Publications
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Relatively stable pressure effects and time-increasing thermal contraction control Heber geothermal field deformation Relatively stable pressure effects and time-increasing thermal contraction control Heber geothermal field deformation
Due to geological complexities and observational gaps, it is challenging to identify the governing physical processes of geothermal field deformation including ground subsidence and earthquakes. In the west and east regions of the Heber Geothermal Field (HGF), decade-long subsidence was occurring despite injection of heat-depleted brines, along with transient reversals between uplift and
Authors
Guoyan Jiang, Andrew J. Barbour, Robert John Skoumal, Kathryn Zerbe Materna, Aren Crandall-Bear
Uncertainty in ground-motion-to-intensity conversions significantly affects earthquake early warning alert regions Uncertainty in ground-motion-to-intensity conversions significantly affects earthquake early warning alert regions
We examine how the choice of ground‐motion‐to‐intensity conversion equations (GMICEs) in earthquake early warning (EEW) systems affects resulting alert regions. We find that existing GMICEs can underestimate observed shaking at short rupture distances or overestimate the extent of low‐intensity shaking. Updated GMICEs that remove these biases would improve the accuracy of alert regions...
Authors
Jessie Saunders, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Sarah E. Minson, Maren Bose
A survey of the severity of mental health symptoms in the planetary science community A survey of the severity of mental health symptoms in the planetary science community
There is a growing recognition of a mental health crisis within the academic and research communities. Members of the planetary science community have called for healthier work environments to improve mental well-being. As a preliminary step towards improving workplace culture, we sought to determine whether the broader mental health crisis extends to planetary science and to assess the...
Authors
David Trang, Christina E. Swafford, Tamar A. Kreps, Steven D. Vance, Jemma Davidson, Justin Filiberto, Lillian R. Ostrach, Christina R. Richey
Fire effects on geomorphic processes Fire effects on geomorphic processes
Fire-induced geomorphic changes, such as enhanced erosion and debris-flow activity, are expected to increase with climate change owing to increases in fire activity and rainfall intensification. In this Review, we summarize how landscape attributes, rainfall and burn severity influence post-fire geomorphic responses over a range of temporal and spatial scales. Sub-hourly rainfall...
Authors
Luke McGuire, Brian A. Ebel, Francis K. Rengers, Diana Vieira, Petter Nyman
Testing megathrust rupture models using tsunami deposits Testing megathrust rupture models using tsunami deposits
The 26 January 1700 CE Cascadia subduction zone earthquake ruptured much of the plate boundary and generated a tsunami that deposited sand in coastal marshes from northern California to Vancouver Island. Although the depositional record of tsunami inundation is extensive in some of these marshes, few sites have been investigated in enough detail to map the inland extent of sand...
Authors
SeanPaul La Selle, Alan R. Nelson, Robert C. Witter, Bruce E. Jaffe, Guy Gelfenbaum, Jason Scott Padgett
The SCEC/USGS community stress drop validation study using the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence The SCEC/USGS community stress drop validation study using the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence
We introduce a community stress drop validation study using the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence, in which researchers are invited to use a common dataset to independently estimate comparable measurements using a variety of methods. Stress drop is the change in average shear stress on a fault during earthquake rupture, and as such is a key parameter in many ground motion...
Authors
Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Rachel E. Abercrombie, Shanna Xianhui Chu, Taka’aki Taira
Static and dynamic strain in the 1886 Charleston, South Carolina, earthquake Static and dynamic strain in the 1886 Charleston, South Carolina, earthquake
During the 1886 Mw 7.3 Charleston, South Carolina, earthquake, three railroads emanating from the city were exposed to severe shaking. Expansion joints in segmented railroad tracks are designed to allow railroad infrastructure to withstand a few parts in 10,000 of thermoelastic strain. We show that, in 1886, transient contractions exceeding this limiting value buckled rails, and...
Authors
Roger Bilham, Susan E. Hough
Debris-flow entrainment modelling under climate change: Considering antecedent moisture conditions along the flow path Debris-flow entrainment modelling under climate change: Considering antecedent moisture conditions along the flow path
Debris-flow volumes can increase along their flow path by entraining sediment stored in the channel bed and banks, thus also increasing hazard potential. Theoretical considerations, laboratory experiments and field investigations all indicate that the saturation conditions of the sediment along the flow path can greatly influence the amount of sediment entrained. However, this process is...
Authors
Anna Konz, Jacob Hirschberg, Brian McArdell, Benjamin B. Mirus, Tjalling de Haas, Perry Bartelt, Peter Molnar
Elastic stress coupling between supraglacial lakes Elastic stress coupling between supraglacial lakes
Supraglacial lakes have been observed to drain within hours of each other, leading to the hypothesis that stress transmission following one drainage may be sufficient to induce hydro-fracture-driven drainages of other nearby lakes. However, available observations characterizing drainage-induced stress perturbations have been insufficient to evaluate this hypothesis. Here, we use ice...
Authors
L. Stevens, S. Das, M. D. Behn, Jeffrey J. McGuire, Ching-Yao Lai, I. Joughin, S LaRochelle, M. Nettles
On the provenance of field reports of the 1886 Charleston, South Carolina, earthquake: A seismo-historical whodunnit On the provenance of field reports of the 1886 Charleston, South Carolina, earthquake: A seismo-historical whodunnit
Much of what is known about the effects of the 1886 Charleston, South Carolina, earthquake throughout the epicentral region can be attributed to meticulous field investigations by an individual with training in geology and engineering, Earle Sloan (Clendenin, 1926). In a recent study, Bilham and Hough (2024) undertook a detailed analysis of the effects of the earthquake on railroads in...
Authors
Susan E. Hough, Roger Bilham
GRAPES: Earthquake early warning by passing seismic vectors through the grapevine GRAPES: Earthquake early warning by passing seismic vectors through the grapevine
Estimating an earthquake's magnitude and location may not be necessary to predict shaking in real time; instead, wavefield-based approaches predict shaking with few assumptions about the seismic source. Here, we introduce GRAph Prediction of Earthquake Shaking (GRAPES), a deep learning model trained to characterize and propagate earthquake shaking across a seismic network. We show that...
Authors
Timothy Hugh Clements, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Sarah E. Minson, Clara Yoon
Assessing locations susceptible to shallow landslide initiation during prolonged intense rainfall in the Lares, Utuado, and Naranjito municipalities of Puerto Rico Assessing locations susceptible to shallow landslide initiation during prolonged intense rainfall in the Lares, Utuado, and Naranjito municipalities of Puerto Rico
Hurricane Maria induced about 70 000 landslides throughout Puerto Rico, USA, including thousands each in three municipalities situated in Puerto Rico's rugged Cordillera Central range. By combining a nonlinear soil-depth model, presumed wettest-case pore pressures, and quasi-three-dimensional (3D) slope-stability analysis, we developed a landslide susceptibility map that has very good...
Authors
Rex L. Baum, Dianne L. Brien, Mark E. Reid, William H. Schulz, Matthew J. Tello