Tom Parsons
I conduct research aimed at improving our ability to forecast hazardous events like earthquakes and tsunamis. Specifically, I study how earthquakes trigger others, how crustal movements cause earthquake stresses, and how to convert geologic observations of earthquake and tsunami processes into quantitative forecasts of use to planners, insurers, and builders.
Professional Experience
1994-Present: Research Geophysicist, U. S. Geological Survey, Moffett Field, CA
1992-1994: National Research Council Postdoctoral Fellow
Education and Certifications
1992 – Ph.D. in Geophysics, Stanford University
1990 – M.S. in Geophysics, Stanford University
1988 – B.S. in Applied Geophysics, UCLA
Affiliations and Memberships*
Editor, AGU Advances, 2019-2022
Member: Executive Committee, Council of Senior Science Advisors (COSSA), 2015-present
Editor in Chief, Journal of Geophysical Research, Solid Earth, 2009-2015
Editor in Chief, Tectonophysics, 2007-2009
Editorial Board, Tectonophysics, 2005-2007
Editorial Board, Geology, 1995-2000, 2005-2008
Member: Executive Committee, Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities 2005-2014
Member: SCEC Planning Committee, 2007-2009
Honors and Awards
Senior Scientist (ST): 1/15
Fellow American Geophysical Union, Elected 1/12
Fulbright Mutual Educational Exchange Grant USA-Greece: 2007-2008
Alumni Pillar of Achievement: Golden West College Outstanding Alumni Award (10/07)
Fellow Geological Society of America, Elected 10/97
Shoemaker Communication Award (10/00)
National Association of Government Communicators Gold Screen Award (12/00)
National Research Council Post-Doctoral Fellow (8/92)
Science and Products
Probabilistic Forecasting of Earthquakes, Tsunamis, and Earthquake Effects in the Coastal Zone
Coastal and Marine Geohazards of the U.S. West Coast and Alaska
Gridded Data from a 2011 Multibeam Bathymetric Survey of the Western Part of Passage Canal, Near Whittier, Alaska Gridded Data from a 2011 Multibeam Bathymetric Survey of the Western Part of Passage Canal, Near Whittier, Alaska
Chirp, multichannel minisparker, and boomer seismic-reflection data from USGS field activity G-01-13-GA collected in Port Valdez, Alaska, in September 2013 Chirp, multichannel minisparker, and boomer seismic-reflection data from USGS field activity G-01-13-GA collected in Port Valdez, Alaska, in September 2013
An exploration of the relative influence of physical models for Omori’s law An exploration of the relative influence of physical models for Omori’s law
A scientific vision and roadmap for earthquake rupture forecast developments, a USGS perspective A scientific vision and roadmap for earthquake rupture forecast developments, a USGS perspective
Do Graviquakes exist? Do Graviquakes exist?
Identification of representative earthquakes for probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) using earthquake rupture forecasts and machine learning Identification of representative earthquakes for probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) using earthquake rupture forecasts and machine learning
Seismic attenuation and stress on the San Andreas Fault at Parkfield: Are we critical yet? Seismic attenuation and stress on the San Andreas Fault at Parkfield: Are we critical yet?
Evaluating a prospective fault-based stress-transfer forecast for the M7.9 Wenchuan earthquake region 15 years later Evaluating a prospective fault-based stress-transfer forecast for the M7.9 Wenchuan earthquake region 15 years later
The weight of New York City: Possible contributions to subsidence from anthropogenic sources The weight of New York City: Possible contributions to subsidence from anthropogenic sources
Combinatorial optimization of earthquake spatial distributions under minimum cumulative stress constraints Combinatorial optimization of earthquake spatial distributions under minimum cumulative stress constraints
“Aftershock Faults” and what they could mean for seismic hazard assessment “Aftershock Faults” and what they could mean for seismic hazard assessment
On the use of high-resolution and deep-learning seismic catalogs for short-term earthquake forecasts: Potential benefits and current limitations On the use of high-resolution and deep-learning seismic catalogs for short-term earthquake forecasts: Potential benefits and current limitations
Crustal permeability changes observed from seismic attenuation: Impacts on multi-mainshock sequences Crustal permeability changes observed from seismic attenuation: Impacts on multi-mainshock sequences
The making of the NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018 (NEAMTHM18) The making of the NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018 (NEAMTHM18)
Non-USGS Publications**
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.
Science and Products
Probabilistic Forecasting of Earthquakes, Tsunamis, and Earthquake Effects in the Coastal Zone
Coastal and Marine Geohazards of the U.S. West Coast and Alaska
Gridded Data from a 2011 Multibeam Bathymetric Survey of the Western Part of Passage Canal, Near Whittier, Alaska Gridded Data from a 2011 Multibeam Bathymetric Survey of the Western Part of Passage Canal, Near Whittier, Alaska
Chirp, multichannel minisparker, and boomer seismic-reflection data from USGS field activity G-01-13-GA collected in Port Valdez, Alaska, in September 2013 Chirp, multichannel minisparker, and boomer seismic-reflection data from USGS field activity G-01-13-GA collected in Port Valdez, Alaska, in September 2013
An exploration of the relative influence of physical models for Omori’s law An exploration of the relative influence of physical models for Omori’s law
A scientific vision and roadmap for earthquake rupture forecast developments, a USGS perspective A scientific vision and roadmap for earthquake rupture forecast developments, a USGS perspective
Do Graviquakes exist? Do Graviquakes exist?
Identification of representative earthquakes for probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) using earthquake rupture forecasts and machine learning Identification of representative earthquakes for probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) using earthquake rupture forecasts and machine learning
Seismic attenuation and stress on the San Andreas Fault at Parkfield: Are we critical yet? Seismic attenuation and stress on the San Andreas Fault at Parkfield: Are we critical yet?
Evaluating a prospective fault-based stress-transfer forecast for the M7.9 Wenchuan earthquake region 15 years later Evaluating a prospective fault-based stress-transfer forecast for the M7.9 Wenchuan earthquake region 15 years later
The weight of New York City: Possible contributions to subsidence from anthropogenic sources The weight of New York City: Possible contributions to subsidence from anthropogenic sources
Combinatorial optimization of earthquake spatial distributions under minimum cumulative stress constraints Combinatorial optimization of earthquake spatial distributions under minimum cumulative stress constraints
“Aftershock Faults” and what they could mean for seismic hazard assessment “Aftershock Faults” and what they could mean for seismic hazard assessment
On the use of high-resolution and deep-learning seismic catalogs for short-term earthquake forecasts: Potential benefits and current limitations On the use of high-resolution and deep-learning seismic catalogs for short-term earthquake forecasts: Potential benefits and current limitations
Crustal permeability changes observed from seismic attenuation: Impacts on multi-mainshock sequences Crustal permeability changes observed from seismic attenuation: Impacts on multi-mainshock sequences
The making of the NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018 (NEAMTHM18) The making of the NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018 (NEAMTHM18)
Non-USGS Publications**
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.
*Disclaimer: Listing outside positions with professional scientific organizations on this Staff Profile are for informational purposes only and do not constitute an endorsement of those professional scientific organizations or their activities by the USGS, Department of the Interior, or U.S. Government