitoring of selected high-threat Cascade Range volcanoes Multi-year high-frequency hydrothermal monitoring of selected high-threat Cascade Range volcanoes
From 2009 to 2015 the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) systematically monitored hydrothermal behavior at selected Cascade Range volcanoes in order to define baseline hydrothermal and geochemical conditions. Gas and water data were collected regularly at 25 sites on 10 of the highest-risk volcanoes in the Cascade Range. These sites include near-summit fumarole groups and springs/streams that...
Authors
I.M. Crankshaw, Stacey Archfield, A. Newman, Deborah Bergfeld, Laura E. Clor, Peter Kelly, William Evans, Kurt Spicer, Steven Ingebritsen
On the probability distribution of daily streamflow in the United States On the probability distribution of daily streamflow in the United States
Daily streamflows are often represented by flow duration curves (FDCs), which illustrate the frequency with which flows are equaled or exceeded. FDCs have had broad applications across both operational and research hydrology for decades; however, modeling FDCs has proven elusive. Daily streamflow is a complex time series with flow values ranging over many orders of magnitude. The...
Authors
Annalise G. Blum, Stacey Archfield, Richard Vogel
Panel regressions to estimate low-flow response to rainfall variability in ungaged basins Panel regressions to estimate low-flow response to rainfall variability in ungaged basins
Multicollinearity and omitted-variable bias are major limitations to developing multiple linear regression models to estimate streamflow characteristics in ungaged areas and varying rainfall conditions. Panel regression is used to overcome limitations of traditional regression methods, and obtain reliable model coefficients, in particular to understand the elasticity of streamflow to...
Authors
Maoya Bassiouni, Richard Vogel, Stacey Archfield
Fragmented patterns of flood change across the United States Fragmented patterns of flood change across the United States
Trends in the peak magnitude, frequency, duration, and volume of frequent floods (floods occurring at an average of two events per year relative to a base period) across the United States show large changes; however, few trends are found to be statistically significant. The multidimensional behavior of flood change across the United States can be described by four distinct groups, with...
Authors
Stacey Archfield, Robert Hirsch, A. Viglione, G. Blöschl
Urban base flow with low impact development Urban base flow with low impact development
A novel form of urbanization, low impact development (LID), aims to engineer systems that replicate natural hydrologic functioning, in part by infiltrating stormwater close to the impervious surfaces that generate it. We sought to statistically evaluate changes in a base flow regime because of urbanization with LID, specifically changes in base flow magnitude, seasonality, and rate of...
Authors
Aditi Bhaskar, Dianna Hogan, Stacey Archfield
Regional flow duration curves: Geostatistical techniques versus multivariate regression Regional flow duration curves: Geostatistical techniques versus multivariate regression
A period-of-record flow duration curve (FDC) represents the relationship between the magnitude and frequency of daily streamflows. Prediction of FDCs is of great importance for locations characterized by sparse or missing streamflow observations. We present a detailed comparison of two methods which are capable of predicting an FDC at ungauged basins: (1) an adaptation of the...
Authors
Alessio Pugliese, William Farmer, Attilio Castellarin, Stacey Archfield, Richard Vogel
Accelerating advances in continental domain hydrologic modeling Accelerating advances in continental domain hydrologic modeling
In the past, hydrologic modeling of surface water resources has mainly focused on simulating the hydrologic cycle at local to regional catchment modeling domains. There now exists a level of maturity among the catchment, global water security, and land surface modeling communities such that these communities are converging toward continental domain hydrologic models. This commentary...
Authors
Stacey Archfield, Martyn Clark, Berit Arheimer, Lauren Hay, Hilary McMillan, Julie Kiang, Jan Seibert, Kirsti Hakala, Andrew Bock, Thorsten Wagener, William Farmer, Vazken Andreassian, Sabine Attinger, Alberto Viglione, Rodney Knight, Steven Markstrom, Thomas Over
A bootstrap method for estimating uncertainty of water quality trends A bootstrap method for estimating uncertainty of water quality trends
Estimation of the direction and magnitude of trends in surface water quality remains a problem of great scientific and practical interest. The Weighted Regressions on Time, Discharge, and Season (WRTDS) method was recently introduced as an exploratory data analysis tool to provide flexible and robust estimates of water quality trends. This paper enhances the WRTDS method through the...
Authors
Robert Hirsch, Stacey Archfield, Laura DeCicco