Publications
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An updated method for estimating landslide‐event magnitude An updated method for estimating landslide‐event magnitude
Summary statistics derived from the frequency–area distribution (FAD) of inventories of triggered landslides allows for direct comparison of landslides triggered by one event (e.g. earthquake, rainstorm) with another. Such comparisons are vital to understand links between the landslide‐event and the environmental characteristics of the area affected. This could lead to methods for rapid...
Authors
Hakan Tanyas, Kate Allstadt, Cees van Weston
Combining conflicting Bayesian models to develop paleoseismic records—An example from the Wasatch Fault Zone, Utah Combining conflicting Bayesian models to develop paleoseismic records—An example from the Wasatch Fault Zone, Utah
Bayesian statistical analyses of paleoseismic data result in the probabilistic determination of earthquake times using geochronological data evaluated in the context of a stratigraphic model. However, a fundamental problem in paleoseismology is how to use the Bayesian approach to model sparse and/or conflicting geochronological datasets, such as those derived from sites exhibiting...
Authors
Christopher DuRoss, Scott Bennett, Richard Briggs, Stephen Personius, Ryan Gold, Nadine G. Reitman, Adam Hiscock, Shannon Mahan
Using stereo satellite imagery to account for ablation, entrainment, and compaction in volume calculations for rock avalanches on Glaciers: Application to the 2016 Lamplugh Rock Avalanche in Glacier Bay National Park, Alaska Using stereo satellite imagery to account for ablation, entrainment, and compaction in volume calculations for rock avalanches on Glaciers: Application to the 2016 Lamplugh Rock Avalanche in Glacier Bay National Park, Alaska
The use of preevent and postevent digital elevation models (DEMs) to estimate the volume of rock avalanches on glaciers is complicated by ablation of ice before and after the rock avalanche, scour of material during rock avalanche emplacement, and postevent ablation and compaction of the rock avalanche deposit. We present a model to account for these processes in volume estimates of rock
Authors
Erin Bessette-Kirton, Jeffrey Coe, Wendy Zhou
ShakeMap-based prediction of earthquake-induced mass movements in Switzerland calibrated on historical observations ShakeMap-based prediction of earthquake-induced mass movements in Switzerland calibrated on historical observations
In Switzerland, nearly all historical Mw ~ 6 earthquakes have induced damaging landslides, rockslides and snow avalanches that, in some cases, also resulted in damage to infrastructure and loss of lives. We describe the customisation to Swiss conditions of a globally calibrated statistical approach originally developed to rapidly assess earthquake-induced landslide likelihoods worldwide...
Authors
Carlo Cauzzi, Donat Fah, David Wald, John Clinton, Stephane Losey, Stefan Wiemer
Analysis of mean seismic ground motion and its uncertainty based on the UCERF3 geologic slip rate model with uncertainty for California Analysis of mean seismic ground motion and its uncertainty based on the UCERF3 geologic slip rate model with uncertainty for California
The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast v.3 (UCERF3) model (Field et al., 2014) considers epistemic uncertainty in fault‐slip rate via the inclusion of multiple rate models based on geologic and/or geodetic data. However, these slip rates are commonly clustered about their mean value and do not reflect the broader distribution of possible rates and associated probabilities...
Authors
Yuehua Zeng
Landslides triggered by the 14 November 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikōura Earthquake, New Zealand Landslides triggered by the 14 November 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikōura Earthquake, New Zealand
The 14 November 2016 MwMw 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake generated more than 10,000 landslides over a total area of about 10,000 km210,000 km2, with the majority concentrated in a smaller area of about 3600 km23600 km2. The largest landslide triggered by the earthquake had an approximate volume of 20(±2) M m320(±2) M m3, with a runout distance of about 2.7 km, forming a dam on the Hapuku...
Authors
C. Massey, D. Townsend, Ellen Rathje, Kate Allstadt, B. Lukovic, Yoshihiro Kaneko, Brendon Bradley, J. Wartman, Randall Jibson, D. N. Petley, Nick Horspool, I. Hamling, J. Carey, S. Cox, John Davidson, S. Dellow, Jonathan Godt, Christopher Holden, Katherine Jones, Anna Kaiser, M. Little, B. Lyndsell, S. McColl, R. Morgenstern, Francis Rengers, D. Rhoades, B. Rosser, D. Strong, C. Singeisen, M. Villeneuve
Laboratory tests of three Z‐Land Fairfield Nodal 5‐Hz, three‐component sensors Laboratory tests of three Z‐Land Fairfield Nodal 5‐Hz, three‐component sensors
We conduct a number of laboratory tests at the Albuquerque Seismological Laboratory to verify the self‐noise and fidelity in which 3 three‐component Fairfield Nodal Z‐Land, Generation 2, 5‐Hz sensors are able to record seismic signals. In addition to the incoherent self‐noise of the sensors, we estimate the sensitivity of the units in digital volts/m/s, the damping, and the free period...
Authors
Adam Ringler, Robert Anthony, M.S Karplus, Austin Holland, David Wilson
Ensemble smoothed seismicity models for the new Italian Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Map Ensemble smoothed seismicity models for the new Italian Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Map
We develop a long‐term (a few decades or longer) earthquake rate forecast for Italy based on smoothed seismicity for incorporation in the 2017–2018 Italian Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Maps (IPSHM). Because the earthquake rate models from previous IPSHM were computed using source zones that were drawn around seismicity and tectonic provinces, the present model will be the first...
Authors
Aybige Akinci, Morgan Moschetti, Matteo Taroni
On the feasibility of real-time mapping of the geoelectric field across North America On the feasibility of real-time mapping of the geoelectric field across North America
A review is given of the present feasibility for accurately mapping geoelectric fields across North America in near-realtime by modeling geomagnetic monitoring and magnetotelluric survey data. Should this capability be successfully developed, it could inform utility companies of magnetic-storm interference on electric-power-grid systems. That real-time mapping of geoelectric fields is a...
Authors
Jeffrey Love, E. Rigler, Anna Kelbert, Carol Finn, Paul Bedrosian, Christopher Balch
An updated stress map of the continental U.S. reveals heterogeneous intraplate stress An updated stress map of the continental U.S. reveals heterogeneous intraplate stress
Knowledge of the state of stress in the Earth’s crust is key to understanding the forces and processes responsible for earthquakes. Historically, low rates of natural seismicity in the central and eastern United States have complicated efforts to understand intraplate stress, but recent improvements in seismic networks and the spread of human-induced seismicity have greatly improved data...
Authors
Will Levandowski, Robert Hermann, Richard Briggs, Oliver Boyd, Ryan Gold
Integrating real-time subsurface hydrologic monitoring with empirical rainfall thresholds to improve landslide early warning Integrating real-time subsurface hydrologic monitoring with empirical rainfall thresholds to improve landslide early warning
Early warning for rainfall-induced shallow landsliding can help reduce fatalities and economic losses. Although these commonly occurring landslides are typically triggered by subsurface hydrological processes, most early warning criteria rely exclusively on empirical rainfall thresholds and other indirect proxies for subsurface wetness. We explore the utility of explicitly accounting for
Authors
Benjamin Mirus, Rachel Becker, Rex Baum, Joel Smith
Seismicity in the Challis, Idaho region, January 2014 - May 2017: Late aftershocks of the 1983 Ms 7.3 Borah Peak earthquake Seismicity in the Challis, Idaho region, January 2014 - May 2017: Late aftershocks of the 1983 Ms 7.3 Borah Peak earthquake
In April 2014, after about 20 yrs of relatively low seismicity, an energetic earthquake sequence (maximum ML 4.8) began 25–30 km northwest of the 1983 Ms 7.3 Borah Peak earthquake rupture area near the town of Challis, Idaho. This sequence ended in the fall of 2014, but in January 2015, a second energetic sequence (maximum ML 5.0) began about 20 km to the southeast. Modest seismicity has...
Authors
Guanning Pang, Keith Koper, Michael Stickney, James Pechmann, Relu Burlacu, Kristine Pankow, Suzette Payne, Harley Benz