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These publications showcase the significant science conducted in our Science Centers.

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Exploring future ecogeomorphic state transitions of an undeveloped barrier island: Multidecadal model projections for North Core Banks, NC, USA Exploring future ecogeomorphic state transitions of an undeveloped barrier island: Multidecadal model projections for North Core Banks, NC, USA

Ecogeomorphic state transitions in coastal barrier systems will be impacted and likely amplified by projected accelerated sea-level rise and enhanced storm intensity over the next several decades. When, where, and how these transitions will take place remain uncertain and complex, yet are of primary interest to coastal managers looking to prepare for future changes. Here, we apply the...
Authors
Ian Robert Reeves, Erika E. Lentz, Christopher R. Sherwood, Andrew D. Ashton, Sara L. Zeigler, Davina L. Passeri

Big data for small streams: Leveraging a coarse national model to enhance fine-resolution stream temperature predictions Big data for small streams: Leveraging a coarse national model to enhance fine-resolution stream temperature predictions

Predictive stream temperature models are commonly used to address spatial and temporal gaps in observational data because stream temperature information is essential for environmental management decisions. National models capture broad patterns driven by climate, topography, and seasonality, but often lack the spatial resolution to simulate fine-scale variation in groundwater discharge...
Authors
Janet R. Barclay, Lauren Elizabeth Koenig, Yingda Fan, X. Jia, Alison P. Appling

Fall 2026 Fall 2026

No abstract available.
Authors
Katrina Rossos

Probabilistic forecasting of coastal wetland elevation and soil carbon response to sea-level rise Probabilistic forecasting of coastal wetland elevation and soil carbon response to sea-level rise

Tidal wetlands build soil as a dynamic response to inundation, resulting in carbon sequestration and resilience to sea-level rise. Process models can be used to make site-specific forecasts, anticipate future changes, and plan management responses. But to be actionable, forecasts from these models need to be accompanied by descriptions of their confidence. In this study, we demonstrate...
Authors
James R. Holmquist, E. Fay Belshe, Brandon M. Boyd, Lauren N. Brown, Samantha K. Chapman, Ron Corstanje, Meagan J. Eagle, Christopher N. Janousek, Minjee Jung, David H. Klinges, Michael Lonneman, James T. Morris, Gregory B. Noe, André Rovai, Jonathan Sanderman, Amanda C. Spivak, Katherine Todd-Brown, Megan Vahsen, Nicholas Ward, Lisamarie Windham-Myers, J. Patrick Megonigal

Production of secondary microbial methane from a gas hydrate-bearing reservoir at the HYDRATE P1 Production Test Well (PTW-1) on the Alaskan North Slope Production of secondary microbial methane from a gas hydrate-bearing reservoir at the HYDRATE P1 Production Test Well (PTW-1) on the Alaskan North Slope

Gas hydrate in the Alaskan North Slope (ANS) is believed to contain as much methane as the known conventional gas accumulations in the Prudhoe Bay field. The JOGMEC-DOE-USGS Collaborative Gas Hydrate R&D Project conducted an extended-duration production test from the sub-permafrost, gas-hydrate saturated B1 sand reservoir (unit B) at the Kuparuk State 7-11-12 Site in the Prudhoe Bay Unit...
Authors
John W. Pohlman, Michael Casso, Lee-Gray Boze, William F. Waite, Stephen C. Phillips, Carolyn Ruppel, Melanie Holland, Jun Yoneda, Motoi Oshima, Akihiro Hiruta, Timothy S. Collett

Multiple lines of evidence reveal rapid, seasonal watershed responses to enhanced weathering Multiple lines of evidence reveal rapid, seasonal watershed responses to enhanced weathering

Enhanced weathering accelerates carbon dioxide removal from the atmosphere through the rapid dissolution of land amendments of crushed, cation-rich rocks. The export of enhanced weathering dissolution products to drainage networks has important implications for carbon dioxide removal durability and measurement yet has received little attention. Here we observe rapid and pronounced...
Authors
Fengchao Sun, Robert A. Rioux, Tim J. Suhrhoff, Wyatt Tatge, Boriana Kalderon-Asael, Quinn Zacharius, William A. Miller-Brown, Aaron A. MacDonald, Esmeralda Garcia, James B. Shanley, Peter A. Raymond, Noah J. Planavsky, James E. Saiers

Anthropogenic and geogenic factors affecting groundwater arsenic and potential drinking water exposure in the San Luis Valley, Colorado Anthropogenic and geogenic factors affecting groundwater arsenic and potential drinking water exposure in the San Luis Valley, Colorado

Groundwater arsenic is a serious health threat in many regions with limited surface water drinking supplies. In the San Luis Valley, Colorado, USA, where most residents rely on groundwater for drinking water, elevated groundwater arsenic concentrations (≥5 μg/L) were observed in 19.8% of private wells. Many recent studies have leveraged data science methods to estimate the spatial...
Authors
Ryan G. Smith, Alandra M. Lopez, Alexandder S. Honeyman, Dawson Carney, Scott Fendorf, Melissa A. Lombard, Matthew O. Gribble, Abdullah Al Fatta, Katherine A. James

Historical changes in streamflows important to diadromous fish in United States coastal regions Historical changes in streamflows important to diadromous fish in United States coastal regions

Diadromous fish species occupy freshwater habitats (rearing, spawning, migration) for a substantial part of their lives. The quality and quantity of these habitats is mainly driven by thermal and streamflow regimes; therefore, understanding trends in streamflow allows better management of diadromous species and their habitats. We investigated seasonal flows for many basins in two U.S...
Authors
Glenn Hodgkins, Mathias J. Collins, Valerie Ouellet

Aging of biosolids in fields prolongs the release of biosolid-borne PFAS and promotes the release of select PFCA in water Aging of biosolids in fields prolongs the release of biosolid-borne PFAS and promotes the release of select PFCA in water

Land application of biosolids can introduce PFAS into croplands. Biosolids transported to surface waters through runoff may subsequently release PFAS into aquatic environments. The objective was to evaluate the effects of the aging of biosolids and the presence of sediment on the release of biosolid-borne PFAS to water at the water-sediment interface under anaerobic conditions. Through...
Authors
Qu Wen, Daniel S Snow, Nirupam Aich, Michelle M. Lorah, Kelly L. Smalling, John Hribljan, Paul Ayayee, Xudong Lin

Depositional environment and diagenetic history of gas hydrate-bearing sediments of the Alaska North Slope (HYDRATE 02 Geo Data Well) Depositional environment and diagenetic history of gas hydrate-bearing sediments of the Alaska North Slope (HYDRATE 02 Geo Data Well)

We characterized the lithological, solid-phase geochemical, and rock magnetic properties of sediment cores from subpermafrost strata on the Alaska North Slope collected as part of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the Japan Organization for Metals and Energy Security (JOGMEC), and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Collaborative Gas Hydrate Research and Development (R&D) Project in...
Authors
Stephen C. Phillips, Sarah Johnson Widlansky, Jun Yoneda, Akihiro Hiruta, Broden A.L. Grimm, Joel E. Johnson, Amy Geist, Melanie E. Holland, Peter J. Schultheiss, Timothy S. Collett

Permeability and compressibility of “seal” sediment overlying the B1 sand gas hydrate reservoir: Hydrate 02 Geo Data Well, Prudhoe Bay unit, Alaska North Slope Permeability and compressibility of “seal” sediment overlying the B1 sand gas hydrate reservoir: Hydrate 02 Geo Data Well, Prudhoe Bay unit, Alaska North Slope

An important element in evaluating the viability of extracting methane from a gas hydrate-bearing reservoir is establishing the effectiveness of the overlying bounding sediment as a seal to prevent gas loss, to enable effective depressurization, and to prevent fluid from entering the reservoir during production. This laboratory study presents results for index properties (e.g., grain...
Authors
Adrian V. Garcia, William F. Waite, Stephen C. Phillips, Jun Yoneda, Akihiro Hiruta, Timothy S. Collett

Strength, stiffness, and Poisson’s ratio measurements for cements used in the well completions for the extended-duration gas production test on the Alaskan North Slope Strength, stiffness, and Poisson’s ratio measurements for cements used in the well completions for the extended-duration gas production test on the Alaskan North Slope

As part of an extended-duration production test from a natural gas hydrate reservoir on the Alaska North Slope, a suite of optical-fiber sensors was encased in the completion cement to provide stable downhole monitoring around each of the four project wells. How the sensors respond to changes in the reservoir over time depends in part on properties of the LiteCRETE, ArcticCem, or Tuned...
Authors
Adrian V. Garcia, William F. Waite, Jun Yoneda, Jim Kirksey, Timothy S. Collett
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