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Publications

FORT scientists have produced more than 2000 peer reviewed publications that are registered in the USGS Publications Warehouse, along with many others prior to their work at the USGS or in conjunction with other government agencies. 

Filter Total Items: 2397

Predicting persistence of Rio Grande Cutthroat Trout populations in an uncertain future Predicting persistence of Rio Grande Cutthroat Trout populations in an uncertain future

The Rio Grande Cutthroat Trout Oncorhynchus clarkii virginalis (RGCT ) occupies just 12% of its ancestral range. As the southernmost subspecies of Cutthroat Trout, we expect a warming climate to bring additional stressors to RGCT populations, such as increased stream temperatures, reduced streamflows, and increased incidence of wildfire. We developed a Bayesian network (BN ) model using...
Authors
Mathew P. Zeigler, Kevin B. Rogers, James Roberts, Andrew Todd, Kurt D. Fausch

Interactions between resident risk perceptions and wildfire risk mitigation: Evidence from simultaneous equations modeling Interactions between resident risk perceptions and wildfire risk mitigation: Evidence from simultaneous equations modeling

Fire science emphasizes that mitigation actions on residential property, including structural hardening and maintaining defensible space, can reduce the risk of wildfire at a home. Accordingly, a rich body of social science literature investigates the determinants of wildfire risk mitigation behaviors of residents living in fire-prone areas. Here, we investigate relationships among...
Authors
James R. Meldrum, Hannah Brenkert-Smith, Patricia A. Champ, Jamie Gomez, Lilia C. Falk, Christopher M. Barth

Using scenarios to evaluate vulnerability of grassland communities to climate change in the Southern Great Plains of the United States Using scenarios to evaluate vulnerability of grassland communities to climate change in the Southern Great Plains of the United States

Scenario planning is a useful tool for identifying key vulnerabilities of ecological systems to changing climates, informed by the potential outcomes for a set of divergent, plausible, and relevant climate scenarios. We evaluated potential vulnerabilities of grassland communities to changing climate in the Southern Great Plains (SGP) and the Landscape Conservation Design pilot area (LCD)...
Authors
Daniel J. Manier, Natasha B. Carr, Gordon C. Reese, Lucy Burris

Genetic mark‐recapture analysis of winter faecal pellets allows estimation of population size in Sage Grouse Centrocercus urophasianus Genetic mark‐recapture analysis of winter faecal pellets allows estimation of population size in Sage Grouse Centrocercus urophasianus

The Sage Grouse Centrocercus urophasianus is a species of conservation concern throughout its range in western North America. Since the 1950s, the high count of males at leks has been used as an index for monitoring populations. However, the relationship between this lek‐count index and population size is unclear, and its reliability for assessing population trends has been questioned...
Authors
Jessica E Shyvers, Brett L Walker, Sara J. Oyler-McCance, Jennifer A. Fike, Barry R. Noon

Genomic identity of white oak species in an eastern North American syngameon Genomic identity of white oak species in an eastern North American syngameon

The eastern North American white oaks, a complex of approximately 16 potentially interbreeding species, have become a classic model for studying the genetic nature of species in a syngameon. Genetic work over the past two decades has demonstrated the reality of oak species, but gene flow between sympatric oaks raises the question of whether there are conserved regions of the genome that...
Authors
Andrew Hipp, Alan T. Whittemore, Mira Garner, Marlene Hahn, Elisabeth Fitzek, Erwan Guichoux, Jeannine Cavender-Bares, Paul F. Gugger, Paul Manos, Ian S. Pearse, Chuck Cannon

From Manitoba to Texas: A study of the population genetic structure of bur oak (Quercus macrocarpa) From Manitoba to Texas: A study of the population genetic structure of bur oak (Quercus macrocarpa)

In the taxonomic world, the oaks are known as a rambunctious group, notorious for hybridizing. In this report, we present preliminary information to address the question of how much hybridization is occurring between bur oak and white oaks with which it is sympatric, through rangewide sampling of bur oak and five co-occurring species: white oak (Q. alba L.), swamp white oak (Q. bicolor...
Authors
Mira Garner, Kasey Pham, Alan T. Whittemore, Jeannine Cavender-Bares, Paul F. Gugger, Paul Manos, Ian S. Pearse, Andrew Hipp

Insect herbivores on urban native oak trees Insect herbivores on urban native oak trees

Oak trees host an amazing diversity of insects, many of which specialize on Quercus species. Oak species and genotypes are commonly planted far from where an acorn was produced. Urban plantings, restoration sites, and plantings anticipating climate change each cause this to happen. What evidence exists that provenance of oak plantings affects herbivores such as galls and leaf miners? And...
Authors
Ian Pearse

Responding to risky neighbors: Testing for spatial spillover effects for defensible space in a fire-prone WUI community Responding to risky neighbors: Testing for spatial spillover effects for defensible space in a fire-prone WUI community

Often, factors that determine the risk of an environmental hazard occur at landscape scales, and risk mitigation requires action by multiple private property owners. How property owners respond to risk mitigation on neighboring lands depends on whether mitigation actions are strategic complements or strategic substitutes. We test for these neighbor interactions with a case study on...
Authors
Travis Warziniack, Patricia A. Champ, James R. Meldrum, Hannah Brenkert-Smith, Christopher M. Barth, Lilia C. Falk

Species profile: Quercus parvula Species profile: Quercus parvula

No abstract available.
Authors
Emily Beckman, Ian S. Pearse, Abby Meyer, Murphy Westwood

Agri-tourism and rural outdoor recreation in the US: A framework for understanding economic and employment dynamics Agri-tourism and rural outdoor recreation in the US: A framework for understanding economic and employment dynamics

Agri-tourism and rural outdoor recreation are positioned at an important intersection between agricultural, natural resource, economic development and rural issues. This chapter summarizes some of the important dynamics of these sectors, including the role of land use, regional drivers, motivations for farmers and travelers, and economic impacts. As a means to illustrate several key...
Authors
Dawn Thilmany, Rebecca Hill, Michelle Haefele, Anders van Sandt, Catherine Cullinane Thomas, Martha Sullins, Sarah Low

Fire severity and changing composition of forest understory plant communities Fire severity and changing composition of forest understory plant communities

Questions Gradients of fire severity in dry conifer forests can be associated with variation in understory floristic composition. Recent work in dry conifer forests in California, USA, has suggested that more severely burned stands contain more thermophilic taxa (those associated with warmer and drier conditions), and that forest disturbance may therefore accelerate floristic shifts...
Authors
Jens Stevens, Jesse Miller, Paula J. Fornwalt

The importance of simulation assumptions when evaluating detectability in population models The importance of simulation assumptions when evaluating detectability in population models

Population monitoring is important for investigating a variety of ecological questions, and N-mixture models are increasingly used to model population size (N) and trends (lambda) while estimating detectability (p) from repeated counts within primary periods (when populations are closed to changes). Extending these models to dynamic processes with serial dependence across primary periods...
Authors
Adrian P. Monroe, Gregory T. Wann, Cameron L. Aldridge, Peter S. Coates
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