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The 26 May 1982 breakout flows derived from failure of a volcanic dam at El Chichón, Chiapas, Mexico The 26 May 1982 breakout flows derived from failure of a volcanic dam at El Chichón, Chiapas, Mexico

The eruptions of El Chichón between 28 March and 4 April 1982 produced a variety of pyroclastic deposits. The climactic phase, on 3 April at 07:35 (4 April at 01:35 GMT), destroyed the central andesitic dome and fed pyroclastic surges and flows that dammed nearby drainages, including the Magdalena River. By late April, a lake had formed, 4 km long and 300–400 m wide, containing a volume...
Authors
J.L. Macias, L. Capra, K. M. Scott, J.M. Espindola, A. Garcia-Palomo, J. E. Costa

Dispersal scaling from the world's rivers Dispersal scaling from the world's rivers

Although rivers provide important biogeochemical inputs to oceans, there are currently no descriptive or predictive relationships of the spatial scales of these river influences. Our combined satellite, laboratory, field and modeling results show that the coastal dispersal areas of small, mountainous rivers exhibit remarkable self-similar scaling relationships over many orders of...
Authors
J.A. Warrick, D.A. Fong

Kinematic and dynamic rupture models of the November 3, 2002 Mw7.9 Denali, Alaska, earthquake Kinematic and dynamic rupture models of the November 3, 2002 Mw7.9 Denali, Alaska, earthquake

Regional seismic waveforms, continuous and campaign-mode GPS data, and surface slip measurements were used to obtain a kinematic model of the rupture process of the November 3, 2002 Mw 7.9 Denali, Alaska, earthquake. The event initiated as a Mw 7.0 reverse slip event on the north-dipping Susitna Glacier fault with subsequent right-lateral slip distributed over approximately 300 km of the...
Authors
Douglas S. Dreger, D. D. Oglesby, R. Harris, N. Ratchkovski, R. Hansen

Strain accumulation across the Coast Ranges at the latitude of San Francisco, 1994-2000 Strain accumulation across the Coast Ranges at the latitude of San Francisco, 1994-2000

A 66-monument geodetic array spanning the Coast Ranges near San Francisco has been surveyed more than eight times by GIPS between late 1993 and early 2001. The measured horizontal velocities of the monuments are well represented by uniform, right-lateral, simple shear parallel to N29°W. (The local strike of the San Andreas Fault is ∼N34°W.) The observed areal dilatation rate of 6.9 ± 10...
Authors
J.C. Savage, Weijun Gan, W.H. Prescott, J. L. Svarc

The perception of volcanic risk in Kona communities from Mauna Loa and Hualālai volcanoes, Hawai'i The perception of volcanic risk in Kona communities from Mauna Loa and Hualālai volcanoes, Hawai'i

Volcanic hazards in Kona (i.e. the western side of the island of Hawai'i) stem primarily from Mauna Loa and Hualālai volcanoes. The former has erupted 39 times since 1832. Lava flows were emplaced in Kona during seven of these eruptions and last impacted Kona in 1950. Hualālai last erupted in ca. 1800. Society's proximity to potential eruptive sources and the potential for relatively...
Authors
Chris E. Gregg, Bruce F. Houghton, David M. Johnston, Douglas Paton, D. A. Swanson

Shear wave velocity, seismic attenuation, and thermal structure of the continental upper mantle Shear wave velocity, seismic attenuation, and thermal structure of the continental upper mantle

Seismic velocity and attenuation anomalies in the mantle are commonly interpreted in terms of temperature variations on the basis of laboratory studies of elastic and anelastic properties of rocks. In order to evaluate the relative contributions of thermal and non-thermal effects on anomalies of attenuation of seismic shear waves, Q−1s, and seismic velocity, Vs, we compare global maps of...
Authors
I.M. Artemieva, M. Billien, J.-J. Leveque, Walter D. Mooney

Observations and temperatures of Io's Pele Patera from Cassini and Galileo spacecraft images Observations and temperatures of Io's Pele Patera from Cassini and Galileo spacecraft images

Pele has been the most intense high-temperature hotspot on Io to be continuously active during the Galileo monitoring from 1996–2001. A suite of characteristics suggests that Pele is an active lava lake inside a volcanic depression. In 2000–2001, Pele was observed by two spacecraft, Cassini and Galileo. The Cassini observations revealed that Pele is variable in activity over timescales...
Authors
Jani Radebaugh, Alfred S. McEwen, Moses P. Milazzo, Laszlo P. Keszthelyi, Ashley G. Davies, Elizabeth P. Turtle, Douglas D. Dawson

The coefficient of friction of chrysotile gouge at seismogenic depths The coefficient of friction of chrysotile gouge at seismogenic depths

We report new strength data for the serpentine mineral chrysotile at effective normal stresses, σn between 40 and 200 MPa in the temperature range 25°-280°C. Overall, the coefficient of friction, μ (= shear stress/effective normal stress) of water-saturated chrysotile gouge increases both with increasing temperature and σn, but the rates vary and the temperature-related increases begin...
Authors
Diane E. Moore, D.A. Lockner, H. Tanaka, K. Iwata

Rear-arc vs. arc-front volcanoes in the Katmai reach of the Alaska Peninsula: A critical appraisal of across-arc compositional variation Rear-arc vs. arc-front volcanoes in the Katmai reach of the Alaska Peninsula: A critical appraisal of across-arc compositional variation

Physical and compositional data and K-Ar ages are reported for 14 rear-arc volcanoes that lic 11-22 km behind the narrowly linear volcanic front defined by the Mount Katmai-to-Devils Desk chain on the Alaska Peninsula. One is a 30-km3 stratocone (Mount Griggs; 51-63% SiO2) active intermittently from 292 ka to Holocene. The others are monogenetic cones, domes, lava flows, plugs, and maars...
Authors
W. Hildreth, J. Fierstein, D. F. Siems, J. R. Budahn, J. Ruiz

Recalculated probability of M ≥ 7 earthquakes beneath the Sea of Marmara, Turkey Recalculated probability of M ≥ 7 earthquakes beneath the Sea of Marmara, Turkey

New earthquake probability calculations are made for the Sea of Marmara region and the city of Istanbul, providing a revised forecast and an evaluation of time-dependent interaction techniques. Calculations incorporate newly obtained bathymetric images of the North Anatolian fault beneath the Sea of Marmara [Le Pichon et al., 2001; Armijo et al., 2002]. Newly interpreted fault...
Authors
T. Parsons

Probabilistic assessment of precipitation-triggered landslides using historical records of landslide occurrence, Seattle, Washington Probabilistic assessment of precipitation-triggered landslides using historical records of landslide occurrence, Seattle, Washington

Ninety years of historical landslide records were used as input to the Poisson and binomial probability models. Results from these models show that, for precipitation-triggered landslides, approximately 9 percent of the area of Seattle has annual exceedance probabilities of 1 percent or greater. Application of the Poisson model for estimating the future occurrence of individual...
Authors
Jeffrey A. Coe, J. A. Michael, R. A. Crovelli, William U. Savage, W.D. Nashem, W.T. Laprade
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