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Projections

The goal of land use and land cover (LULC) modeling activities is to 1) temporally extend remote sensing-based land cover databases for future and historical time periods when remote sensing data are not available, and 2) facilitate the application of modeled landscape data. In more than 12 years since the Forecasting Scenarios of land use (FORE-SCE) model was developed and first applied, USGS Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center has developed a unique capability to produce landscape projections that match the spatial, temporal, and thematic characteristics of National Land Cover Database (NLCD) or LCMAP land cover products. Using actual land use and land management parcels for spatial modeling ensures the realistic representation of landscape pattern. By producing projections that match existing USGS land cover data, our modeled land cover data can be used seamlessly in existing work flows, enabling analyses of past, current, and future landscape impacts on biodiversity, hydrology, climate and weather, and a host of other ecologically and economically relevant processes.

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Acquiring Land-Cover Modeling Data from USGS / EROS Center

The following provides a short synopsis of current and recently completely projects using USGS EROS’ FORE-SCE model, and where applicable, links to download data. Additional project information and data will be made available as our research progresses.
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Acquiring Land-Cover Modeling Data from USGS / EROS Center

The following provides a short synopsis of current and recently completely projects using USGS EROS’ FORE-SCE model, and where applicable, links to download data. Additional project information and data will be made available as our research progresses.
Learn More

Land-cover Modeling at USGS Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center

Land-use change and the resultant changes in land cover impact a wide variety of ecological processes. Projected land-cover data produced by EROS have been used for a wide variety of applications, including those listed in the left column. The following provides a partial list of published applications for modeled land-use and land-cover data.
link

Land-cover Modeling at USGS Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center

Land-use change and the resultant changes in land cover impact a wide variety of ecological processes. Projected land-cover data produced by EROS have been used for a wide variety of applications, including those listed in the left column. The following provides a partial list of published applications for modeled land-use and land-cover data.
Learn More

Land-Cover Modeling Methodology - The FORE-SCE Model

Many factors determine how human beings modify the earth's landscape. Land-cover change is inherently a local event, yet broader scale socioeconomic and biophysical factors also affect how humans make decisions to use the landscape. Projecting future land cover requires modelers to account for driving forces of land-cover change operating at scales from local ("bottom-up") to global ("top-down")...
link

Land-Cover Modeling Methodology - The FORE-SCE Model

Many factors determine how human beings modify the earth's landscape. Land-cover change is inherently a local event, yet broader scale socioeconomic and biophysical factors also affect how humans make decisions to use the landscape. Projecting future land cover requires modelers to account for driving forces of land-cover change operating at scales from local ("bottom-up") to global ("top-down")...
Learn More