Kubelka et al. (Report, 9 November 2018, p. 680-683) claim that climate change has disrupted patterns of nest predation in shorebirds. They report that predation rates have increased since the 1950s, especially in the Arctic. We describe methodological problems with their analyses and argue that there is no solid statistical support for their claims.
Authors
Martin Bulla, Jeroen Reneerkens, Emily Weiser, Aleksandr Sokolov, Audrey Taylor, Benoit Sittler, Brian McCaffery, Daniel Ruthrauff, Daniel Catlin, David Payer, David Ward, Diana Solovyeva, Eduardo Santos, Eldar Rakhimberdiev, Erica Nol, Eunbi Kwon, Glen Brown, Glenda Hevia, H. Gates, James Johnson, Jan van Gils, Jannik Hansen, Jean-Francois Lamarre, Jennie Rausch, Jesse Conklin, Joe Liebezeit, Joel Bety, Johannes Lang, Jose Alves, Juan Fernandez-Elipe, Klaus-Michael Exo, Loic Bollache, Marcelo Bertellotti, Marie-Andree Giroux, Martijn van de Pol, Matthew Johnson, Megan Boldenow, Mihai Valcu, Mikhail Soloviev, Natalya Sokolova, Nathan Senner, Nicholas Lecomte, Nicolas Meyer, Niels Schmidt, Olivier Gilg, Paul Smith, Paula Machin, Rebecca L McGuire, Ricardo Cerboncini, Richard Ottvall, Rob van Bemmelen, Rose J Swift, Sara Saalfeld, Sara Jamieson, Stephen Brown, Theunis Piersma, Tomas Albrecht, Veronica D’Amico, Richard B. Lanctot, Bart Kempenaers