Publications
Publications, scientific literature, and information products from the Land Change Science Program.
Filter Total Items: 565
Spatio-temporal development of vegetation die-off in a submerging coastal marsh Spatio-temporal development of vegetation die-off in a submerging coastal marsh
In several places around the world, coastal marsh vegetation is converting to open water through the formation of pools. This is concerning, as vegetation die-off is expected to reduce the marshes' capacity to adapt to sea level rise by vegetation-induced sediment accretion. Quantitative analyses of the spatial and temporal development of marsh vegetation die-off are scarce, although...
Authors
Lennert Schepers, Matthew Kirwan, Glenn Guntenspergen, Stijn Temmerman
Biological response to climate change in the Arctic Ocean: The view from the past Biological response to climate change in the Arctic Ocean: The view from the past
The Arctic Ocean is undergoing rapid climatic changes including higher ocean temperatures, reduced sea ice, glacier and Greenland Ice Sheet melting, greater marine productivity, and altered carbon cycling. Until recently, the relationship between climate and Arctic biological systems was poorly known, but this has changed substantially as advances in paleoclimatology, micropaleontology...
Authors
Thomas Cronin, Matthew Cronin
Temporary wetlands: Challenges and solutions to conserving a ‘disappearing’ ecosystem Temporary wetlands: Challenges and solutions to conserving a ‘disappearing’ ecosystem
Frequent drying of ponded water, and support of unique, highly specialized assemblages of often rare species, characterize temporary wetlands, such as vernal pools, gilgais, and prairie potholes. As small aquatic features embedded in a terrestrial landscape, temporary wetlands enhance biodiversity and provide aesthetic, biogeochemical, and hydrologic functions. Challenges to conserving...
Authors
Aram Calhoun, David Mushet, Kathleen Bell, Dani Boix, James Fitzsimons, Francis Isselin-Nondedeu
Modeling the effects of tile drain placement on the hydrologic function of farmed prairie wetlands Modeling the effects of tile drain placement on the hydrologic function of farmed prairie wetlands
The early 2000s saw large increases in agricultural tile drainage in the eastern Dakotas of North America. Agricultural practices that drain wetlands directly are sometimes limited by wetland protection programs. Little is known about the impacts of tile drainage beyond the delineated boundaries of wetlands in upland catchments that may be in agricultural production. A series of...
Authors
Brett Werner, John Tracy, W. Johnson, Richard Voldseth, Glenn Guntenspergen, Bruce Millett
Using structure from motion photogrammetry to examine glide snow avalanches Using structure from motion photogrammetry to examine glide snow avalanches
Structure from Motion (SfM), a photogrammetric technique, has been used extensively and successfully in many fields including geosciences over the past few years to create 3D models and high resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) from aerial or oblique photographs. SfM has recently been used in a limited capacity in snow avalanche research and shows promise as a tool for broader...
Authors
Erich Peitzsch, Jordy Hendrikx, Daniel Fagre
Increasing aeolian dust deposition to snowpacks in the Rocky Mountains inferred from snowpack, wet deposition, and aerosol chemistry Increasing aeolian dust deposition to snowpacks in the Rocky Mountains inferred from snowpack, wet deposition, and aerosol chemistry
Mountain snowpacks are a vital natural resource for ∼1.5 billion people in the northern Hemisphere, helping to meet human and ecological demand for water in excess of that provided by summer rain. Springtime warming and aeolian dust deposition accelerate snowmelt, increasing the risk of water shortages during late summer, when demand is greatest. While climate networks provide data that...
Authors
David Clow, Mark Williams, Paul Schuster
Case study: 2016 Natural glide and wet slab avalanche cycle, Going-to-the-Sun Road, Glacier National Park, Montana, USA Case study: 2016 Natural glide and wet slab avalanche cycle, Going-to-the-Sun Road, Glacier National Park, Montana, USA
The Going-to-the-Sun Road (GTSR) is the premier tourist attraction in Glacier National Park, Montana. The GTSR also traverses through and under 40 avalanche paths which pose a hazard to National Park Service (NPS) road crews during the annual spring snow plowing operation. Through a joint collaboration between the NPS and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), a forecasting program primarily...
Authors
Jacob Hutchinson, Erich Peitzsch, Adam Clark
Intermittent surface water connectivity: Fill and spill vs. fill and merge dynamics Intermittent surface water connectivity: Fill and spill vs. fill and merge dynamics
Intermittent surface connectivity can influence aquatic systems, since chemical and biotic movements are often associated with water flow. Although often referred to as fill and spill, wetlands also fill and merge. We examined the effects of these connection types on water levels, ion concentrations, and biotic communities of eight prairie pothole wetlands between 1979 and 2015. Fill and...
Authors
Scott Leibowitz, David Mushet, Wesley Newton
Interannual water-level fluctuations and the vegetation of prairie potholes: Potential impacts of climate change Interannual water-level fluctuations and the vegetation of prairie potholes: Potential impacts of climate change
Mean water depth and range of interannual water-level fluctuations over wet-dry cycles in precipitation are major drivers of vegetation zone formation in North American prairie potholes. We used harmonic hydrological models, which require only mean interannual water depth and amplitude of water-level fluctuations over a wet–dry cycle, to examine how the vegetation zones in a pothole...
Authors
Arnold van der Valk, David Mushet
Midcontinent Prairie-Pothole wetlands and climate change: An Introduction to the Supplemental Issue Midcontinent Prairie-Pothole wetlands and climate change: An Introduction to the Supplemental Issue
The multitude of wetlands in the Prairie Pothole Region of North America forms one of Earth’s largest wetland complexes. The midcontinent location exposes this ecologically and economically important wetland system to a highly variable climate, markedly influencing ponded-water levels, hydroperiods, chemical characteristics, and biota of individual basins. Given their dominance on the...
Authors
David Mushet
Using structural equation modeling to link human activities to wetland ecological integrity Using structural equation modeling to link human activities to wetland ecological integrity
The integrity of wetlands is of global concern. A common approach to evaluating ecological integrity involves bioassessment procedures that quantify the degree to which communities deviate from historical norms. While helpful, bioassessment provides little information about how altered conditions connect to community response. More detailed information is needed for conservation and...
Authors
E. Schweiger, James Grace, David Cooper, Ben Bobowski, Mike Britten
Aquatic-macroinvertebrate communities of Prairie-Pothole wetlands and lakes under a changed climate Aquatic-macroinvertebrate communities of Prairie-Pothole wetlands and lakes under a changed climate
Understanding how aquatic-macroinvertebrate communities respond to changes in climate is important for biodiversity conservation in the Prairie Pothole Region and other wetland-rich landscapes. We sampled macroinvertebrate communities of 162 wetlands and lakes previously sampled from 1966 to 1976, a much drier period compared to our 2012–2013 sampling timeframe. To identify possible...
Authors
Kyle McLean, David Mushet, David A. Renton, Craig A. Stockwell