Publications
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Landsliding follows signatures of wildfire history and vegetative regrowth in a steep coastal shrubland Landsliding follows signatures of wildfire history and vegetative regrowth in a steep coastal shrubland
Five years after the deadly and destructive 9 January 2018 Montecito debris flows (Santa Barbara County, California, USA), an atmospheric river storm on 9 January 2023 triggered widespread landsliding that affected many of the same drainages in the Santa Ynez Mountains. Using high-resolution aerial imagery, we identified >10,000 landslides over an ∼160 km2 area. Most of the landslides...
Authors
Matthew Thomas, Donald N. Lindsay, Jason Kean, Andrew Graber, Rebecca K. Rossi, Jaime Kostelnik, Francis Rengers, Jonathan Y. Schwartz, Brian J. Swanson, Nina S. Oakley, Paul W. Richardson, Alexander E. Morelan, Andrew C. Ritchie, Jonathan Warrick, Lindsey L. Rotche, Brian D. Penserini, Stephen Slaughter
Dynamic feedbacks between river meandering and landsliding in northwestern Washington glacial terraces Dynamic feedbacks between river meandering and landsliding in northwestern Washington glacial terraces
Landsliding in river valleys poses unique risks for cascading hazards and can damage infrastructure and cause fatalities. In postglacial valleys, many landslides are posited to occur in relation to lateral river erosion, but the dynamics of fluvial-hillslope interactions are not well understood. Here, we investigate a section of the Nooksack River in western Washington State where the...
Authors
Shelby Marie Ahrendt, Benjamin Mirus, Sean LaHusen, Jonathan Perkins
Forecast, monitor, adapt: A multi-agency strategy to protect people from postfire debris flows Forecast, monitor, adapt: A multi-agency strategy to protect people from postfire debris flows
In 2020, a wildfire burned across Glenwood Canyon in Colorado, USA. A history of postfire debris flows in the region and a hazard assessment for the burn area indicated that potentially life-threatening debris flows could be triggered by rainfall within months of a wildfire. As a result, four government agencies evaluated strategies to help mitigate hazards, including the loss of human...
Authors
Francis Rengers, Jason Kean, Cory Williams, Mark Henneberg, John Banta, Eric Schroder, Cara Sponaugle, David Callery, Erin Walter, Todd Blake, Dennis Staley
Constraining landslide frequency across the United States to inform county-level risk reduction Constraining landslide frequency across the United States to inform county-level risk reduction
Informative landslide hazard estimates are needed to support landslide mitigation strategies to reduce landslide risk across the United States. Whereas existing national-scale landslide susceptibility products assess where landslides are likely to occur, they do not address how often, which is a critical element of landslide hazard and risk assessments. In particular, the U.S. Federal...
Authors
Lisa Victoria Luna, Jacob Woodard, Janice L. Bytheway, Gina Belair, Benjamin B. Mirus
2024 Surprise Inlet landslides: Insights from a prototype landslide‐triggered tsunami monitoring system in Prince William Sound, Alaska 2024 Surprise Inlet landslides: Insights from a prototype landslide‐triggered tsunami monitoring system in Prince William Sound, Alaska
Alaska's coastal communities face growing landslide hazards owing to glacier retreat and extreme weather intensified by the warming climate, yet hazard monitoring remains challenging. As part of ongoing experimental monitoring in Prince William Sound, we detected three large landslides (0.5–2.3 M m3) at Surprise Inlet on 20 September 2024, within the span of an hour. These events were...
Authors
Ezgi Karasozen, Michael West, Katherine Barnhart, John Lyons, Terry Nichols, Lauren Schaefer, Bohyun Bahng, Summer Ohlendorf, Dennis Staley, Gabriel Wolken
Cascading land surface hazards as a nexus in the Earth system Cascading land surface hazards as a nexus in the Earth system
Earth’s surface is sculpted by numerous processes that move sediment, ranging from gradual and benign to abrupt and catastrophic. Although infrequent, high-magnitude sediment mobilization events can be hazardous to people and infrastructure, leaving topographic imprints on the landscape and remarkable narratives in the historical record. Hazardous events such as fires, storms, and...
Authors
Brian Yanites, Marin Clark, Joshua J. Roering, A. West, Dimitrios Zekkos, Jane W. Baldwin, Corina Cerovski-Darriau, Sean Gallen, Daniel E. Horton, Eric Kirby, Ben Leshchinksy, H. Benjamin Mason, Seulgi Moon, Katherine Barnhart, Adam Booth, Jonathan Czuba, Scott W. McCoy, Luke McGuire, Allison Pfeiffer, Jennifer Pierce
Preliminary field report of landslide hazards following Hurricane Helene Preliminary field report of landslide hazards following Hurricane Helene
Executive Summary This report reflects our knowledge regarding the widespread landslide activity associated with Hurricane Helene observed during the U.S. Geological Survey’s (USGS) mission assignment to North Carolina in October 2024. The material in this report was originally prepared for the Federal Emergency Management Agency under mission assignment DR-4827-NC. The data and...
Authors
Kate Allstadt, Sara K. McBride, Jonathan Godt, Stephen Slaughter, Kelli Baxstrom, Steven Sobieszczyk, Anna Stull
Rainfall thresholds for postfire debris-flow initiation vary with short-duration rainfall climatology Rainfall thresholds for postfire debris-flow initiation vary with short-duration rainfall climatology
The size, frequency, and geographic scope of severe wildfires are expanding across the globe, including in the Western United States. Recently burned steeplands have an increased likelihood of debris flows, which pose hazards to downstream communities. The conditions for postfire debris-flow initiation are commonly expressed as rainfall intensity-duration thresholds, which can be...
Authors
David Cavagnaro, Scott W. McCoy, Donald Lindsay, Luke McGuire, Jason Kean, Daniel Trugman
Uncertainty reduction for subaerial landslide-tsunami hazards Uncertainty reduction for subaerial landslide-tsunami hazards
Subaerial rock slopes may generate a tsunami by rapidly moving into the water. Large uncertainty in landslide characteristics propagates into large uncertainty in tsunami hazard, making hazard assessment more difficult for land and emergency managers. Once a potentially tsunamigenic landslide is identified, it may not be clear which landslide characteristics contribute most significantly...
Authors
Katherine Barnhart, David George, Andrew Collins, Lauren Schaefer, Dennis Staley
Assessment of western Oregon debris-flow hazards in burned and unburned environments Assessment of western Oregon debris-flow hazards in burned and unburned environments
In the steep and mountainous environment of western Oregon, debris flows pose a considerable threat to property, infrastructure and life. Wildfire is commonly known to increase the susceptibility of steep slopes to debris flows, but the extent of this process in the western Cascades is not well understood. The US Geological Survey (USGS) currently estimates postfire debris-flow...
Authors
Brittany Danielle Selander, Nancy Calhoun, William Burns, Jason Kean, Francis Rengers
Grfin Tools—User guide and methods for modeling landslide runout and debris-flow growth and inundation Grfin Tools—User guide and methods for modeling landslide runout and debris-flow growth and inundation
The software package, Grfin Tools, can estimate potential runout from landslides or inundation from geophysical mass flows such as debris flows, lahars from volcanoes, and rock avalanches within a digital elevation model (DEM). Grfin is an acronym of growth + flow + inundation. The tools within this package apply simple, well-tested, empirical models of runout that are computationally...
Authors
Mark Reid, Dianne Brien, Collin Cronkite-Ratcliff, Jonathan Perkins
Using the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio method to estimate thickness of the Barry Arm landslide, Prince William Sound, Alaska Using the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio method to estimate thickness of the Barry Arm landslide, Prince William Sound, Alaska
Conducting detailed investigations of large landslides is difficult, especially in the subsurface, largely due to environmental factors such as steep slopes, difficult access, and numerous objective hazards. These factors have made it challenging to accurately estimate the depth to the failure surface of the Barry Arm landslide, a large (roughly 108 cubic meters), deep-seated bedrock...
Authors
Andrew Collins, Kate Allstadt, Dennis Staley