Publications
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A fault-based model for crustal deformation, fault slip-rates and off-fault strain rate in California A fault-based model for crustal deformation, fault slip-rates and off-fault strain rate in California
We invert Global Positioning System (GPS) velocity data to estimate fault slip rates in California using a fault‐based crustal deformation model with geologic constraints. The model assumes buried elastic dislocations across the region using Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Version 3 (UCERF3) fault geometries. New GPS velocity and geologic slip‐rate data were compiled by...
Authors
Yuehua Zeng, Zheng-Kang Shen
Differences in coastal subsidence in southern Oregon (USA) during at least six prehistoric megathrust earthquakes Differences in coastal subsidence in southern Oregon (USA) during at least six prehistoric megathrust earthquakes
Stratigraphic, sedimentologic (including CT 3D X-ray tomography scans), foraminiferal, and radiocarbon analyses show that at least six of seven abrupt peat-to-mud contacts in cores from a tidal marsh at Talbot Creek (South Slough, Coos Bay), record sudden subsidence (relative sea-level rise) during great megathrust earthquakes at the Cascadia subduction zone. Data for one contact are...
Authors
Yvonne Milker, Alan Nelson, Benjamin Horton, Simon Engelhart, Lee-Ann Bradley, Robert C. Witter
Three-dimensional surface deformation derived from airborne interferometric UAVSAR: Application to the Slumgullion Landslide Three-dimensional surface deformation derived from airborne interferometric UAVSAR: Application to the Slumgullion Landslide
In order to provide surface geodetic measurements with “landslide-wide” spatial coverage, we develop and validate a method for the characterization of 3-D surface deformation using the unique capabilities of the Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Synthetic Aperture Radar (UAVSAR) airborne repeat-pass radar interferometry system. We apply our method at the well-studied Slumgullion Landslide...
Authors
Brent Delbridge, Roland Burgmann, Eric Fielding, Scott Hensley, William Schulz
A study of the 2015 Mw 8.3 Illapel earthquake and tsunami: Numerical and analytical approaches A study of the 2015 Mw 8.3 Illapel earthquake and tsunami: Numerical and analytical approaches
The September 16, 2015 Illapel, Chile earthquake triggered a large tsunami, causing both economic losses and fatalities. To study the coastal effects of this earthquake, and to understand how such hazards might be accurately modeled in the future, different finite fault models of the Illapel rupture are used to define the initial condition for tsunami simulation. The numerical code Non...
Authors
Mauricio Fuentes, Sebastian Riquelme, Gavin Hayes, Miguel Medina, Diego Melgar, Gabriel Vargas, Jose Gonzalez, Angelo Villalobos
Likelihood testing of seismicity-based rate forecasts of induced earthquakes in Oklahoma and Kansas Likelihood testing of seismicity-based rate forecasts of induced earthquakes in Oklahoma and Kansas
Likelihood testing of induced earthquakes in Oklahoma and Kansas has identified the parameters that optimize the forecasting ability of smoothed seismicity models and quantified the recent temporal stability of the spatial seismicity patterns. Use of the most recent 1-year period of earthquake data and use of 10–20-km smoothing distances produced the greatest likelihood. The likelihood...
Authors
Morgan Moschetti, Susan Hoover, Charles Mueller
Earthquake forecast for the Wasatch Front region of the Intermountain West Earthquake forecast for the Wasatch Front region of the Intermountain West
The Working Group on Utah Earthquake Probabilities has assessed the probability of large earthquakes in the Wasatch Front region. There is a 43 percent probability of one or more magnitude 6.75 or greater earthquakes and a 57 percent probability of one or more magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquakes in the region in the next 50 years. These results highlight the threat of large earthquakes...
Authors
Christopher B. DuRoss
An overview of current applications, challenges, and future trends in distributed process-based models in hydrology An overview of current applications, challenges, and future trends in distributed process-based models in hydrology
Process-based hydrological models have a long history dating back to the 1960s. Criticized by some as over-parameterized, overly complex, and difficult to use, a more nuanced view is that these tools are necessary in many situations and, in a certain class of problems, they are the most appropriate type of hydrological model. This is especially the case in situations where knowledge of...
Authors
Simone Fatichi, Enrique Vivoni, Fred Odgen, Valeriy Ivanov, Benjamin Mirus, David Gochis, Charles Downer, Matteo Camporese, Jason Davison, Brian Ebel, Norm Jones, Jon Kim, Giuseppe Mascaro, Richard Niswonger, Pedro Restrepo, Riccardo Rigon, Chaopeng Shen, Mauro Sulis, David Tarboton
RMT focal plane sensitivity to seismic network geometry and faulting style RMT focal plane sensitivity to seismic network geometry and faulting style
Modern tectonic studies often use regional moment tensors (RMTs) to interpret the seismotectonic framework of an earthquake or earthquake sequence; however, despite extensive use, little existing work addresses RMT parameter uncertainty. Here, we quantify how network geometry and faulting style affect RMT sensitivity. We examine how data-model fits change with fault plane geometry...
Authors
Kendra Johnson, Gavin Hayes, Robert B. Herrmann, Harley Benz, Daniel McNamara, Eric Bergman
Seismic site characterization of an urban dedimentary basin, Livermore Valley, California: Site tesponse, basin-edge-induced surface waves, and 3D simulations Seismic site characterization of an urban dedimentary basin, Livermore Valley, California: Site tesponse, basin-edge-induced surface waves, and 3D simulations
Thirty‐two accelerometers were deployed in the Livermore Valley, California, for approximately one year to study sedimentary basin effects. Many local and near‐regional earthquakes were recorded, including the 24 August 2014 Mw 6.0 Napa, California, earthquake. The resulting ground‐motion data set is used to quantify the seismic response of the Livermore basin, a major structural...
Authors
Stephen Hartzell, Alena Leeds, Leonardo Ramirez-Guzman, James Allen, Robert Schmitt
The Galapagos archipelago: A natural laboratory to examine sharp hydroclimatic, geologic and anthropogenic gradients The Galapagos archipelago: A natural laboratory to examine sharp hydroclimatic, geologic and anthropogenic gradients
Poor understanding of the water cycle in tropical ecosystems has the potential to exacerbate water shortages and water crises in the region. We suggest that the Galápagos Islands provide an excellent proxy to regions across the tropics as a result of sharp hydroclimatic, anthropogenic, and pedohydrologic gradients across the archipelago. Hydroclimatic and pedohydrologic gradients are...
Authors
Madelyn Percy, Sarah Schmitt, Diego Riveros-Iregui, Benjamin Mirus
Relationships between diatoms and tidal environments in Oregon and Washington, USA Relationships between diatoms and tidal environments in Oregon and Washington, USA
A new regional dataset comprising 425 intertidal diatom taxa from 175 samples from 11 ecologically diverse Oregon and Washington estuaries illustrates the importance of compiling a large modern dataset from a range of sites. Cluster analyses and detrended correspondence analysis of the diatom assemblages identify distinct vertical zones within supratidal, intertidal and subtidal...
Authors
Yuki Sawai, Benjamin Horton, Andrew C. Kemp, Andrea D. Hawkes, Tamostsu Nagumo, Alan Nelson
USGS approach to real-time estimation of earthquake-triggered ground failure - Results of 2015 workshop USGS approach to real-time estimation of earthquake-triggered ground failure - Results of 2015 workshop
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards and Landslide Hazards Programs are developing plans to add quantitative hazard assessments of earthquake-triggered landsliding and liquefaction to existing real-time earthquake products (ShakeMap, ShakeCast, PAGER) using open and readily available methodologies and products. To date, prototype global statistical models have been...
Authors
Kate E. Allstadt, Eric M. Thompson, David Wald, Michael W. Hamburger, Jonathan Godt, Keith Knudsen, Randall Jibson, M. Jessee, Jing Zhu, Michael Hearne, Laurie Baise, Hakan Tanyas, Kristin D. Marano