Michelle Stern, PhD (Former Employee)
Science and Products
Sentinel Site Modeling
The California Department of Fish and Wildlife (CDFW) installed more than 40 climate and biodiversity monitoring stations, called sentinel sites, on public lands across the state. These sites collect detailed data on things like temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, and more to track how the environment is changing. Each site is meant to reflect conditions in the surrounding area, but...
Culturally Prescribed Fire
Culturally prescribed burning has been long practiced by the Yurok Tribe for a variety of reasons. This study explores using culturally prescribed fire as a land management tool for increasing the resiliency of streams and watersheds.
Incorporating Impacts of Wildfire and Vegetation Recovery into a Watershed Model of the Feather River Basin
Changes in vegetation in a large watershed due to wildfire can have a substantial influence on actual evapotranspiration rates and water availability. After a large, intense wildfire, evapotranspiration rates are expected to decrease. As vegetation reestablishes, the evapotranspiration rates increase over a period of years, back to pre-fire conditions. Watershed models typically use input layers...
Rendering High-Resolution Hydro-Climatic Data for Southern California
Natural resource managers and researchers often need long-term averages of historical and future climate scenarios for their study area yet may not have the resources to make these summaries. This project will provide high quality, detailed maps of historical and projected future climate and hydrologic conditions for California and a finer scale version for southern California. The...
Monitoring and modeling soil moisture to improve runoff forecasting and drought characterization in the Feather River Basin
Drought, along with recent wildfires, have had enormous impacts downstream on water quantity and quality. These conditions have greatly impacted the agriculture and the residents of the nearby Central Valley.
New Technologies for Mapping Surface Soil Moisture Over Wildfire-Prone Landscapes
A partnership between the USGS, Pepperwood Preserve, and Black Swift LLC aims to map soil and fuel moisture over wildfire-prone landscapes.
Improving Water Resilience and Availability Through Culturally Prescribed Fires as a Management Tool on Yurok Tribal Lands
Climate Change is making our environment unpredictable. Increased persistence of drought is causing deaths of plants and animals across our landscapes. However, drought amongst the western United States is not a new thing. Native American populations have been living with drought since time immemorial and practiced culturally prescribed fire practices to foster the landscape for an...
Sediment transport, streamflow, and climate change: long-term resilience of the Bay-Delta
Sediment supply is important to the health of the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta and San Francisco Bay (Bay-Delta) ecosystem. Sediment eroded from upland source areas in the Sacramento and San Joaquin watersheds is transported through the rivers to the Bay-Delta where it is deposited in mudflats and tidal wetlands, which in turn helps protect against the effects of sea-level rise. Sediment...
Soil moisture datasets at five sites in the central Sierra Nevada and northern Coast Ranges, California
Soil moisture is a critical variable for understanding the impacts of drought on ecological, hydrological, and agricultural systems, as soil moisture content has a direct affect on runoff amounts. Runoff occurs as the result of precipitation (both rainfall and snowfall) that is in excess of the demands of evaporation from land surfaces, transpiration from vegetation, and infiltration into soils...
Researching Climate Conditions for CAL FIRE Wildfire Restoration Efforts
In California, drought and warmer climates have increased the prevalence, severity, and duration of wildfires. These fires have destroyed over 129 million trees. In the aftermath of this devastation, there is heightened urgency to increase the capacity of seedling production, particularly for the lower-elevation and private lands that CAL FIRE is responsible to help manage. To support CAL FIRE in...
Basin Characterization Model (BCM)
The Basin Characterization Model (BCM) is a simple grid-based model that calculates the water balance for any time step or spatial scale by using climate inputs, precipitation, minimum and maximum air temperature. The BCM can translate fine-scale maps of climate trends and projections into the hydrologic consequences, to permit evaluation of the impacts to water availability at regional, watershed...
Increasing Soil Organic Carbon to Mitigate Greenhouse Gases and Increase Climate Resiliency for California
Rising air temperatures are projected to continue to drive up urban, agricultural, and rangeland water use, straining both surface and groundwater resources. Scientific studies have shown that managing farms, ranches, and public lands to increase soil carbon can increase soil waterholding capacity and increase hydrologic benefits such as increased baseflows and aquifer recharge, reduced flooding...
Filter Total Items: 14
Fine Scale Historical Climate and Hydrology for Sentinel Monitoring Locations in California using the Basin Characterization Model (BCM) Fine Scale Historical Climate and Hydrology for Sentinel Monitoring Locations in California using the Basin Characterization Model (BCM)
This data release includes downscaled climate inputs and hydrologic outputs from 41 Basin Characterization Models (BCM) version 8 (v8), described in Flint and others (2021), with a 10 by 10-meter spatial resolution at monthly intervals from water years 1896 to 2023. Forty-one (41) models were developed for sentinel monitoring locations in Wildlife Areas and Ecological Reserves in...
Upper Feather River Watershed 30-meter Basin Characterization Model - Monthly Historical Climate and Hydrology Upper Feather River Watershed 30-meter Basin Characterization Model - Monthly Historical Climate and Hydrology
Note: This data release has been deprecated. A new version is currently in press. This data release includes downscaled climate inputs and hydrologic outputs from the Basin Characterization Model (BCM) version 8 (v8), described in Flint et al. (2021a), in a 30 by 30-meter spatial resolution at a monthly time step from water years 1896 to 2023 for the upper Feather River watershed. This...
Historical and future simulated streamflow and sediment loads from Clear Lake tributaries in California Historical and future simulated streamflow and sediment loads from Clear Lake tributaries in California
This dataset includes simulated streamflow and sediment discharge for major tributaries contributing to Clear Lake, California. Historical hourly streamflow and sediment for each tributary location were outputs from an Hydrological Simulation Program - FORTRAN (HSPF) model. The historical data is available at an hourly time step from October 1980 to March 2024. The future time series...
Geochemical and isotopic data for soils and sediments from the Clear Lake drainage basin, Lake County, California (ver. 2.0, August 2025) Geochemical and isotopic data for soils and sediments from the Clear Lake drainage basin, Lake County, California (ver. 2.0, August 2025)
This dataset includes geochemical, isotopic, and particle-size data for soil and sediment samples collected at approximately 500 sites in the Clear Lake drainage basin, Lake County, California, between November 2021 and December 2023. Data are also reported for ten soil samples collected during October 2018 soon after the Ranch Fire in the upper Scotts Creek watershed. Samples of lakebed...
Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) for the Salton Sea Watershed - Monthly Historical (water years 1896-2023) Climate and Hydrology Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) for the Salton Sea Watershed - Monthly Historical (water years 1896-2023) Climate and Hydrology
This data release contains monthly 270-meter gridded Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) climate inputs and hydrologic outputs for the Salton Sea Watershed, which crosses the international border into Mexico in the southern part of the basin. Downscaled gridded climate inputs (Daly et al., 2008) for the California portion of the BCM (Flint et al, 2021) include: precipitation (ppt)...
Future Climate and Hydrology from Twenty Localized Constructed Analog (LOCA) Scenarios and the Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) (ver. 1.1, November 2024) Future Climate and Hydrology from Twenty Localized Constructed Analog (LOCA) Scenarios and the Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) (ver. 1.1, November 2024)
This data release contains monthly 270-meter resolution Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) climate and hydrologic variables for Localized Constructed Analog (LOCA; Pierce et al., 2014)-downscaled Global Climate Models (GCMs) for Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 (medium-low emissions) and 8.5 (high emissions) for hydrologic California. The 20 future climate scenarios...
Aerial imagery and other remotely-sensed data from a UAS survey of Pepperwood Preserve, Sonoma County, CA Aerial imagery and other remotely-sensed data from a UAS survey of Pepperwood Preserve, Sonoma County, CA
This data release contains Uncrewed Aircraft System (UAS) imagery from three data collection campaigns (flights) over the Pepperwood Preserve in Sonoma County, California. Each child item contains: 1) Orthophoto, 2) Thermal, 3) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), 4) L-band microwave brightness temperature (Tb), 5) Estimated soil moisture, and 6) Digital elevation model from...
Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) for California Coastal Basins - Monthly Historical (water years 1896-2019) and Future (water years 2006-2099) Climate and Hydrology Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) for California Coastal Basins - Monthly Historical (water years 1896-2019) and Future (water years 2006-2099) Climate and Hydrology
This data release contains monthly 270-meter gridded Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) climate inputs and hydrologic outputs for 17 California Coastal Basins (Eel River, Fort Bragg, Fort Ross, Klamath, Los Angeles, Mad River, Mattole, Napa Sonoma, Russian River, Salinas, San Diego, San Francisco Coastal South, Santa Clara River Valley, Santa Clara River Valley South Bay, Smith, South...
Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models: Climate Data Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models: Climate Data
This digital dataset contains the climate data used for the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models (Salinas Valley Integrated Hydrologic Model (SVIHM) and Salinas Valley Operational Model (SVOM)). The monthly climate data for the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models are based on the regional climate data for the Salinas Valley Hydrologic System [Hevesi and others, 2022]. To develop the...
Salinas Valley Hydrologic System: Regional Climate Data (ver 2.0, February 2025) Salinas Valley Hydrologic System: Regional Climate Data (ver 2.0, February 2025)
This digital dataset contains the climate data used for the Salinas Valley Hydrologic System, including the Salinas Valley Watershed Model (SVWM) and the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models (Salinas Valley Integrated Hydrologic Model (SVIHM) and Salinas Valley Operational Model (SVOM)). The climate data include spatially distributed daily precipitation, maximum and minimum air...
Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) monthly recharge and runoff for the Anza-Cahuilla Groundwater Basin, California Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) monthly recharge and runoff for the Anza-Cahuilla Groundwater Basin, California
This dataset provides monthly and average annual long-term estimates (water years 1981-2010) of gridded recharge and runoff from water years 1896-2018 for the Anza-Cahuilla Groundwater Basin in southern California. Gridded data are available in flat ASCII files (*.asc) in the NAD83 California Teale Albers projection. This dataset also includes streamflow calibration basins and stations...
The Basin Characterization Model - A monthly regional water balance software package (BCMv8) data release and model archive for hydrologic California (ver. 5.0, June 2025) The Basin Characterization Model - A monthly regional water balance software package (BCMv8) data release and model archive for hydrologic California (ver. 5.0, June 2025)
This data release accompanies the USGS Techniques and Methods report titled: "The Basin Characterization Model - A Regional Water Balance Software Package", and includes all necessary Basin Characterization Model version 8 (BCMv8) inputs and outputs for water years 1896 to 2024. The BCMv8 was refined from the previous BCMv65 version to improve the accuracy of the water-balance components...
Filter Total Items: 14
Hydrological Simulation Program - FORTRAN (HSPF) Hydrological Simulation Program - FORTRAN (HSPF)
No abstract available.
Authors
Michelle Stern, Charles Alpers
Discovery and potential ramifications of reduced iron-bearing nanoparticles — Magnetite, wüstite, and zero-valent iron — In wildland–urban interface fire ashes Discovery and potential ramifications of reduced iron-bearing nanoparticles — Magnetite, wüstite, and zero-valent iron — In wildland–urban interface fire ashes
The increase in fires at the wildland–urban interface has raised concerns about the potential environmental impact of ash remaining after burning. Here, we examined the concentrations and speciation of iron-bearing nanoparticles in wildland–urban interface ash. Total iron concentrations in ash varied between 4 and 66 mg g−1. Synchrotron X-ray absorption near-edge structure (XANES)...
Authors
Mohammed Baalousha, Morgane Desmau, Sheryl A. Singerling, Jackson Webster, Sandrine Matiasek, Michelle Stern, Charles Alpers
Selecting the optimal fine-scale historical climate data for assessing current and future hydrological conditions Selecting the optimal fine-scale historical climate data for assessing current and future hydrological conditions
High-resolution historical climate grids are readily available and frequently used as inputs for a wide range of regional management and risk assessments, including water supply, ecological processes, and as baseline for climate change impact studies that compare them to future projected conditions. Because historical gridded climates are produced using various methods, their portrayal...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint, Ryan Boynton, Joseph Stewart, Jessica Wright, James Thorne
A basin-scale approach to estimating recharge in the desert: Anza-Cahuilla groundwater basin, CA A basin-scale approach to estimating recharge in the desert: Anza-Cahuilla groundwater basin, CA
The Anza-Cahuilla groundwater basin located mainly in the semi-arid headwaters of the Santa Margarita River watershed in southern California is the principle source of groundwater for a rural disadvantaged community and two Native American Tribes, the Ramona Band of Cahuilla and the Cahuilla. Groundwater in the study area is derived entirely from precipitation and managing groundwater...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint, Allen Christensen
Amplified impact of climate change on fine-sediment delivery to a subsiding coast, Humboldt Bay, California Amplified impact of climate change on fine-sediment delivery to a subsiding coast, Humboldt Bay, California
In Humboldt Bay, tectonic subsidence exacerbates sea-level rise (SLR). To build surface elevations and to keep pace with SLR, the sediment demand created by subsidence and SLR must be balanced by an adequate sediment supply. This study used an ensemble of plausible future scenarios to predict potential climate change impacts on suspended-sediment discharge (Qss) from fluvial sources...
Authors
Jennifer Curtis, Lorraine Flint, Michelle Stern, Jack Lewis, Randy Klein
The basin characterization model—A regional water balance software package The basin characterization model—A regional water balance software package
This report documents the computer software package, Basin Characterization Model, version 8 (BCMv8)—a monthly, gridded, regional water-balance model—and provides detailed operational instructions and example applications. After several years of many applications and uses of a previous version, CA-BCM, published in 2014, the BCMv8 was refined to improve the accuracy of the water-balance...
Authors
Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint, Michelle Stern
The future of sediment transport and streamflow under a changing climate and the implications for long-term resilience of the San Francisco Bay-Delta The future of sediment transport and streamflow under a changing climate and the implications for long-term resilience of the San Francisco Bay-Delta
Sedimentation and turbidity have effects on habitat suitability in the San Francisco Bay‐Delta (Bay‐Delta), concerning key species in the bay as well as the ability of the delta marshes to keep pace with sea level rise. A daily rainfall runoff and transport model of the Sacramento River Basin of northern California was developed to simulate streamflow and suspended sediment transport to...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Lorraine Flint, Alan L Flint, Noah Knowles, Scott Wright
PFHydro: A new watershed-scale model for post-fire runoff simulation PFHydro: A new watershed-scale model for post-fire runoff simulation
Runoff increases after wildfires that burn vegetation and create a condition of soil-water repellence (SWR). A new post-fire watershed hydrological model, PFHydro, was created to explicitly simulate vegetation interception and SWR effects for four burn severity categories: high, medium, low severity and unburned. The model was applied to simulate post-fire runoff from the Upper Cache...
Authors
Jun Wang, Michelle Stern, Vanessa King, Charles Alpers, Nigel Quinn, Alan Flint, Lorraine Flint
Characterization of hydrology and sediment transport following drought and wildfire in Cache Creek, California Characterization of hydrology and sediment transport following drought and wildfire in Cache Creek, California
The worst drought in California in over 1,200 years occurred between 2012-2017 (Griffin, 2014), depleting surface water and groundwater supply and drying out the soils past wilting point. In the summer of 2015, the Jerusalem and Rocky fires burned roughly 40,000 acres within the Cache Creek watershed. To fully characterize the post-fire effects in the Cache Creek watershed, an hourly...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint
A multi-scale soil moisture monitoring strategy for California: Design and validation A multi-scale soil moisture monitoring strategy for California: Design and validation
A multi‐scale soil moisture monitoring strategy for California was designed to inform water resource management. The proposed workflow classifies soil moisture response units (SMRUs) using publicly available datasets that represent soil, vegetation, climate, and hydrology variables, which control soil water storage. The SMRUs were classified, using principal component analysis and...
Authors
Jennifer Curtis, Lorraine Flint, Michelle Stern
Increasing soil organic carbon to mitigate greenhouse gases and increase climate resiliency for California Increasing soil organic carbon to mitigate greenhouse gases and increase climate resiliency for California
Rising air temperatures are projected to continue to drive up urban, agricultural, and rangeland water use, straining both surface and groundwater resources. Scientific studies have shown that managing farms, ranches, and public lands to increase soil carbon can increase soil waterholding capacity and increase hydrologic benefits such as increased baseflows and aquifer recharge, reduced...
Authors
Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint, Michelle Stern, Allegra Mayer, Whendee Silver, Clyde Casey, Fabiano Franco, Kristin Byrd, Benjamin Sleeter, P. Alvarez, J. Creque, T. Estrada, D. Cameron
Soil moisture datasets at five sites in the central Sierra Nevada and northern Coast Ranges, California Soil moisture datasets at five sites in the central Sierra Nevada and northern Coast Ranges, California
In situ soil moisture datasets are important inputs used to calibrate and validate watershed, regional, or statewide modeled and satellite-based soil moisture estimates. The soil moisture dataset presented in this report includes hourly time series of the following: soil temperature, volumetric water content, water potential, and total soil water content. Data were collected by the U.S...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Frank Anderson, Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint
Non-USGS Publications**
Stern, M.A., Flint, L.E., Minear, J.T., Flint, A.L., Wright, S.A., Characterizing Changes in Streamflow and Sediment Supply in the Sacramento River Basin, California, Using Hydrological Simulation Program—FORTRAN (HSPF). Water. 2016; 8(10):432. doi:10.3390/w8100432
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.
Soil Moisture Levels in the Upper Feather River Watershed Soil Moisture Levels in the Upper Feather River Watershed
Explore real-time soil moisture data by clicking on each point. Access site-specific USGS NWIS Water Data pages for time-series data on soil temperature, electrical conductance, and moisture. Some sites also include NRCS soil profile descriptions.
Basin Characterization Model (BCM) Basin Characterization Model (BCM)
The Basin Characterization Model (BCM) models the interactions of climate with empirically measured landscape attributes including topography, soils, and underlying geology. It is a grid-based model that calculates the water balance for each 18-acre cell (270m resolution) in a given watershed in set time steps for the entire area.
Science and Products
Sentinel Site Modeling
The California Department of Fish and Wildlife (CDFW) installed more than 40 climate and biodiversity monitoring stations, called sentinel sites, on public lands across the state. These sites collect detailed data on things like temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, and more to track how the environment is changing. Each site is meant to reflect conditions in the surrounding area, but...
Culturally Prescribed Fire
Culturally prescribed burning has been long practiced by the Yurok Tribe for a variety of reasons. This study explores using culturally prescribed fire as a land management tool for increasing the resiliency of streams and watersheds.
Incorporating Impacts of Wildfire and Vegetation Recovery into a Watershed Model of the Feather River Basin
Changes in vegetation in a large watershed due to wildfire can have a substantial influence on actual evapotranspiration rates and water availability. After a large, intense wildfire, evapotranspiration rates are expected to decrease. As vegetation reestablishes, the evapotranspiration rates increase over a period of years, back to pre-fire conditions. Watershed models typically use input layers...
Rendering High-Resolution Hydro-Climatic Data for Southern California
Natural resource managers and researchers often need long-term averages of historical and future climate scenarios for their study area yet may not have the resources to make these summaries. This project will provide high quality, detailed maps of historical and projected future climate and hydrologic conditions for California and a finer scale version for southern California. The...
Monitoring and modeling soil moisture to improve runoff forecasting and drought characterization in the Feather River Basin
Drought, along with recent wildfires, have had enormous impacts downstream on water quantity and quality. These conditions have greatly impacted the agriculture and the residents of the nearby Central Valley.
New Technologies for Mapping Surface Soil Moisture Over Wildfire-Prone Landscapes
A partnership between the USGS, Pepperwood Preserve, and Black Swift LLC aims to map soil and fuel moisture over wildfire-prone landscapes.
Improving Water Resilience and Availability Through Culturally Prescribed Fires as a Management Tool on Yurok Tribal Lands
Climate Change is making our environment unpredictable. Increased persistence of drought is causing deaths of plants and animals across our landscapes. However, drought amongst the western United States is not a new thing. Native American populations have been living with drought since time immemorial and practiced culturally prescribed fire practices to foster the landscape for an...
Sediment transport, streamflow, and climate change: long-term resilience of the Bay-Delta
Sediment supply is important to the health of the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta and San Francisco Bay (Bay-Delta) ecosystem. Sediment eroded from upland source areas in the Sacramento and San Joaquin watersheds is transported through the rivers to the Bay-Delta where it is deposited in mudflats and tidal wetlands, which in turn helps protect against the effects of sea-level rise. Sediment...
Soil moisture datasets at five sites in the central Sierra Nevada and northern Coast Ranges, California
Soil moisture is a critical variable for understanding the impacts of drought on ecological, hydrological, and agricultural systems, as soil moisture content has a direct affect on runoff amounts. Runoff occurs as the result of precipitation (both rainfall and snowfall) that is in excess of the demands of evaporation from land surfaces, transpiration from vegetation, and infiltration into soils...
Researching Climate Conditions for CAL FIRE Wildfire Restoration Efforts
In California, drought and warmer climates have increased the prevalence, severity, and duration of wildfires. These fires have destroyed over 129 million trees. In the aftermath of this devastation, there is heightened urgency to increase the capacity of seedling production, particularly for the lower-elevation and private lands that CAL FIRE is responsible to help manage. To support CAL FIRE in...
Basin Characterization Model (BCM)
The Basin Characterization Model (BCM) is a simple grid-based model that calculates the water balance for any time step or spatial scale by using climate inputs, precipitation, minimum and maximum air temperature. The BCM can translate fine-scale maps of climate trends and projections into the hydrologic consequences, to permit evaluation of the impacts to water availability at regional, watershed...
Increasing Soil Organic Carbon to Mitigate Greenhouse Gases and Increase Climate Resiliency for California
Rising air temperatures are projected to continue to drive up urban, agricultural, and rangeland water use, straining both surface and groundwater resources. Scientific studies have shown that managing farms, ranches, and public lands to increase soil carbon can increase soil waterholding capacity and increase hydrologic benefits such as increased baseflows and aquifer recharge, reduced flooding...
Filter Total Items: 14
Fine Scale Historical Climate and Hydrology for Sentinel Monitoring Locations in California using the Basin Characterization Model (BCM) Fine Scale Historical Climate and Hydrology for Sentinel Monitoring Locations in California using the Basin Characterization Model (BCM)
This data release includes downscaled climate inputs and hydrologic outputs from 41 Basin Characterization Models (BCM) version 8 (v8), described in Flint and others (2021), with a 10 by 10-meter spatial resolution at monthly intervals from water years 1896 to 2023. Forty-one (41) models were developed for sentinel monitoring locations in Wildlife Areas and Ecological Reserves in...
Upper Feather River Watershed 30-meter Basin Characterization Model - Monthly Historical Climate and Hydrology Upper Feather River Watershed 30-meter Basin Characterization Model - Monthly Historical Climate and Hydrology
Note: This data release has been deprecated. A new version is currently in press. This data release includes downscaled climate inputs and hydrologic outputs from the Basin Characterization Model (BCM) version 8 (v8), described in Flint et al. (2021a), in a 30 by 30-meter spatial resolution at a monthly time step from water years 1896 to 2023 for the upper Feather River watershed. This...
Historical and future simulated streamflow and sediment loads from Clear Lake tributaries in California Historical and future simulated streamflow and sediment loads from Clear Lake tributaries in California
This dataset includes simulated streamflow and sediment discharge for major tributaries contributing to Clear Lake, California. Historical hourly streamflow and sediment for each tributary location were outputs from an Hydrological Simulation Program - FORTRAN (HSPF) model. The historical data is available at an hourly time step from October 1980 to March 2024. The future time series...
Geochemical and isotopic data for soils and sediments from the Clear Lake drainage basin, Lake County, California (ver. 2.0, August 2025) Geochemical and isotopic data for soils and sediments from the Clear Lake drainage basin, Lake County, California (ver. 2.0, August 2025)
This dataset includes geochemical, isotopic, and particle-size data for soil and sediment samples collected at approximately 500 sites in the Clear Lake drainage basin, Lake County, California, between November 2021 and December 2023. Data are also reported for ten soil samples collected during October 2018 soon after the Ranch Fire in the upper Scotts Creek watershed. Samples of lakebed...
Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) for the Salton Sea Watershed - Monthly Historical (water years 1896-2023) Climate and Hydrology Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) for the Salton Sea Watershed - Monthly Historical (water years 1896-2023) Climate and Hydrology
This data release contains monthly 270-meter gridded Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) climate inputs and hydrologic outputs for the Salton Sea Watershed, which crosses the international border into Mexico in the southern part of the basin. Downscaled gridded climate inputs (Daly et al., 2008) for the California portion of the BCM (Flint et al, 2021) include: precipitation (ppt)...
Future Climate and Hydrology from Twenty Localized Constructed Analog (LOCA) Scenarios and the Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) (ver. 1.1, November 2024) Future Climate and Hydrology from Twenty Localized Constructed Analog (LOCA) Scenarios and the Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) (ver. 1.1, November 2024)
This data release contains monthly 270-meter resolution Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) climate and hydrologic variables for Localized Constructed Analog (LOCA; Pierce et al., 2014)-downscaled Global Climate Models (GCMs) for Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 (medium-low emissions) and 8.5 (high emissions) for hydrologic California. The 20 future climate scenarios...
Aerial imagery and other remotely-sensed data from a UAS survey of Pepperwood Preserve, Sonoma County, CA Aerial imagery and other remotely-sensed data from a UAS survey of Pepperwood Preserve, Sonoma County, CA
This data release contains Uncrewed Aircraft System (UAS) imagery from three data collection campaigns (flights) over the Pepperwood Preserve in Sonoma County, California. Each child item contains: 1) Orthophoto, 2) Thermal, 3) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), 4) L-band microwave brightness temperature (Tb), 5) Estimated soil moisture, and 6) Digital elevation model from...
Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) for California Coastal Basins - Monthly Historical (water years 1896-2019) and Future (water years 2006-2099) Climate and Hydrology Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) for California Coastal Basins - Monthly Historical (water years 1896-2019) and Future (water years 2006-2099) Climate and Hydrology
This data release contains monthly 270-meter gridded Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) climate inputs and hydrologic outputs for 17 California Coastal Basins (Eel River, Fort Bragg, Fort Ross, Klamath, Los Angeles, Mad River, Mattole, Napa Sonoma, Russian River, Salinas, San Diego, San Francisco Coastal South, Santa Clara River Valley, Santa Clara River Valley South Bay, Smith, South...
Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models: Climate Data Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models: Climate Data
This digital dataset contains the climate data used for the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models (Salinas Valley Integrated Hydrologic Model (SVIHM) and Salinas Valley Operational Model (SVOM)). The monthly climate data for the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models are based on the regional climate data for the Salinas Valley Hydrologic System [Hevesi and others, 2022]. To develop the...
Salinas Valley Hydrologic System: Regional Climate Data (ver 2.0, February 2025) Salinas Valley Hydrologic System: Regional Climate Data (ver 2.0, February 2025)
This digital dataset contains the climate data used for the Salinas Valley Hydrologic System, including the Salinas Valley Watershed Model (SVWM) and the Lower Salinas Valley Hydrologic Models (Salinas Valley Integrated Hydrologic Model (SVIHM) and Salinas Valley Operational Model (SVOM)). The climate data include spatially distributed daily precipitation, maximum and minimum air...
Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) monthly recharge and runoff for the Anza-Cahuilla Groundwater Basin, California Basin Characterization Model (BCMv8) monthly recharge and runoff for the Anza-Cahuilla Groundwater Basin, California
This dataset provides monthly and average annual long-term estimates (water years 1981-2010) of gridded recharge and runoff from water years 1896-2018 for the Anza-Cahuilla Groundwater Basin in southern California. Gridded data are available in flat ASCII files (*.asc) in the NAD83 California Teale Albers projection. This dataset also includes streamflow calibration basins and stations...
The Basin Characterization Model - A monthly regional water balance software package (BCMv8) data release and model archive for hydrologic California (ver. 5.0, June 2025) The Basin Characterization Model - A monthly regional water balance software package (BCMv8) data release and model archive for hydrologic California (ver. 5.0, June 2025)
This data release accompanies the USGS Techniques and Methods report titled: "The Basin Characterization Model - A Regional Water Balance Software Package", and includes all necessary Basin Characterization Model version 8 (BCMv8) inputs and outputs for water years 1896 to 2024. The BCMv8 was refined from the previous BCMv65 version to improve the accuracy of the water-balance components...
Filter Total Items: 14
Hydrological Simulation Program - FORTRAN (HSPF) Hydrological Simulation Program - FORTRAN (HSPF)
No abstract available.
Authors
Michelle Stern, Charles Alpers
Discovery and potential ramifications of reduced iron-bearing nanoparticles — Magnetite, wüstite, and zero-valent iron — In wildland–urban interface fire ashes Discovery and potential ramifications of reduced iron-bearing nanoparticles — Magnetite, wüstite, and zero-valent iron — In wildland–urban interface fire ashes
The increase in fires at the wildland–urban interface has raised concerns about the potential environmental impact of ash remaining after burning. Here, we examined the concentrations and speciation of iron-bearing nanoparticles in wildland–urban interface ash. Total iron concentrations in ash varied between 4 and 66 mg g−1. Synchrotron X-ray absorption near-edge structure (XANES)...
Authors
Mohammed Baalousha, Morgane Desmau, Sheryl A. Singerling, Jackson Webster, Sandrine Matiasek, Michelle Stern, Charles Alpers
Selecting the optimal fine-scale historical climate data for assessing current and future hydrological conditions Selecting the optimal fine-scale historical climate data for assessing current and future hydrological conditions
High-resolution historical climate grids are readily available and frequently used as inputs for a wide range of regional management and risk assessments, including water supply, ecological processes, and as baseline for climate change impact studies that compare them to future projected conditions. Because historical gridded climates are produced using various methods, their portrayal...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint, Ryan Boynton, Joseph Stewart, Jessica Wright, James Thorne
A basin-scale approach to estimating recharge in the desert: Anza-Cahuilla groundwater basin, CA A basin-scale approach to estimating recharge in the desert: Anza-Cahuilla groundwater basin, CA
The Anza-Cahuilla groundwater basin located mainly in the semi-arid headwaters of the Santa Margarita River watershed in southern California is the principle source of groundwater for a rural disadvantaged community and two Native American Tribes, the Ramona Band of Cahuilla and the Cahuilla. Groundwater in the study area is derived entirely from precipitation and managing groundwater...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint, Allen Christensen
Amplified impact of climate change on fine-sediment delivery to a subsiding coast, Humboldt Bay, California Amplified impact of climate change on fine-sediment delivery to a subsiding coast, Humboldt Bay, California
In Humboldt Bay, tectonic subsidence exacerbates sea-level rise (SLR). To build surface elevations and to keep pace with SLR, the sediment demand created by subsidence and SLR must be balanced by an adequate sediment supply. This study used an ensemble of plausible future scenarios to predict potential climate change impacts on suspended-sediment discharge (Qss) from fluvial sources...
Authors
Jennifer Curtis, Lorraine Flint, Michelle Stern, Jack Lewis, Randy Klein
The basin characterization model—A regional water balance software package The basin characterization model—A regional water balance software package
This report documents the computer software package, Basin Characterization Model, version 8 (BCMv8)—a monthly, gridded, regional water-balance model—and provides detailed operational instructions and example applications. After several years of many applications and uses of a previous version, CA-BCM, published in 2014, the BCMv8 was refined to improve the accuracy of the water-balance...
Authors
Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint, Michelle Stern
The future of sediment transport and streamflow under a changing climate and the implications for long-term resilience of the San Francisco Bay-Delta The future of sediment transport and streamflow under a changing climate and the implications for long-term resilience of the San Francisco Bay-Delta
Sedimentation and turbidity have effects on habitat suitability in the San Francisco Bay‐Delta (Bay‐Delta), concerning key species in the bay as well as the ability of the delta marshes to keep pace with sea level rise. A daily rainfall runoff and transport model of the Sacramento River Basin of northern California was developed to simulate streamflow and suspended sediment transport to...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Lorraine Flint, Alan L Flint, Noah Knowles, Scott Wright
PFHydro: A new watershed-scale model for post-fire runoff simulation PFHydro: A new watershed-scale model for post-fire runoff simulation
Runoff increases after wildfires that burn vegetation and create a condition of soil-water repellence (SWR). A new post-fire watershed hydrological model, PFHydro, was created to explicitly simulate vegetation interception and SWR effects for four burn severity categories: high, medium, low severity and unburned. The model was applied to simulate post-fire runoff from the Upper Cache...
Authors
Jun Wang, Michelle Stern, Vanessa King, Charles Alpers, Nigel Quinn, Alan Flint, Lorraine Flint
Characterization of hydrology and sediment transport following drought and wildfire in Cache Creek, California Characterization of hydrology and sediment transport following drought and wildfire in Cache Creek, California
The worst drought in California in over 1,200 years occurred between 2012-2017 (Griffin, 2014), depleting surface water and groundwater supply and drying out the soils past wilting point. In the summer of 2015, the Jerusalem and Rocky fires burned roughly 40,000 acres within the Cache Creek watershed. To fully characterize the post-fire effects in the Cache Creek watershed, an hourly...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint
A multi-scale soil moisture monitoring strategy for California: Design and validation A multi-scale soil moisture monitoring strategy for California: Design and validation
A multi‐scale soil moisture monitoring strategy for California was designed to inform water resource management. The proposed workflow classifies soil moisture response units (SMRUs) using publicly available datasets that represent soil, vegetation, climate, and hydrology variables, which control soil water storage. The SMRUs were classified, using principal component analysis and...
Authors
Jennifer Curtis, Lorraine Flint, Michelle Stern
Increasing soil organic carbon to mitigate greenhouse gases and increase climate resiliency for California Increasing soil organic carbon to mitigate greenhouse gases and increase climate resiliency for California
Rising air temperatures are projected to continue to drive up urban, agricultural, and rangeland water use, straining both surface and groundwater resources. Scientific studies have shown that managing farms, ranches, and public lands to increase soil carbon can increase soil waterholding capacity and increase hydrologic benefits such as increased baseflows and aquifer recharge, reduced...
Authors
Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint, Michelle Stern, Allegra Mayer, Whendee Silver, Clyde Casey, Fabiano Franco, Kristin Byrd, Benjamin Sleeter, P. Alvarez, J. Creque, T. Estrada, D. Cameron
Soil moisture datasets at five sites in the central Sierra Nevada and northern Coast Ranges, California Soil moisture datasets at five sites in the central Sierra Nevada and northern Coast Ranges, California
In situ soil moisture datasets are important inputs used to calibrate and validate watershed, regional, or statewide modeled and satellite-based soil moisture estimates. The soil moisture dataset presented in this report includes hourly time series of the following: soil temperature, volumetric water content, water potential, and total soil water content. Data were collected by the U.S...
Authors
Michelle Stern, Frank Anderson, Lorraine Flint, Alan Flint
Non-USGS Publications**
Stern, M.A., Flint, L.E., Minear, J.T., Flint, A.L., Wright, S.A., Characterizing Changes in Streamflow and Sediment Supply in the Sacramento River Basin, California, Using Hydrological Simulation Program—FORTRAN (HSPF). Water. 2016; 8(10):432. doi:10.3390/w8100432
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.
Soil Moisture Levels in the Upper Feather River Watershed Soil Moisture Levels in the Upper Feather River Watershed
Explore real-time soil moisture data by clicking on each point. Access site-specific USGS NWIS Water Data pages for time-series data on soil temperature, electrical conductance, and moisture. Some sites also include NRCS soil profile descriptions.
Basin Characterization Model (BCM) Basin Characterization Model (BCM)
The Basin Characterization Model (BCM) models the interactions of climate with empirically measured landscape attributes including topography, soils, and underlying geology. It is a grid-based model that calculates the water balance for each 18-acre cell (270m resolution) in a given watershed in set time steps for the entire area.