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The National Seismic Hazards Mapping project provides an online Web tool for determining the probability of a large earthquake within 50 kilometers (~31 miles) of a specific location in the United States over a certain time period. The calculation is based on the latest available information from seismic hazard data.
However, asking if it's safe to travel somewhere because of recent earthquakes is almost the same question as "Can you predict earthquakes?" A particular area can be "having a lot of earthquakes" for many different reasons, and we usually cannot tell why. Sometimes there are many earthquakes because they are part of an aftershock sequence following a large earthquake. Depending on the magnitude and type of earthquake, these aftershocks can continue for days, weeks, or months.
Some areas are prone to swarms of earthquakes, particularly geothermal areas. Other times, an area has several small earthquakes and nothing more happens. Rarely, several earthquakes precede a larger earthquake, but they don't look any different from any other earthquake, so we don't know they're foreshocks until they actually become foreshocks. So, to answer the question “Is it safe...”, we don't know. You will have to make the decision based on whether or not you feel comfortable with your plans.
Learn more:
Although you may hear the terms “seismic zone” and “seismic hazard zone” used interchangeably, they really describe two slightly different things. A seismic zone is used to describe an area where earthquakes tend to focus; for example, the New Madrid Seismic Zone in the Central United States. A seismic hazard zone describes an area with a particular level of hazard due to earthquakes. Typically, a...
Seismic hazard is the hazard associated with potential earthquakes in a particular area, and a seismic hazard map shows the relative hazards in different areas. The maps are made by considering what we currently know about: Past faults and earthquakes The behavior of seismic waves as they travel through different parts of the U.S. crust The near-surface site conditions at specific locations of...
Determining your risk with regard to earthquakes, or more precisely shaking from earthquakes, isn't as simple as finding the nearest fault. The chances of experiencing shaking from an earthquake and/or having property damage is dependent on many different factors. The National Hazard Maps use all available data to estimate the chances of shaking (of different strengths and frequencies) across the...
Published maps will only provide generalized, uninterpreted information about specific areas. Every property consists of a unique combination of geologic and structural factors that must be considered to determine what might happen to a house during an earthquake. Therefore, an individual site study is necessary. Geologic factors include: type of underlying material, depth to bedrock, depth of...
You should consider the following factors when deciding whether or not to get earthquake insurance: proximity to active earthquake faults seismic history of the region (frequency of earthquakes) time since last earthquake building construction (type of building and foundation) architectural layout materials used quality of workmanship extent to which earthquake resistance was considered by the...
Ground shaking is the primary cause of earthquake damage to man-made structures. Many factors influence the strength of earthquake shaking at a site including the earthquake's magnitude, the site's proximity to the fault, the local geology, and the soil type. More than 250 structures throughout the United States have been outfitted with seismic sensors by the USGS National Strong Motion Project...
Around the world, the likelihood that an earthquake will be followed by a larger earthquake nearby and within a week is about 5%. When an earthquake occurs, it can trigger other earthquakes nearby in what seismologists call an earthquake sequence. In most sequences, these later earthquakes will be smaller than the first one. The first, largest earthquake is called the mainshock and the later...
According to information supplied in the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast 3: Los Angeles area: Within the next 30 years the probability is: 60% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7 46% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7 31% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5 will occur in the Los Angeles region. San Francisco Bay area: Within the next 30 years the probability is...
The USGS uses these four terms to refer to four different things. Early warning is a notification that is issued after an earthquake starts. Probabilities and forecasts are comparable to climate probabilities and weather forecasts, while predictions are more like statements of when, where, and how large, which is not yet possible for earthquakes. Here are more detailed descriptions of each...
Not really. The USGS Seismic Hazard Maps website and the Unified Hazard Tool (for building custom maps) are designed to display the probability of different events that might occur in a several-year to several-decade period. The model bases all probability estimates on the average rate of earthquakes over long periods of time. As you shorten the time window, you should expect greater and greater...
The USGS has seismic hazard maps for the US, Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico & U.S. Virgin Islands, Guam & Marianas and Samoa & Pacific Islands. In addition, we have created some other Foreign Hazard Maps for Afghanistan, Haiti, South America, Southeast Asia and the State of Gujarat, India. For more information about hazard maps for other locations outside of the U.S. visit the GEM (Global Earthquake...
Earthquake engineers are working to make roads and buildings safer in the event of major earthquakes. This includes both improving the design of new buildings and bridges as well as strengthening older units to incorporate the latest advances in seismic and structural engineering. The Federal Emergency Management Agency plays a central role in funding research and development for the purpose of...
NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MODEL
The National Seismic Hazard Model stands as a testament to scientific innovation in the service of public safety. This congressionally requested update provides an essential tool to many stakeholders by showing where large earthquakes are most likely to occur, allowing for better mitigation and preparedness in those areas.
NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MODEL
The National Seismic Hazard Model stands as a testament to scientific innovation in the service of public safety. This congressionally requested update provides an essential tool to many stakeholders by showing where large earthquakes are most likely to occur, allowing for better mitigation and preparedness in those areas.
This hazard map is a simplified 2% in 50-year probability of exceedance map for fixed VS30 760 m/s.
This hazard map is a simplified 2% in 50-year probability of exceedance map for fixed VS30 760 m/s.
Earthquakes can affect millions of people across the United States. But do you know what causes them? This video will tell you.
September is National Preparedness Month. Learn more about the natural hazards you may face in our feature story.
Earthquakes can affect millions of people across the United States. But do you know what causes them? This video will tell you.
September is National Preparedness Month. Learn more about the natural hazards you may face in our feature story.
You Can be Powered by ShakeAlert®️ - Earthquake Early Warning for All!
by Robert-Michael de Groot, USGS Earthquake Science Center
You Can be Powered by ShakeAlert®️ - Earthquake Early Warning for All!
by Robert-Michael de Groot, USGS Earthquake Science Center
Photograph of geologists examining a paleoseismic trench across the Sawtooth fault, Idaho. Trenches like this provide geologists an opportunity to date sediments that were offset by past earthquakes, thus determining the rupture history of the fault. Photo by Zach Lifton, Idaho Geological Survey, September 2022.
Photograph of geologists examining a paleoseismic trench across the Sawtooth fault, Idaho. Trenches like this provide geologists an opportunity to date sediments that were offset by past earthquakes, thus determining the rupture history of the fault. Photo by Zach Lifton, Idaho Geological Survey, September 2022.
Fault sections being used in the creation of the 2023 U.S. Seismic Hazard Maps. Blue lines are normal faults, yellow lines are reverse faults, and red lines are strike-slip faults.
Fault sections being used in the creation of the 2023 U.S. Seismic Hazard Maps. Blue lines are normal faults, yellow lines are reverse faults, and red lines are strike-slip faults.
Seismic hazard across the State of Hawaii, with high seismic hazards depicted with warm colors (red-orange) and relatively low seismic hazards depicted with cool colors (green). Engineers use these types of maps to prescribe building codes known as Seismic Design Codes (SDC) and create earthquake resistant structures.
Seismic hazard across the State of Hawaii, with high seismic hazards depicted with warm colors (red-orange) and relatively low seismic hazards depicted with cool colors (green). Engineers use these types of maps to prescribe building codes known as Seismic Design Codes (SDC) and create earthquake resistant structures.
Although you may hear the terms “seismic zone” and “seismic hazard zone” used interchangeably, they really describe two slightly different things. A seismic zone is used to describe an area where earthquakes tend to focus; for example, the New Madrid Seismic Zone in the Central United States. A seismic hazard zone describes an area with a particular level of hazard due to earthquakes. Typically, a...
Seismic hazard is the hazard associated with potential earthquakes in a particular area, and a seismic hazard map shows the relative hazards in different areas. The maps are made by considering what we currently know about: Past faults and earthquakes The behavior of seismic waves as they travel through different parts of the U.S. crust The near-surface site conditions at specific locations of...
Determining your risk with regard to earthquakes, or more precisely shaking from earthquakes, isn't as simple as finding the nearest fault. The chances of experiencing shaking from an earthquake and/or having property damage is dependent on many different factors. The National Hazard Maps use all available data to estimate the chances of shaking (of different strengths and frequencies) across the...
Published maps will only provide generalized, uninterpreted information about specific areas. Every property consists of a unique combination of geologic and structural factors that must be considered to determine what might happen to a house during an earthquake. Therefore, an individual site study is necessary. Geologic factors include: type of underlying material, depth to bedrock, depth of...
You should consider the following factors when deciding whether or not to get earthquake insurance: proximity to active earthquake faults seismic history of the region (frequency of earthquakes) time since last earthquake building construction (type of building and foundation) architectural layout materials used quality of workmanship extent to which earthquake resistance was considered by the...
Ground shaking is the primary cause of earthquake damage to man-made structures. Many factors influence the strength of earthquake shaking at a site including the earthquake's magnitude, the site's proximity to the fault, the local geology, and the soil type. More than 250 structures throughout the United States have been outfitted with seismic sensors by the USGS National Strong Motion Project...
Around the world, the likelihood that an earthquake will be followed by a larger earthquake nearby and within a week is about 5%. When an earthquake occurs, it can trigger other earthquakes nearby in what seismologists call an earthquake sequence. In most sequences, these later earthquakes will be smaller than the first one. The first, largest earthquake is called the mainshock and the later...
According to information supplied in the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast 3: Los Angeles area: Within the next 30 years the probability is: 60% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7 46% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7 31% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5 will occur in the Los Angeles region. San Francisco Bay area: Within the next 30 years the probability is...
The USGS uses these four terms to refer to four different things. Early warning is a notification that is issued after an earthquake starts. Probabilities and forecasts are comparable to climate probabilities and weather forecasts, while predictions are more like statements of when, where, and how large, which is not yet possible for earthquakes. Here are more detailed descriptions of each...
Not really. The USGS Seismic Hazard Maps website and the Unified Hazard Tool (for building custom maps) are designed to display the probability of different events that might occur in a several-year to several-decade period. The model bases all probability estimates on the average rate of earthquakes over long periods of time. As you shorten the time window, you should expect greater and greater...
The USGS has seismic hazard maps for the US, Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico & U.S. Virgin Islands, Guam & Marianas and Samoa & Pacific Islands. In addition, we have created some other Foreign Hazard Maps for Afghanistan, Haiti, South America, Southeast Asia and the State of Gujarat, India. For more information about hazard maps for other locations outside of the U.S. visit the GEM (Global Earthquake...
Earthquake engineers are working to make roads and buildings safer in the event of major earthquakes. This includes both improving the design of new buildings and bridges as well as strengthening older units to incorporate the latest advances in seismic and structural engineering. The Federal Emergency Management Agency plays a central role in funding research and development for the purpose of...
NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MODEL
The National Seismic Hazard Model stands as a testament to scientific innovation in the service of public safety. This congressionally requested update provides an essential tool to many stakeholders by showing where large earthquakes are most likely to occur, allowing for better mitigation and preparedness in those areas.
NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD MODEL
The National Seismic Hazard Model stands as a testament to scientific innovation in the service of public safety. This congressionally requested update provides an essential tool to many stakeholders by showing where large earthquakes are most likely to occur, allowing for better mitigation and preparedness in those areas.
This hazard map is a simplified 2% in 50-year probability of exceedance map for fixed VS30 760 m/s.
This hazard map is a simplified 2% in 50-year probability of exceedance map for fixed VS30 760 m/s.
Earthquakes can affect millions of people across the United States. But do you know what causes them? This video will tell you.
September is National Preparedness Month. Learn more about the natural hazards you may face in our feature story.
Earthquakes can affect millions of people across the United States. But do you know what causes them? This video will tell you.
September is National Preparedness Month. Learn more about the natural hazards you may face in our feature story.
You Can be Powered by ShakeAlert®️ - Earthquake Early Warning for All!
by Robert-Michael de Groot, USGS Earthquake Science Center
You Can be Powered by ShakeAlert®️ - Earthquake Early Warning for All!
by Robert-Michael de Groot, USGS Earthquake Science Center
Photograph of geologists examining a paleoseismic trench across the Sawtooth fault, Idaho. Trenches like this provide geologists an opportunity to date sediments that were offset by past earthquakes, thus determining the rupture history of the fault. Photo by Zach Lifton, Idaho Geological Survey, September 2022.
Photograph of geologists examining a paleoseismic trench across the Sawtooth fault, Idaho. Trenches like this provide geologists an opportunity to date sediments that were offset by past earthquakes, thus determining the rupture history of the fault. Photo by Zach Lifton, Idaho Geological Survey, September 2022.
Fault sections being used in the creation of the 2023 U.S. Seismic Hazard Maps. Blue lines are normal faults, yellow lines are reverse faults, and red lines are strike-slip faults.
Fault sections being used in the creation of the 2023 U.S. Seismic Hazard Maps. Blue lines are normal faults, yellow lines are reverse faults, and red lines are strike-slip faults.
Seismic hazard across the State of Hawaii, with high seismic hazards depicted with warm colors (red-orange) and relatively low seismic hazards depicted with cool colors (green). Engineers use these types of maps to prescribe building codes known as Seismic Design Codes (SDC) and create earthquake resistant structures.
Seismic hazard across the State of Hawaii, with high seismic hazards depicted with warm colors (red-orange) and relatively low seismic hazards depicted with cool colors (green). Engineers use these types of maps to prescribe building codes known as Seismic Design Codes (SDC) and create earthquake resistant structures.