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Publications

These publications showcase the significant science conducted in our Science Centers.

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Know what you don't know: Embracing state uncertainty in disease-structured multistate models Know what you don't know: Embracing state uncertainty in disease-structured multistate models

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are broadly applicable hierarchical models that derive their utility from separating state processes from observation processes yielding the data. Multistate models such as mark–recapture and dynamic multistate occupancy models are HMMs frequently used in ecology. In their early formulations, states, such as pathogen infection status, were assumed to be...
Authors
Matthijs Hollanders, J. Andrew Royle

An evaluation of transmitter effects on adult and juvenile Common Terns using leg-loop harness attachments An evaluation of transmitter effects on adult and juvenile Common Terns using leg-loop harness attachments

Marking birds with transmitters allows for the collection of data that are critical for fully understanding avian life history, but researchers must also be confident that performing such studies is as safe as possible for transmittered individuals. While much could be learned from tracking juveniles across dependency periods and first migration, doing so would require a harness-based...
Authors
Evan J Buck, Jeffery D. Sullivan, Claire S. Teitelbaum, David F. Brinker, Peter C. McGowan, Diann Prosser

Modeled distribution shifts of North American birds over four decades based on suitable climate alone do not predict observed shifts Modeled distribution shifts of North American birds over four decades based on suitable climate alone do not predict observed shifts

As climate change alters the global environment, it is critical to understand the relationship between shifting climate suitability and species distributions. Key questions include whether observed changes in population abundance are aligned with the velocity and direction of shifts predicted by climate suitability models and if the responses are consistent among species with similar...
Authors
Qiongyu Huang, Brooke L. Bateman, Nicole Michel, Anna M. Pidgeon, Voelker C. Radeloff, Patrician Heglund, Andrew J. Allstadt, Jesse Wong, John R. Sauer

Underwater hearing in sea ducks with applications for reducing gillnet bycatch through acoustic deterrence Underwater hearing in sea ducks with applications for reducing gillnet bycatch through acoustic deterrence

As diving foragers, sea ducks are vulnerable to underwater anthropogenic activity, including ships, underwater construction, seismic surveys and gillnet fisheries. Bycatch in gillnets is a contributing source of mortality for sea ducks, killing hundreds of thousands of individuals annually. We researched underwater hearing in sea duck species to increase knowledge of underwater avian...
Authors
Kathleen A. McGrew, Sara E. Crowell, Jonathan Fiely, Alicia Berlin, Glenn H. Olsen, Jennifer James, Heather Hopkins, Christopher J. Williams

Water-quality monitoring of the Merrimack River watershed in Massachusetts Water-quality monitoring of the Merrimack River watershed in Massachusetts

The U.S. Geological Survey has been working in collaboration with the Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protection on a project to collect water-quality data from the Merrimack River watershed since April 2020. Twelve locations in the Merrimack River watershed are being sampled for nutrients (such as nitrogen), metals (such as aluminum), Escherichia coli bacteria, and other...
Authors
Kaitlin L. Laabs, Natalie L. Roth, Laura K. Yates

Behavior of potentially toxic elements from stoker-boiler fly ash in Interior Alaska: Paired batch leaching and solid-phase characterization Behavior of potentially toxic elements from stoker-boiler fly ash in Interior Alaska: Paired batch leaching and solid-phase characterization

Despite significant investigation of fly ash spills and mineralogical controls on the release of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) from fly ash, interactions with the surficial environment remain relatively poorly understood. We conducted 90-day batch leaching studies with paired analysis of supernatant and solid-phase mineralogy to assess the elemental release and transformation of fly...
Authors
Kyle P Milke, Kiana Mitchell, Sarah M. Hayes, Carlin J. Green, Jennifer Guerard

Higher temperature sensitivity of ecosystem respiration in low marsh compared to high elevation marsh ecosystems Higher temperature sensitivity of ecosystem respiration in low marsh compared to high elevation marsh ecosystems

Salt marsh habitats contain some of the highest quantities of soil organic carbon (C) per unit area, but increasing anthropogenic stressors threaten their ability to maintain themselves as large C reservoirs in some regions. We quantify rates of C gas exchange (methane [CH4] and carbon dioxide [CO2]) monthly across a 16-month period from a low nitrogen “reference” salt marsh on Cape Cod...
Authors
Joanna C. Carey, Kevin D. Kroeger, Jianwu Tang

Seasonal variability in macroinvertebrate assemblages in paired perennial and intermittent streams in Costa Rica Seasonal variability in macroinvertebrate assemblages in paired perennial and intermittent streams in Costa Rica

Ecological effects of flooding and drying events are relatively understudied in the Neotropics and less is known about these hydrological extremes in intermittent streams. Neotropical headwater streams in Costa Rica provide opportunities to evaluate the response of macroinvertebrate communities to seasonal changes in flow regime in relatively human undisturbed systems. We quantified the...
Authors
Darixa D Hernandez-Abrams, Scott Connelly, Mary Freeman, Pablo E. Gutierrez-Fonseca, Seth J. Wenger

Optical properties of dissolved organic matter in throughfall and stemflow vary across tree species and season in a temperate headwater forest Optical properties of dissolved organic matter in throughfall and stemflow vary across tree species and season in a temperate headwater forest

Tree-derived dissolved organic matter (DOM) comprises a significant carbon flux within forested watersheds. Few studies have assessed the optical properties of tree-derived DOM. To increase understanding of the factors controlling tree-derived DOM quality, we measured DOM optical properties, dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and calcium concentrations in throughfall and stemflow for 17...
Authors
Kevin A Ryan, Thomas Adler, Ann T. Chalmers, Julia Perdrial, Stephen Sebestyen, James B. Shanley, Aron Stubbins

Embedded critical material flow: The case of niobium, the United States, and China Embedded critical material flow: The case of niobium, the United States, and China

Niobium, often classified as critical, is typically embedded within steels essential for infrastructure and transportation. Most niobium-consuming countries are import-dependent on primary stage niobium, meaning traditional material flow analysis, which often excludes critical commodities embedded within products of large-scale industries, would miss important flows in the fabrication...
Authors
Dalton M. McCaffrey, Nedal T. Nassar, Simon M. Jowitt, Abraham J. Padilla, Laurence R. Bird

Streamlined approach for assessing embedded consumption of lithium and cobalt in the United States Streamlined approach for assessing embedded consumption of lithium and cobalt in the United States

In today's complex global supply chains, time and data intensive analyses are required to understand global flows of mineral commodities from mine to consumer, particularly for mineral commodities in products (electronics, automobiles, etc.) that contain multiple parts with many mineral commodities. National and regional analyses require additional time and data to incorporate...
Authors
Elisa Alonso, David G. Pineault, Nedal T. Nassar

Negligible atmospheric release of methane from decomposing hydrates in mid-latitude oceans Negligible atmospheric release of methane from decomposing hydrates in mid-latitude oceans

Naturally occurring gas hydrates may contribute to a positive feedback for global warming because they sequester large amounts of the potent greenhouse gas methane in ice-like deposits that could be destabilized by increasing ocean/atmospheric temperatures. Most hydrates occur within marine sediments; gas liberated during the decomposition of seafloor hydrates or originating with other...
Authors
DongJoo Joung, Carolyn D. Ruppel, John R. Southon, Thomas S. Weber, John D. Kessler
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