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Publications

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Monitoring offshore CO2 sequestration using marine CSEM methods; constraints inferred from field- and laboratory-based gas hydrate studies Monitoring offshore CO2 sequestration using marine CSEM methods; constraints inferred from field- and laboratory-based gas hydrate studies

Offshore geological sequestration of CO2 offers a viable approach for reducing greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere. Strategies include injection of CO2 into the deep-ocean or ocean-floor sediments, whereby depending on pressure–temperature conditions, CO2 can be trapped physically, gravitationally, or converted to CO2 hydrate. Energy-driven research continues to also advance CO2...
Authors
Steven Constable, Laura A. Stern

Creep rate models for the 2023 US National Seismic Hazard Model: Physically constrained inversions for the distribution of creep on California faults Creep rate models for the 2023 US National Seismic Hazard Model: Physically constrained inversions for the distribution of creep on California faults

Widespread surface creep is observed across a number of active faults included in the United States (US) National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM). In northern California, creep occurs on the central section of the San Andreas fault, along the Hayward and Calaveras faults through the San Francisco Bay Area, and to the north coast region along the Maacama and Bartlett Springs faults. In...
Authors
K. M. Johnson, Jessica R. Murray, Crystal Wespestad

A fault‐based crustal deformation model with deep driven dislocation sources for the 2023 update to the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model A fault‐based crustal deformation model with deep driven dislocation sources for the 2023 update to the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model

A fault‐based crustal deformation model with deep driven dislocation sources is applied to estimate long‐term on‐fault slip rates and off‐fault moment rate distribution in the western United States (WUS) for the 2023 update to the National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM). This model uses the method of Zeng and Shen (2017) to invert for slip rate and strain‐rate parameters based on inputs...
Authors
Yuehua Zeng

Waveform signatures of earthquakes located close to the subducted Gorda Plate interface Waveform signatures of earthquakes located close to the subducted Gorda Plate interface

Complex seismic velocity structure near the earthquake source can affect rupture dynamics and strongly modify the seismic waveforms recorded near the fault. Fault‐zone waves are commonly observed in continental crustal settings but are less clear in subduction zones due to the spatial separation between seismic stations and the plate boundary fault. We observed anomalously long duration...
Authors
Jianhua Gong, Jeffrey J. McGuire

Limits to coseismic landslides triggered by Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquakes Limits to coseismic landslides triggered by Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquakes

Landslides are a significant hazard and dominant feature throughout the landscape of the Pacific Northwest. However, the hazard and risk posed by coseismic landslides triggered by great Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) earthquakes is highly uncertain due to a lack of local and global data. Despite a wealth of other geologic evidence for past earthquakes on the Cascadia Subduction Zone, no...
Authors
Alex R. Grant, William Struble, Sean Richard LaHusen

What to expect when you are expecting earthquake early warning What to expect when you are expecting earthquake early warning

We present a strategy for earthquake early warning (EEW) alerting that focuses on providing users with a target level of performance for their shaking level of interest (for example, ensuring that users receive warnings for at least 95 per cent of the occurrences of that shaking level). We explore the factors that can affect the accuracy of EEW shaking forecasts including site conditions...
Authors
Sarah E. Minson, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Jessie Kate Saunders, Sara K. McBride, Stephen Wu, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Kevin R. Milner

Education initiatives to support earthquake early warning: A retrospective and a roadmap Education initiatives to support earthquake early warning: A retrospective and a roadmap

As of May 2021, public alerting is now operational for the ShakeAlert earthquake early warning system for the West Coast of the United States in California, Oregon, and Washington. Successful early warning systems require the scientific and technical implementation to be coupled with social and humanitarian considerations, including education and outreach campaigns. Community engagement...
Authors
Danielle F. Sumy, Mariah Ramona Jenkins, Jenny Crayne, Shelley E Olds, Megan L. Anderson, Jenda Johnson, Bonnie Magura, Cynthia L Pridmore, Robert Michael deGroot

Great expectations for earthquake early warnings on the United States West Coast Great expectations for earthquake early warnings on the United States West Coast

In October 2019, California became the first state in the United States to fully activate a public earthquake early warning system—ShakeAlert®—managed by the U.S. Geological Survey. The system was subsequently rolled out in March 2021 in Oregon and May 2021 in Washington. Earthquake early warning (EEW) systems can provide seconds of notice to people and technological systems that shaking...
Authors
Ann Bostrom, Sara K. McBride, J.S. Becker, J.D. Goltz, Robert Michael deGroot, Lori Peek, Brian Terbush, Maximilian Dixon

National strategy for landslide loss reduction National strategy for landslide loss reduction

Executive Summary Landslide hazards are present in all 50 States and most U.S. territories, and they affect lives, property, infrastructure, and the environment. Landslides are the downslope move­ment of earth materials under the force of gravity. They can occur without any obvious trigger. Widespread or severe land­slide events are often driven by such hazards as hurricanes, earthquakes...
Authors
Jonathan W. Godt, Nathan J. Wood, Alice Pennaz, Connor M. Dacey, Benjamin B. Mirus, Lauren N. Schaefer, Stephen L. Slaughter

Seismic sources in the aleutian cradle of tsunamis Seismic sources in the aleutian cradle of tsunamis

No abstract available.
Authors
Robert C. Witter, Richard W. Briggs, Tina Dura, Simon E. Engelhart, Alan Nelson

A study on the effect of site response on California seismic hazard map assessment A study on the effect of site response on California seismic hazard map assessment

Prior studies have repeatedly shown that probabilistic seismic hazard maps from several different countries predict higher shaking than that observed. Previous map assessments have not, however, considered the influence of site response on hazard. Seismologists have long acknowledged the influence of near-surface geology, in particular low-impedance sediment layers, on earthquake ground...
Authors
Molly M. Gallahue, Leah Marschall Salditch, Madeleine C. Lucas, James S. Neely, Seth Stein, Norman A. Abrahamson, Tessa Williams, Susan E. Hough

Insights on multistage rock avalanche behavior from runout modeling constrained by seismic inversions Insights on multistage rock avalanche behavior from runout modeling constrained by seismic inversions

Inversion of low-frequency regional seismic records to solve for a time series of bulk forces exerted on the earth by a landslide (a force-time function) is increasingly being used to infer volumes and dynamics of large, highly energetic landslides, such as rock avalanches and flowslides, and to provide calibration information on event dynamics and volumes for numerical landslide runout...
Authors
Andrew Mitchell, Kate E. Allstadt, David L. George, Jordan Aaron, Scott McDougall, Jeffrey R. Moore, Brian Menounous
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